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NCAAF: Week 12


blackcrow

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Florida Atlantic -2.5 @ 2.16 pinnacle Two pretty ordinary sides here with just local bragging rights up for grabs. Florida Atlantic have scored 34, 34, and 37 points against their last 3 Sun Belt opponents while Florida International have allowed at least 34 points in 4 of their last meetings with teams from the Sun Belt. FA have allowed 28 points or less in their last 3 games while FI have scored 28 points or less in 4 of their last 6 games against the Sun Belt teams. Both have had their problems moving the ball, while FA has shown some form in defending the pass, which should force FI to run the ball more, and make them one dimensional. Not much between the two sides but like the home team to edge this Air Force -23.5 @ 2.12 pinnacle Air Force will run on this Hawaiian defence, as they average 335 rushing yards per game while Hawaii allows 210 rushing yards per game, and by the second half, they will be so tired trying to stop the run, then expect Air Force to find these holes in their defence so easily. Air Force do not have of a passing game, and they also struggle to defend the run, but Hawaii does not have much of a running game to expoit this. Where Hawaii will try to do well is to throw on them, but AF have been pretty good in defending the pass, as they allow 185 yards per game, so doubt that they will do that well here too. Like AF to wear them down and be too strong for them as the run gradually tires the Hawaiian defence out Record: 72-81 (-3.01)

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Re: NCAAF: Week 12

Florida Atlantic -2.5 @ 2.16 :( Air Force -23.5 @ 2.12 :(
Bowling Green - Kent State under 45.5 @ 2.06 pinnacle BG have a very good defence that allows just 182 passing yards and 104 rushing yards per game, as they have allowed 14 points or less in their last 6 games. Kent State will look to run the ball, which they do well, as they lack a passing game, which should make it easier for BG to plan their defence against them. On offence, BG also prefers to run the ball than passing it, and they come up against a Kent State defence that does pretty well against then run, with 132 rushing yards per game allowed. With both sides looking to run the ball and they have two defences that can defend the run, then like their to be plenty of punting in this game as both teams ave problems in sustaining their drives Cincinnati v Rutgers under 45.5 @ 2.17 pinnacle Cincinnati has a balanced offence that averages 229 passing yards and 227 rushing yards per game but is up against a good Rutgers defence that allows 199 passing yards and 110 rushing yards per game. Rutgers offence have struggled to move the ball as they average 217 passing yards and 130 rushing yards and are up against a Cincinnati defence that allows 247 passing yards and 129 rushing yards per game. Looks like a game where both defences dominate so anticipating a low scoring game here. Mississippi State - Arkansas over 57.5 @ 2.13 pinnacle Mississippi State will look to throw the ball here as they average 238 passing yards as well as 145 rushing yards per game, and though Arkansas has a good rush defence that allows 120 rushing yards per game, they do give up 290 passing yards per game. They had scored 27+ points in their first three games, but then they came up against three very good teams in Alabama, Texas AM and LSU, so Arkansas should be more to their liking. Arkansas averages 303 passing yards per game, and just 120 rushing yards per game, and with Miss State allowing 216 passing yards and 163 rushing yards per game, like them to be able to gain some yards here. Like both QBs, Russell and Wilson to move the ball through the air and send this one over UCLA - USC over 66.5 @ 2.15 pinnacle UCLA's balanced offence averages 286 passing yards and 211 rushing yards as they have scored 44+ points in their last three games, and like them to do well on this USC defence that allows 243 passing yards and 148 rushing yards, and allowed 39 points at Arizona and 62 points at Oregon. USC has a very good offence that has averaged 304 passing yards and 159 rushing yards per game, and has scored 36+ points in their last 4 games. Like them to do well on this UCLA defence that has allowed 36+ points in 3 of their last 5 games to the likes of Arizona State, Washington State and California, neither of which boast offensive players like what USC has. With both offences dominating here, looks likely this will go over Boise State -30.5 @ 2.21 pinnacle Boise State averages 215 passing yards and 159 rushing yards per game as they have scored 45 points on Wyoming and 49 points on Hawaii. With Colorado State allowing 200 passing yards and 203 rushing yards per game, like them to get a few TDs here as they pass and run over this defence. They gave up 42 points to Air Force, 38 points to San Diego State and 45 p[oints to Wyoming. On their own defence, Boise State allows 169 passing yards and 131 rushing yards per game, and with Colorado State averaging 220 passing yards and 123 rushing yards, then like them to contain them. Boise State's defence has been very good in getting to the QB, and setting up shorter fields for their offence, as well as creating turnovers, so like them to continue the pattern of that play here. Georgia Tech - Duke over 68.5 @ 2.16 pinnacle Georgia Tech averages 139 passing yards and 324 rushing yards per game and expect them to run all over this Duke defence that allows 263 passing yards and 183 rusing yards per game. GT have scored 31+ points in 7 of their 10 games as they are coming off a huge 68-50 win over North Carolina while Duke has allowed 30+ points in their last 4 games. Duke averages 270 passing yards and 101 rushing yards per game, as they will look to pass on this GT defence that allows 256 passing yards as well as 149 rushing yards per game. They have allowed 41+ points in 5 of their last 7 games while Duke has scored 33+ points in 6 of their 10 games. Both teams are capable of scoring quickly and believe they will do so here again Wisconsin -5.5 @ 2.48 pinnacle Two similar teams here as both teams struggle to pass the ball while they run the ball very well. Also both teams are very good in defending the run, but whereas Wisconsin allows 206 passing yards per game, Ohio State allows 260 passing yards per game. Wisconsin's defence has allowed 16 points or less in their last five games while they have scored 31+ points in 4 of these 5 games. Ohio State have scored 29+ points in their last 5 games but they have also allowed 22+ points in these games as teams have managed to pass on them. Like the Badgers here to edge this one Record: 72-83 (-5.01)
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