Webbo's Premier League Value Selections

[Webbo_BB]

Hi all, I started a thread here: http://forum.punterslounge.com/threads/129427-Unbelievable-Premier-League-Profits yesterday about these selections and I have posted a link to the selections so far there and below are this weeks selections. My percentages for the Machester Derby happened to be exactly the same as the market had them so no bet on that one. Here is a link again to the results so far: http://www.betfairbanter.co.uk/PremierLeagueBets.xlsx and the monthly results since I started so far are: [TABLE=width: 398]

[TR] [TD=class: xl66, width: 161, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]Monthly Totals [/TD] [TD=class: xl67, width: 109, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [TD=class: xl67, width: 64, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [TD=class: xl68, width: 64, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl69, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

Month

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Units staked

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P/L

[/TD] [TD=class: xl70, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

ROI

[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl69, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

January

[/TD] [TD=class: xl71, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

240

[/TD] [TD=class: xl72, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

81.64

[/TD] [TD=class: xl70, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

34.01%

[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl69, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

February

[/TD] [TD=class: xl71, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

320

[/TD] [TD=class: xl72, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

-26.42

[/TD] [TD=class: xl70, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

-8.25%

[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl69, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

March

[/TD] [TD=class: xl71, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

450

[/TD] [TD=class: xl72, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

73.90

[/TD] [TD=class: xl70, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

16.42%

[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl69, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

April

[/TD] [TD=class: xl71, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

350

[/TD] [TD=class: xl72, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

244.30

[/TD] [TD=class: xl70, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

69.80%

[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl69, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

May

[/TD] [TD=class: xl71, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

[/TD] [TD=class: xl72, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

[/TD] [TD=class: xl70, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl69, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

TOTAL

[/TD] [TD=class: xl71, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

1360

[/TD] [TD=class: xl72, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

373.42

[/TD] [TD=class: xl70, bgcolor: #f2f2f2]

27.46%

[/TD] [/TR]

[/TABLE] All I do is input the % chances I think the 3 outcomes have, input the odds I have found and the sheet tells me which outcome differs the most. It does this using a kelly calculation and the sheet shows results for kelly stakes too but level stake are out performing them currently. It's actually great fun to do because it means you bet on things you normally wouldn't, that have value and that's how you can profit. Let's hope I can keep in profit! Webbo

[Grex]

Re: Webbos Premier League Value Selections Thanks for the link to your blog.... unfortunately, I simply get a message saying "sorry, the page you were looking for in this blog does not exist". :unsure Are you betting 10 unit level stakes, i.e. for this year, is your total number of bets 136 ? Good luck, anyway :ok