Draw me some profit...

[mulcy]

Hi all, I've been a long time follower in the Glory Hunters forum and the forum in general. Like a lot of people, I've tried various strategies, methods, idiot ideas and many more but have usually ended up in a loss, a big loss. I'm now trying to lower my expectations and be more structured and sensible with my betting. Anyway during another busy afternoon in work I had a brief brainwave of a Draw strategy I thought may have some legs. I'm sure to all you seasoned punters out there this is an old, tried and failed method but hear me out. I will use the West Ham v Man City game coming up this Saturday. The odds are as follows... Bet Odds Stake Ret Profit Pro aft Com Score 0-0 17.50 8.94 156.45 147.51 140.00 Score 1-1 8.60 19.40 166.84 147.44 140.00 Score 2-2 17.00 9.22 156.74 147.52 140.00 Score 3-3 65.00 2.30 149.50 147.20 140.00 Total Stake 39.86 Liability Draw 4.30 41.80 179.74 137.94 137.94 Outcomes Overall profit/loss Draw 3-3 £ -137.94 So the plan would be to back correct scores for draws from 0-0 up to 3-3 with a varying stake to give equal profit. The 'counter bet' is then to lay the DRAW match result. The difference between the total stake placed backing the correct scores and the stake received in the lay bet would give us a profit across the board no matter the result. I say no matter the result, the sore spot of this system would be if the match ended in a draw greater than 3-3. This would then results in a huge £137.94 loss. I tried looking for some stats as to how many games finished in a draw above 3-3 but couldn't find exact stats. If anyone could direct me to a site that might have these that would be great? So please let me know your thoughts. Criticism, encouragement, any past experience trying such a system, if you think its a good idea, bad idea, try at your own financial downfall idea, possible improvements to the system etc. I haven't posted anything in this forum and just want to get involved so thanks reading. Jimmy, :D

[mulcy]

Re: Draw me some profit... I've realised a mistake already. My profit calc for getting a correct draw result doesn't take into account the losing stakes from backing the other incorrect draw results. I'm going to try and redo my excel sheet to recalculate the stakes for each draw score while taking into account the total outlay backing all the draw results.