Flat Racing Monday 1st of October

[Aidymac]

*The Giving Tree - Bath 3:50* Agree with Timmy, like this horse. Is 100% in this Class 5 grade. Was staying on late and fast last time out to finish 5th of 13 in a Class 4, runs off same mark. Step up in trip will definately suit the way it stayed on last time out. Good chance. *1 Point WIN @ 6/1 Bet365 BOG*

[robertob]

Re: Flat Racing Monday 1st of October 15.20 Bath: Scottish Boogie @ 15/2 bet365 Scottish Boogie looks to regain some of his old form and looks sure to take rather sooner than later advantage of a slipping mark. His most recent performance at Sandown in a good class 4 handicap - when he was racing for new connections for the first time - was eye catching enough to suggest that he's well handicapped at the moment. The race wasn't really ran to suit him. The pace was rather modest while he was racing in rear of the field. The horses that came from off the pace found it impossible to peg back the leaders after all in this race and so it was no surprise that the first three places where filled by horses who were ridden prominently, won by a front-runner. That says Scottish Boogie ran with loads of credit to finish from well off the pace in 6th place only four lengths beaten. He made stylish headway on the inside in the closing stages without being fully ridden out. This form works out well already with 7th finished Borug winning a Handicap today. Scottish Boogie gets another pound off his already low handicap mark as a result of this performance and drops in class here. His last win on the flat is already two years ago (won by 19 lengths in heavy conditions a 4 runners handicap off 76) but he showed some creditable performances in Ireland of higher marks after that. Overall I think he should go close tomorrow. 15.50 Bath: Hawaana @ 12/1 Bet365 Very competitive race but Hawaana really is an attractive prospect here for different reasons for this price I feel. Most importantly for me he caught my eye at Brighton recently. He was outpaced 3 furlongs out and looked very much beaten at that stage as he was relegated to second last but he stayed on very well to finish a fine 3rd in the end. He had no chance with the first and second, two progressive horses, though. Surprisingly he really gets a chance by the handicapper as a result of this performance as he drops another 2lb in the mark which brings him down to 68 which is 7lb below his last winning mark. Ground shouldn't be a problem even though in an ideal world there would be a bit rain at Bath tomorrow. That looks not on the card, but he has form on a fast surface and the pace should be decent enough with a couple of horses in the line-up who are preferring to race prominently or even from to front. There are a few interesting figures about trainer and jockey as well. The Callan/Gay Kelleway combo relished an almost 20% strike rate the last twelve month while Kelleway didn't have one runner at Bath this year but brought in 2011 three times horses to this track and went home victorious twice!