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Go Broke With Maxi's Accumulator


maxi

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After 5 years in mothballs I thought I would resurrect this old thread again. With Sir Puntalot's ELO Ratings I thought it might be a bit of fun.

https://www.punterslounge.com/elo-football-ratings/todays-elo-ratings

I have had to reformat this OP as it was using the old page format from 5 years ago but I hope it still makes sense. I have uploaded a excel sheet for you  to help do the maths. It has a very small macro to clear the sheet when needed.If you want to adjust your profit expectation then just adjust the green cells in Column A.:)

I will get started by taking 5 games mentioned on Sir Puntalot's ELO page. :).(latest post).

http://s000.tinyupload.com/index.php?file_id=49855715463533275309

 

 

I was sorting through some old systems to throw out the other day and came across one that was doing the rounds about 25 years ago.The idea was to pick 3 homes and 2 aways in an accumulator,with 8 lines to cover multiple outcomes.Thus 8 LINES:
12345678
HHHHHHHH
HHHHHHHH
HHHHDDDD
AADDAADD
ADADADAD
  There are 2 home bankers,a 3rd home with draw cover and 2 aways with draw cover.
 we then multiply the odds for each line and divide 100/odds total each line.
So,basically I am trying to make $100 minus my outlay (quids over there). Rather than give you an example I will use this weeks selections as a way of initiation:
 home banker: blackpool v huddersfield 24/9/12 H1.66
 home banker: chelsea v stoke 22/9/12 H1.36
 home: spurs v Qpr 23/9/12 H1.44 D4.33
 away: barnet v rotherham 22/9/12 A1.72 D3.60
 away: bury v MKDons 22/9/12 A1.90 D3.40
line1:1.66x1.36x1.44x1.72x1.90=10.624 100/10.624=$9.41 line2:1.66x1.36x1.44x1.72x3.40=19.01 100/19.01=$5.26 line3:1.66x1.36x1.44x3.60x1.90=22.236 100/22.236=$4.50 line4:1.66x1.36x1.44x3.60x3.40=39.79 100/39.79=$2.51 line5:1.66x1.36x4.33x1.72x1.90=31.94 100/31.94=$3.13 line6:1.66x1.36x4.33x1.72x3.40=57.16 100/57.16=$1.75 line7:1.66x1.36x4.33x3.60x1.90=66.96 100/66.86=$1.50 line8:1.66x1.36x4.33x3.60x3.40=119.65 100/119.65=$0.84
total outlay=$28.90
I have used bet365 odds.
So I guess I am looking to win at least every 3rd attempt.
I seem to remember I enjoyed this so i'll give it a go anyway.

http://s000.tinyupload.com/index.php?file_id=49855715463533275309

Edited by maxi
Page was 5 yrs old and using old format.
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