Flat Racing 19th Feb

[chris34]

2.50 Southwell Typically weak event and only a few can be given a real chance on known form. Candelita has won over CD in a maiden around this time last year, she was well backed last time out when getting going all too late. Has been well backed again today but will need to put best foot forward if to overcome this mark but could also have more to come on this surface and takes big drop in class so is a hard one to weigh up. Yard do well around here to but does look short enough. Kingaroo showed very little last time out off the bridle very early. Honest Strike has won around here so last time outs effort has to go down as disappointing and something to prove now. Corn Maiden appeared to improve out of knowhere last time out over CD, had plenty of chances but that was first try on fibresand so possible she could go on from that but does have to prove not just a flash in the pan. Revolving World is the most interesting at the prices. He was taken out of a much weaker race last week having run a good 4^th last time out staying on and this step up in trip should help, he has often run well around here and is 2lb below his only winning markso not handicapped out of things. Wide draw around here appears to be more and more of a positive thing so no concern with stall 8 and should go well at a huge price. 1pt e/w Revolving World 14/1 boyles 3.25 Southwell Abi Scarlet won some uncompetitive 6f 6 runner handicaps last spring last came off a 2lb lower mark, but failed to beat a rival on next 4 starts on turf and polytrack (had previously ran well on polytrack aswell) Hopes rely on return to this surface but also been off the track for over 150 days a lot to prove. Light Burst won impressively twice in summer on turf and polytrack in class 6 handicaps failed to quite live upto that on next 2 starts off todays mark and in class 4 races, record fresh not great and debut on this surface but certainly one to watch for future. Decent Fella has the death box in stall 1, never raced here but RP report sire does have good stats here but he has looked very disinterested in the game on recent starts and despite plummeting in the weights only if money was to come would he be interesting at present. Scott Dixons yard came back with a bang recently but they have gone a tad quiet recently and that is the concern on Piceno given he disappointed last time out having ran well time before that. The handicapper may also need to give him some respite this mark requires a career best by some 3lb. Flying Pickets won a 3 runner seller over CD last week but needs to step up significantly under a 6lb penalty to be involved here despite brilliant course record (mainly in sellers and claimers) Key Ambition hasn’t been disgraced recently and has ran well here before although not convinced 7f around here is ideal looked as if stamina stretched on only try of 7f around here. Mazovian isn’t an easy one to predict but he is below his last winning mark and ran respectfully last time out will need them to go hard not sure that’s guaranteed in this race. Hellbender won last time out on first start for this yard, up 3lb for that effort but is also 3lb out of the handicap so effectively 6lb higher in a much stronger race, he is still on a good mark if yard really have got him back to his very best from several years ago. Imprimus Tagula does go well here but not as good recently and looks in decline again at present. Been well held in sellers and claimers recently and needs to step up back in handicaps. In a race full of question marks it might be worth taking a chance on Sound Amigo who was very disappointing last time out given he has gone well fresh in the past, but maybe he needed that run this year and he can come on for the run. Handicapper also generously dropped him 5lb since that run and now on a mark he was 2^nd in big field contests at Redcar and Thirsk in the summer. Better drawn this time around too and has gone well here in the past without winning. 1pt e/w Sound Amigo 10/1 pp