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Liscarroll 21 - either team to score 4+ goals


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As I'm not allowed to post updates on my Liscarroll 20 system I thought I would start from scratch on a new one! Liscarroll 21 involves finding value bets in the Betfair 'Any Unquoted' correct score market, i.e. a bet that either team will score 4 or more goals in a match. It's quite convenient a system for me to implement as it uses the exact same data set as Liscarroll 20 so requires no more extra work than placing and recording the bets. The system is Poisson-based, with adjustments made for the relative strength of each team and home advantage. I expect a low strike rate but high odds with this system. Consequently, it will take a while to determine whether or not there's anything in the system. Not much football around tomorrow, but there's a few Israeli games to experiment on before the weekend. I'll post my selections later.

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