Flat Racing 21st November

[chris34]

1.30 Lingfield Sudden Wish starts out for a yard in reasonable form. He won a handicap around here when fresh in January earlier in the year off a 5lb lower mark. He ran credible all starts after without winning and suggesting this mark was beyond him. Will be interesting if a yard that does well with these sorts can bring out a bit more and one to watch in the market. Rogue Reporter is just that a rogue and his attitude has defenetily been questioned on more than one occasion, ridden much more prominently last time out than normal over 7f. Has been tried over many trips and starting to look triples and hard to win with and up 3lb again for latest effort and one to leave alone. Percythepinto is worthy of being a saver bet in this field. He ran much better than his finishing position suggests he came from a long way back which has been hard at Lingfield recently and if he was ridden more prominently would have finished much closer for all the winner got the run of the race in that race. Dropped a 1lb for that and is now running off his last winning mark and if building on that effort should run a much better race. The other that has to be of interest is Cativo Cavallino who finished slight in front of Percy last time out in same race but came from a slightly better position but still not that great so that effort can be marked up aswell. He didn’t travel aswell as Percy but his attitude gets him a long way. He too has been dropped a 1lb for that effort and has fallen to a very tempting mark 10lb below last winning mark. He gets on well with this jockey and goes well around here with 7 wins coming here so if building on that effort he could run a big race. 2pt win Cativo Cavallino 9/2 bet365 1pt win Percythepinto 6/1 bet365 4.30 Kempton Sakhees Pearl is largely consistent and pays for that consistency with her mark hardly moving, she did meet some trouble in running last time out but was held and looks summed up by her mark at present. Hurricane Hymbrook is consistent on the AW, but all last 3 runs he has got going far too late and has become a holder of his own fortunes and far too risky to get involved in. Brimstone Hill is another that has proved his liking for the surface at Wolverhampton. He was only beaten a nose last time out behind Lean On Pete. Up 2lb for that effort and main worry is form on 2 runs around here is abysmal so has to prove he is effective around here but does atleast have a low draw. The one that interests me the most is Fairyinthewind who finished extremely well having got trapped on heels at Lingfield last time out at first try at this trip, only up a 1lb for that effort and well drawn tonight. She was quite keen last time out in a muddling race that was a bit stop start and should get a sounder gallop around here and has only raced here once and that resulted in her sole success this time last year. 2pt win Fairyinthewind 13/2 pp 7.00 Kempton This looks a very strong race for the grade. It should be run at a decent clip with No Such Number, Always The Lady, Beat Route all likely to push on. Six Silver Lane won last time out at Laytown over 7f and this is a dramatic step back up in trip and unproven over this trip and a 3lb rise leaves him looking vunerable startings out for a new yard and can only be watched. Mica Mika is on a potentially dangerous mark but has merely gone through the motions since winning when fresh in May and would like to see more spark before getting involved. Also making AW debut tonight. Fourth Generation looked a tad unlucky last time out when meeting all sorts of trouble in last 2f’s, handicapper also noticed that and put him up 2lb for that effort and will now need a career best effort from a wide draw. Epic Storm won a weak looking maiden last time out and a mark of 76 looks extremely harsh given how close the fully exposed 58 rated maiden finished to him. No Such Number won when last seen in Sept when beating Aleksander (who has won around here since) that wasn’t a great race though it was a maiden handicap and this is a lot more competitive off a 4lb higher mark and not seen for over 2months again. Moderator gets in off bottom weight, he won on penultimate start on turf before only just failing to back that up off same mark over slightly further. Up 3lb and drops back in trip which perhaps doesn’t look ideal. For me Icebuster looks the obvious winner. He backed up a good effort prior to last time out when finishing 5^th over 2f further at Wolves. He was ridden patiently to make sure he got the trip which he showed he did having finished full of running after an awful passage through. He pulled quite hard in that race as did several others since the pace was fairly slow throughout. Given this slightly shorter trip and a stronger pace to chase he should be dangerous off the same mark and good draw. 2pt win Icebuster 9/2 vc

[Aidymac]

Re: Flat Racing 21st November *Miss Blakeney > Kempton 7:30 > WIN @ 7/1 Bet365 BOG* Mutual Regard is deserved favourite here, but certainly should not be 5/6 in my opinion, was thinking 7/4. Definately worth taking on, as when it got to the lead last time out, it idled in front and nearly paid the price, so definately looks like a trickier horse than the odds suggest. Value for me lies with Miss Blakeney who drops a pound down to 65 after a close 5th of 12 at Lingfield last time out, only 1 length behind the winner, and that was also a Class 5 and runs in Class 6 company tomorrow. It was also 2nd over course and distance in better grade (Class 5) two runs back, and with George Baker booked, 7/1 looks far too big.