Boulders Value Home Wins

[Boulder5111]

This system is aimed at finding home wins that are overpriced. I’ve basically come up with a formula which generates a price and if that price or bigger is available, then it is a bet. The selection will be a percentage of the bank dependent on how big the “edge” is – the minimum stake is 3% and the maximum is 7%. There is also a “Multiple Bet” element which is used whenever there are 4 games in close chronological proximity. The bet for these is always 4 Trebles and 1 four-fold to a unit stake of 0.5% of the bank so the total stake for the bet is 0.5 * 5 = 2.5% of the bank. Starting bank is 100pts and the games are from the top divisions in England, Germany, Italy, Spain and France (ie 5 leagues in total). Since this system is purely about finding “value” home wins, there’s very little in the way of odds on shots (less than 10% will be odds on). I expect there to be an average of 4 or 5 bets per week.

[Boulder5111]

Re: Boulders Value Home Wins 20/10/12 Tottenham (15/8) v Chelsea (stake 3% = 3pts) 20/10/12 Werder Bremen (5/4) v Bor Monchengladbach (stake 3% = 3pts) 21/10/12 Osasuna (21/20) v Betis (stake 3% = 3pts) 21/10/12 Parma (11/10) v Sampdoria (stake 3% = 3pts) Mutliple is with William Hill at prices of (in order) 17/10, 11/10, 11/10 and 13/10. Stake is 0.5pts * 4 trebles and 0.5pts * 1 acc = 2.5pts staked. Total stake for this weekend is therefore 14.5pts