NBA: 29th Dec

[valuepunter]

Denver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies Denver Nuggets +6.5 @ 1.9 - 1 unit

• The nuggets have won 3 of their last 4 games, including 2 impressive wins against the Lakers and Mavericks. Meanwhile the Grizzlies are coming off 2 losses, including a terrible performance against the 76ers.
• Denver are higher scorers, averaging 102.8 vs Memphis's 95.7, and it's the Nuggets defense that has them priced up this high, with the 2nd best defense in the NBA allowing 90.8 PPG, (as opposed to Denver's 100.6PPG allowed).
• Denver and Memphis have already faced off twice this season and Denver has won both by 97-92 and 99-94.
• After the Nuggets lost to the 76ers, Zach Randolph who leads the team in rebounds says the team had no energy. They've had a tough run with a number of away games in a short period, and they've only had a couple of days rest before today's tough test.

Given the above, I do think there's value in the moneyline here @ 3.2ish, but I'll take the safer option of the +6.5 as I think it's a very generous line given the Nuggets recent performances. Boston Celtics @ Golden State Warriors Warriors -3 @1.9 - 1 unit Warriors ML @ 1.67 - 2 units Golden State are looking pretty hot right now and although the Celtics looked very sharp in a surprise win against the Nets, Golden state should outscore them comfortably here. This is the Celtics 3rd away game in 5 days and it's likely to be taking it's toll, perhaps shown by their last game where they only managed 77 points and lost by 29 points to the Clippers. The Celtics are only averaging 96.3 PPG vs the Warriors 101.3, and Golden State is 15-1 when holding foes to 98 points or fewer. NBA: Overall - 2W-4L-1P -1.5unit

[valuepunter]

Re: NBA: 29th Dec NO Hornets @ CHA Bobcats Under 190.0 @ 1.91 - 1 unit