Peacock's Punting 2013

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Hello all, I tried starting this thread late last year but had a couple of crappy personal/family problems to deal with since, but, I'm back in the game now so to speak, and a fresh year means a fresh challenge, so I'm starting again, fit and raring to go in 2013! As I attempted before, this thread will contain all my horse racing bets going forward. No little bets, no following tips, hunches, names or colours ;). Just my thoughts and selections backed with, when I can, (admitedly not much of) my own money. I will keep a full profit/loss spreadsheet and update reguarly. I have always had a bit of a scattergun approach to race selection, so I'm hoping that this way enables me to find my strengths/weaknesses and improve my betting. I bet semi reguarly, mostly on handicaps and on all codes, and it's mainly when I get the time these days. You will notice that I do a little write up for each horse in the race, I'm not trying to be clever, it's just otherwise I forget why I've discounted a particular runner! I also find it really helps when a horse that I've put a line wins, and I can see where I went wrong. These are just my thoughts and I try to do it with out any exposure to RP/Timeform analysis and any odds forecast so I am not swayed, although the latter is pretty tough. Edit: What a load of nonsense that last sentence was - I think I originally thought that I would be swayed by chances of a short price favourite, or put off by a long priced outsider when I really fancied it, when infact, quite the opposite is true and the odds are invaluable for assesing 'value'. I use Horseracebase for my analysis which is a great tool that I have come to rely on. Anyway, as it stands, all my bets are with Betvictor and are BOG. Edit: Thats tripe now too, I originally started with just the one bookie, but the EP's vary considerably some times, so again, it's invaluable to shop around. Thanks, hope I don't embarass us all. :ok Edit: Thought I'd do a P/L on the first post so it keeps everything nice and simple. [TABLE]

[TR] [TD=class: xl75]17/07/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl70, width: 93][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl65, width: 154]Bets[/TD] [TD=class: xl71, width: 93]242[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl65, width: 154]Winners (Win & E/W)[/TD] [TD=class: xl71, width: 93]53[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl65, width: 154]Placed (E/W only)[/TD] [TD=class: xl71, width: 93]19[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl65, width: 154]Total Staked (pts)[/TD] [TD=class: xl71, width: 93]426.71[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl65, width: 154]Overall P/L (pts)[/TD] [TD=class: xl69, width: 93]+52.84[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl65, width: 154]Strike Rate[/TD] [TD=class: xl72, width: 93]21.9%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl65, width: 154]Yield[/TD] [TD=class: xl72, width: 93]12.4%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl67, width: 154][/TD] [TD=class: xl70, width: 93][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl74, width: 154]Jul-13[/TD] [TD=class: xl73, width: 93]+26.66[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl74, width: 154]Jun-13[/TD] [TD=class: xl73, width: 93]+5.40[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl68, width: 154]May-13[/TD] [TD=class: xl73, width: 93]+7.78[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl68, width: 154]Apr-13[/TD] [TD=class: xl73, width: 93]-6.76[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl74, width: 154]Mar-13[/TD] [TD=class: xl73, width: 93]+5.35[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl68, width: 154]Feb-13[/TD] [TD=class: xl73, width: 93]+19.26[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl68, width: 154]Jan-13[/TD] [TD=class: xl73, width: 93]-4.85[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Sheerluck Holmes]

Re: Peacock's Punting 2013 Thu 10th Jan 2013 1.35 Wolverhampton (9 runners) coral.co.uk Handicap Class 6, 5f , Standard, 4yo+, Win: £1941 1) LIBERTY SHIP (58) - 0/8 on the AW, tumbling down the weights and decent 3rd LTO 2L behind Miss Bunter over C&D who won again last week. Gets another 2lb drop today and has a chance. 2) LOYAL ROYAL (57) - Veteran who is 6/78 on the AW (all those coming at 6f+). On a losing streak going back 25 races and hard to see that changing today, despite troubling the judge off similar marks in the past. 3) ROSE GARNET (57) - In good form of late finishing 2nd last twice and winning at Kempton in November over 6f. Up in the weights now though. 4) LEGAL EAGLE (55) - Yet to win on the AW in 14 attempts and very disappointed LTO over C&D. Went close back in May off a similar mark but can't select with any confidence at all. 5) SALLYS SWANSONG (55) - 1lb higher than last winning mark (C&D in September). Struggled since and needs dramatic improvement. 6) NAFA (53) - Some decent efforts on the AW but pprobably needs more of a hand from the handicapper. Hard to see her reversing form with HAB REEH. 7) CHATEAU LOLA (52) - 8L behind HAB REEH LTO when 3lb higher and opposed on same terms today. Broke badly then but surely no chance with the favourite. 8) THORPE BAY (52) - At a career low mark but 0/13 at 5f and sole win from 24 starts was in a claimer. 9) HAB REEH (49) - Excellent performance LTO to land first win after being dropped to 5f for the first time on the AW. Hard to see him getting beat if still fit and anywhere near that form. ============ Hard to see HAB REEH getting beaten if reproducing LTO form. LIBERTY SHIP could trouble him the most. HAB REEH 3pts WIN @ 11/8 LIBERTY SHIP 1pt E/W @ 7/1