Blog 4 Discipline (Laying and place bets for the beginning)

[kreator88]

I am new to horse racing and in the last 2 weeks I've tried to gather as much info as possible (Q & A from this forum were very helpful - thank you guys). Unfortunately I'm still lacking the discipline of a newcomer. Making to many bets and not focusing on a specific area. I'm using this blog in the hope of gaining more experience with help of your feedbacks and by writing my pro-arguments for a bet, avoiding races where I have no clue or not enough arguments. By doing this I hope to raise my discipline in betting. Most of my bets will be laying a horse, where I'm confident that it hasn't enough arguments for the odds being offered. Or place bets because I'm not yet very sure on some aspects of racing and I often miss a horse or two who still come from nowhere in my eyes and finish in front of my selection.... so place bets are safer for me at this point. I'll sometimes have very small odds for horse racing, just hope the more experienced guys won't feel offended by my small odds ... I promise to work hard and try to be more confident on my bets and go for the win market in the near future. For selecting my bets I use a combination of percentage of placings by the jockey and trainer, speed ratings, draw bias and early market movements. Most of my bets will be from flat racing in handicap races till 1m. I'll use a flat system with 1 point / bet ... and I'll write my odds in decimal form (I'm used to this system and it's easier for me to count the yield and the P/L)

[kreator88]

Re: Blog 4 Discipline (Laying and place bets for the beginning) My first bet will be : 7.05 Kemp Kakatosi place @ 3/4 (Betfair) This one has also changed stables and had a winner on debut. LTO it had a difficult draw and couldn't really handle it, that's the reason for such a bad placing....but he wasn't that far away to be honest. My biggest concern is regarding the track, as it's last to attempts where at wolves and ling...but this one is being balanced by the fact the besides lastking non off the horse could be called a kempton specialist. The mark shouldn't be a problem as it used to be a class 1 horse, but was relegated after the bad form in 2012. Draw 1 is perfect today, so we won't see the trouble from his last run. Speed is one of the best, so an effort close to the one at ling would be more than enough for a place position. One of the market favorites is lastking... but I think it had already his highest mark and it can't handle so much weight. One of the outsiders I do like is Lujeanie, but the bad draw is keeping me away from it, and makes me more confident about my choice. hope for a good start :D