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Flat Racing > Monday 10th December


Aidymac

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*Mother Jones > Lingfield 3:40 > WIN @ 7/1 Bet365 BOG* It's run last time out was too bad to be true, it's win before that was very eye-catching in my opinion, held up, came late and fast and beat Red Cape by 2 lengths at Wolverhampton. Is 6 pounds higher now, but the 7 pound claimer Eoin Walsh offsets that claim. Also, last time out was 5f, and won over 6f two runs back, i think 6f will suit it better, even though it has won over 5f. David Evans is also a man to watch on a Monday, so says the saying. If we get a good gallop up front, it should have every chance.

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Re: Flat Racing > Monday 10th December 1.10 Lingfield Several old favourites in this field but nothing that is unexposed. Several prominent sorts likely to set this up to be a strongly run race with Billy Red a trail blazer and Celtic Sixpence, Fathom Five and Charming all likely to force the pace. Celtic Sixpence has dropped to a tempting mark but comes here on the back of a break and record fresh is poor and wasn’t in any great shape when last seen anyhow. Dancing Freddy has failed to show anything recently and he is much better on turf and his best efforts on AW is at Southwell something to prove at present. Roys Legacy isn’t the most reliable sort, he made all when landing a 5f handicap at Kempton in September, failed to back that up next 2 starts but bounced back to form at Lingfield when ridden with slightly more patiently when 2nd but failed to back that effort up at Kempton last time out showing his true colours of unreliability and has to race off a 2lb higher mark today, drop back to 5f is interesting but the presence of more reliable front runners a worry from a wide draw. Billy Red looks a very short price but he does have a clear chance on the pick of form. He has a huge amount of speed so this drop back to 5f defenetily in his favour having shown plenty of speed over 6f around here last time out, he is now just 1lb above last winning mark around here and 3lb below his last winning mark on turf. He has a clear chance if getting the lead early but that isn’t guaranteed here but does atleast have a good draw. Fathom Five is regressing at a rapid rate and although slight glimmers of hope on latest efforts he doesn’t jump out as obviously ending his drought, Picansort is another who comes here fresher than most having had yet another short break, he has clearly had problems and his last run certainly suggested all isn’t right with him at present and needs to show he still has the ability before becoming a proposition again but does atleast go well here. Atlantic Beach was fresh when running 4th over this trip at Wolves last week, the bounce is obviously a worry but if he is able to back that effort up he would be dangerous having dropped to his last winning mark. Charming doesn’t appear to be progressing with racing and has something to prove at present. Even Bolder finds it hard to win these days and is usually worth taking on for win purposes. For me Desert Strike is an interesting contender, he has largely struggled for form since joining Conor Dore but signs he is returning to form on last 2 starts especially last time out. He travelled well for a long way having a wide route around before being carried even wider on the home turn when looking like posing a threat but did continue to run onto the line and his turn looks near. Draw been much kinder today and is on a very dangerous mark 10lb below his last handicap win and yard going much better at present. 2pt win Desert Strike 5/1 bet365

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