Flat Racing 17th Sept

[chris34]

2.00 Wolverhampton Not keen on apprentice races can often get some strangely run races and a lot of poor rides and bumping but there is a horse I feel is very dangerously well handicapped in this race and cant be ignored. There is a serious lack of front runners in this field so may pay to race prominently. Flash Fox has already moved in the market not that it would take much to move at this time of night and also perhaps people expecting a gamble from this yard. He was a very cheap purchase from Germany and wins have came over and apparently showed nothing in 2 starts in Germany this year so cannot be backed from a form perspective. Tigertoo has come down the weights fairly quickly but has shown enough to suggest he is perhaps well handicapped off a basement mark of 46 now, finished runner up 3 starts ago over CD in a stronger race before travelling very strongly at Brighton before getting involved in all sorts of trouble, did extremely well last time out to get within 2 lengths of winner at Kempton over shorter from 5lb out of the handicap and stayed on strongly to suggest this trip well worth another try. Jockey an unknown quantity a slight concern yet to ride a winner from 6 starts but he just looks to dangerous to ignore in a race like this where he could get a soft lead aswell if getting across from wide draw. 2pt win Tigertoo 4/1 bet365 3.30 Wolverhampton Strong looking race for a class 5 with plenty of last time out form. Top weight Majuro won last time out at Epsom, race rather gifted to him that day likely to find things tougher under a 6lb penalty. Scotish Lake is looking for a hatrick here, clearly improving at the moment and may be able to overcome a 6lb rise in the weights despite coming away from Kempton but more concerning is the presence of other front runners unlikely to get soft lead. Same applies to Amoure Medici who didn’t score with much to spare last time out and a 5lb rise could easily find him out and 2^nd also let that form down couple days ago. Roy The Boy appeared to find improvement out of knowhere on AW debut last time out over CD, didn’t over convince with attitude that day having to be rousted along early and looks one to avoid at a short price as could easily revert to type given half a chance and wide draw wont help that neither. I Confess has finally dropped back down to last winning mark and has been showing more positive signs just recently under this young jockey. Goes well on the AW so if anywhere near his best he should run well in a race which should be run to suit with plenty of pace on. The other that should appreciate the good gallop is Kingswinford, ran well on Saturday at Chester from a wide draw perhaps finding stamina slightly stretched this return to 7f will suit and still looks well treated on very best form slight question over surface having had just the 4 runs showing just enough that he can be effective on it. 1pt win I Confess 10/1 bet365 2pt win Kingswinford 13/2 hills

[Falbrav]

Re: Flat Racing 17th Sept PETER ISLAND 3.20 Brighton 1 point win. Not good last time, but decent before that and he can repeat that run again today. Dazzler on board and there isn't nobody better going from the front than him, so although a few pound higher than for latest win, he can still go very close if Holland gets his fractions right. Trip and ground no concerns and a big price considering he has as much chance as any and better than most. 16/1 William Hill BOG