Draws Method

[whoneedsrio]

I've been looking at the Draws for profit thread by Drawsandmore with a bit of interest, I like to back draws myself & I've been working on a method for a while now which is showing a bit of promise. For the last couple of months of last season I was only doing the English leagues but from the start of this season I've expanded that to include the Scottish divisions as well. After letting August pass to allow teams to get up to match speed I've been rating these games since the start of September. There's a minimum rating which I set & in that time there have been 40 matches to achieve this minimum mark, 14 of these games have ended up as draws (35%) If I increase the rating level to give less selections I've had 4 draws from 9 (44.4%) but of course this is only a small sample & it gives less than one selection per week (12 weeks so far) on average. Not only is the sample too small to say if the higher strike rate can be maintained but it's a fair amount of work to get less than a selection a week on average. I'm also working on another angle which keeps the minimum rating but adds another tweak & with this I've had 5 draws from 9 (55.5%) again a small sample. I must add that there are 3 matches which met both criteria, 2 of which were draws so I suppose you could say that if put both these together that it could be 7 from 15 (46.66%) or 9 from 18 (50%) I would say if you double stake on the common selections it would be the latter. I have been working over the last few days on imputing the required data for the French, German, Italian & Spanish top divisions into Excel & I am now ready to add these four leagues to the English, including the Blue Sq Premier & the Scottish leagues which should give something like 5 or 6 bets a week. As most league fixtures are spread over the weekend I call the Monday games the end of the week & therefore the week starts Tuesday. I can usually finish adding the Friday to Sunday results for Monday which leaves just a few to do Tuesday at which point I'm ready to go again. Based on the 35% strike rate I would have the possible longest losing run at around 12. I times this by 3 to add a bit of a safety net which is 36 & I'll go at 10pts a bet level stakes so a 360pt bank. I have 6 games for this week, spread across the weekend, because the odds will change very little I can get them on well in advance which is another advantage as my time tends to get taken up by the racing on Saturdays. Friday Dusseldoff v Hamburg 10pts @ 12/5 BetVictor. Saturday Sunderland v WBA 10pts @ 12/5 Stan James. Stoke v Fulham 10pts @ 12/5 Skybet. Wolves v Forest 10pts @ 12/5 Skybet. Palermo v Catania 10pts @ 9/4 Coral. Sunday Toulouse v lyon 10pts @ 11/5 BetVictor. ​Rio.

[AFK7]

Re: Draws Method Like your picks but you will never ge more than 31/32% strike no matter how selective you are. Good luck ps A small sample is 1000 games!