v3rn0n's HOME 50/50

[v3rn0n]

Looking back over my BTTS acca results I have noticed that the ratings model I have created has been predicting HOME wins better (and recently MUCH better) than it has BTTS. I only have 4 weeks worth of data, so this may be a little early to start a thread, but I'm going to start one anyway. THE SYSTEM The data will come from the same model as my BTTS but will identify games that predict the HOME side 1 clear goal more than the AWAY side, the leagues will be the same as before E0, E1, E2, E3, EC, SC0, SP1, D1, I1 & F1. Obviously the system should throw up teams like Barcelona and Man Utd at home but to try and take home some value I'm only going to bet on teams the have odds of 2.00+ and -2.30 so therefore I only need a strike rate of 50% to be in profit. Easy right? RIGHT? Betting will be flat stakes and I'll post the bets as and when they have been identified as fitting my criteria.

[v3rn0n]

Re: v3rn0n's HOME 50/50 This weekends HOME 50/50 picks: [TABLE=width: 451]

[TR] [TD]Div[/TD] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]HomeTeam[/TD] [TD]AwayTeam[/TD] [TD]Odds[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]D1[/TD] [TD]09/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Hannover[/TD] [TD]Hoffenheim[/TD] [TD]2.28[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]F1[/TD] [TD]09/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Troyes[/TD] [TD]Sochaux[/TD] [TD]2.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]SP1[/TD] [TD]09/02/2013[/TD] [TD]La Coruna[/TD] [TD]Granada[/TD] [TD]2.15[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]SP1[/TD] [TD]09/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Mallorca[/TD] [TD]Osasuna[/TD] [TD]2.20[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]F1[/TD] [TD]10/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Lyon[/TD] [TD]Lille[/TD] [TD]2.12[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]