In-Play arbitrage and short odds

[frenchypauly]

I have a question regarding a good staking plan for the following system.... Montpelier 2.20 - 3.10 - 3.50 Toulouse Bet 1 ) Montpelier £1.00 * 2.20 - £1 = £1.20 - £0.71 = £0.49 - £0.15 = £0.34 Bet 2) Draw £0.71 * 3.10 - £0.71 = £1.49 - £1.00 = £0.49 - £0.15 = £0.34 Now I will wait for the Toulouse odds to rise. Hoping that they get a man sent off, or concede a goal, or that the game stays 0-0 for long. 35 minutes into the game and Montpelier score! Toulouse odds now rise to 15.00. Bet 3) Toulouse £0.15 * 15.00 - £0.15 - £1.00 - £0.71 = £0.39 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- The only money I put up at risk is bet 1 and bet 2 = £1.71 And I can potentially guarantee my self a profit of = £0.34 or a 19.8% profit. Which is the same as betting £1 for a £0.19 profit. What this means is that I need 90% strike rate, an extremely unlikely strike rate. I seem to be getting an excellent strike rate (anything above 50% is good), but the problem is when I take a loss, it really hits hard. So in essence how am I suppose to manage my bank with short odds? Because I am always risking big. So how should I tackle these short odds?

[anaconda69]

Re: In-Play arbitrage and short odds Add a few correct scores for other team and trade out