Stupid jackpot Rugby Winning Margin System

[Marazan]

Some bookies offer a very stupid market which is winning margin in 5 point increments, 1-5,6-10 etc. Using the results of my hadicapper I get a strike rate of about 15% if I aim it at the winning margin market. Normally the lowest odds offered for a winning margin by WH is @5 so if I only ever hit that then it's a losing proposition. However I just need to hit the occasional @10 or @17 to make it profitable. I've done no backtesting against odds for this system as I don't have access to any. It's an incredibly stupid market to aim at due to the arbitrary nature of the boundaries but I'll be having a go at it (with very small amounts of real money). [TABLE=class: grid, width: 500]

[TR] [TD]Team[/TD] [TD]Margin[/TD] [TD]Odds[/TD] [TD]Bet Size[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Harlequins[/TD] [TD]11-15[/TD] [TD]8.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Exeter[/TD] [TD]1-5[/TD] [TD]5.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Northampton[/TD] [TD]6-10[/TD] [TD]7.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Worcester[/TD] [TD]1-5[/TD] [TD]5.5[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Saracens[/TD] [TD]6-10[/TD] [TD]5.5[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Marazan]

Re: Stupid jackpot Rugby Winning Margin System [TABLE=class: cms_table_grid, width: 500]

[TR] [TD]Team[/TD] [TD]Margin[/TD] [TD]Odds[/TD] [TD]Bet Size[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ospreys[/TD] [TD]11-15[/TD] [TD]9.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ulster[/TD] [TD]1-5[/TD] [TD]5.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Marazan]

Re: Stupid jackpot Rugby Winning Margin System [TABLE=class: cms_table_cms_table_grid, width: 500]

[TR] [TD]Team[/TD] [TD]Margin[/TD] [TD]odds[/TD] [TD]Bet Size[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Scarlets[/TD] [TD]1-5[/TD] [TD]5.5[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Cardiff Blues[/TD] [TD]1-5[/TD] [TD]5.5[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Marazan]

Re: Stupid jackpot Rugby Winning Margin System Curses, so many games tipped from correct winning margin to not at the last moment. Total staked: 0.9 Number of bets: 9 Winning bets: 1 Losing bets: 8 Strike rate: 11.1% Yield: -31.5% Profit (or Loss): - 0.35

[Marazan]

Re: Stupid jackpot Rugby Winning Margin System [TABLE=class: cms_table_grid, width: 500]

[TR] [TD]Team[/TD] [TD]Margin[/TD] [TD]odds[/TD] [TD]Bet Size[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bath[/TD] [TD]6-10[/TD] [TD]5.5[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Leicester[/TD] [TD]21-25[/TD] [TD]6.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]London Irish[/TD] [TD]11-15[/TD] [TD]9.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Saracens[/TD] [TD]16-20[/TD] [TD]11.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Northampton[/TD] [TD]16-20[/TD] [TD]6.5[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Marazan]

Re: Stupid jackpot Rugby Winning Margin System Friday night in the Rabo [TABLE=class: cms_table_cms_table_grid, width: 500]

[TR] [TD]Team[/TD] [TD]Margin[/TD] [TD]odds[/TD] [TD]Bet Size[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Cardiff[/TD] [TD]11-15[/TD] [TD]5.5[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Glasgow[/TD] [TD]1-5[/TD] [TD]5.5[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Munster[/TD] [TD]15-20[/TD] [TD]5.5[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Marazan]

Re: Stupid jackpot Rugby Winning Margin System [TABLE=class: cms_table_cms_table_cms_table_grid, width: 500]

[TR] [TD]Team[/TD] [TD]Margin[/TD] [TD]odds[/TD] [TD]Bet Size[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Leinster[/TD] [TD]26-30[/TD] [TD]10.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ospreys[/TD] [TD]11-15[/TD] [TD]6.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Marazan]

Re: Stupid jackpot Rugby Winning Margin System Slighlt gutted that the Leinster result missed given it was such an out there pick, and the Munster pick fell to a last minute penalty Total staked: 1.9 Number of bets: 19 Winning bets: 2 Losing bets: 17 Strike rate: 10.5% Yield: -42.1% Profit (or Loss): - 0.8

[Marazan]

Re: Stupid jackpot Rugby Winning Margin System [TABLE=class: cms_table_cms_table_grid, width: 500]

[TR] [TD]Team[/TD] [TD]Margin[/TD] [TD]odds[/TD] [TD]Bet Size[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]London Irish[/TD] [TD]1-5[/TD] [TD]5.5[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Worcester[/TD] [TD]6-10[/TD] [TD]6.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Harlequins[/TD] [TD]11-15[/TD] [TD]9.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Leicester[/TD] [TD]6-10[/TD] [TD]11.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Northampton[/TD] [TD]6-10[/TD] [TD]6.5[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Marazan]

Re: Stupid jackpot Rugby Winning Margin System [TABLE=class: cms_table_cms_table_cms_table_cms_table_grid, width: 500]

[TR] [TD]Team[/TD] [TD]Margin[/TD] [TD]odds[/TD] [TD]Bet Size[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ulster[/TD] [TD]6-10[/TD] [TD]6.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ospreys[/TD] [TD]1-5[/TD] [TD]6.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Marazan]

Re: Stupid jackpot Rugby Winning Margin System [TABLE=class: cms_table_cms_table_cms_table_grid, width: 500]

[TR] [TD]Team[/TD] [TD]Margin[/TD] [TD]odds[/TD] [TD]Bet Size[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Scarlets[/TD] [TD]5-10[/TD] [TD]5.5[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Leinster[/TD] [TD]11-15[/TD] [TD]5.5[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Cardiff[/TD] [TD]1-5[/TD] [TD]5.5[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Marazan]

Re: Stupid jackpot Rugby Winning Margin System Total staked: 2.9 Number of bets: 29 Winning bets: 2 Losing bets: 27 Strike rate: 6.9% Yield: -93.1% Profit (or Loss): - 2.7

[Marazan]

Re: Stupid jackpot Rugby Winning Margin System [TABLE=class: cms_table_grid, width: 500]

[TR] [TD]Team[/TD] [TD]Margin[/TD] [TD]odds[/TD] [TD]Bet Size[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]London Irish[/TD] [TD]6-10[/TD] [TD]6.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Northampton[/TD] [TD]26-30[/TD] [TD]8.5[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Gloucester[/TD] [TD]11-15[/TD] [TD]6.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Leicester[/TD] [TD]6-10[/TD] [TD]5.5[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Saracens[/TD] [TD]6-10[/TD] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Marazan]

Re: Stupid jackpot Rugby Winning Margin System [TABLE=class: cms_table_cms_table_cms_table_cms_table_grid, width: 500]

[TR] [TD]Team[/TD] [TD]Margin[/TD] [TD]odds[/TD] [TD]Bet Size[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Scarlets[/TD] [TD]1-5[/TD] [TD]7.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Glasgow[/TD] [TD]16-20[/TD] [TD]5.5[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]