Premier League Darts - Week 7

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[TR] [TH][/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Thursday 22 March 2012[/TH] [TH]Player 1[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Player 2[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Hamilton, A v Whitlock, S (19:00 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4.3 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 6.2 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.58 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]102.68 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Lewis, A v Painter, K (19:45 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.75 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 6 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.6 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.59 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Van Barneveld, R v Anderson, G (20:30 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.5 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 5.5 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.38 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]100.20 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn] Taylor, P v Wade, J (21:15 GMT) [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.34 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 8 [/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 7.2 [/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.02 %[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

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Re: Premier League Darts - Week 7 I'll start us off. I'm up to +29.6pts overall now after a clean sweep last week. Taking lots of value this week so a clean sweep would be beyond expectations but I'm still confident of a decent enough profit this week. 3pts A.Hamilton to beat S.Whitlock 3/1 Boylesports Not sure how Hamilton can be 3/1 to beat Whitlock with the psychological factor that is in play in this match. Whitlock just can't seem to put Hamilton away. He led him 15-9 in the Matchplay last year and lost 17-15 and then led him 5-3 in the World Championship semi final and lost 6-5. Those two matches will give Hamilton all the belief he needs that he can win this match and by throwing first if he can hold his throw and have Whitlock under pressure we've seen in recent weeks that Whitlock will crack. Although he beat Anderson last week his doubling for the first 7-8 legs was an absolute shambles but thankfully for him he came good to edge home. Andy Hamilton hasn't won in the Premier League since the opening night and for 2-3 weeks in the middle there he didn't play well at all but he did play well in defeat to Taylor last week and showed signs that a return to form may not be too far away. I've said it before that I struggle to play Whitlock at odds on because he is an awful closer out of matches and he also isn't the best of chasers. When he's ticking Hamilton scores well and if he can score strongly and nail his doubles like he has been in the last 2-3 months then I think he can cause an upset in this match. I can't have anyone 3/1 in this tournament against anyone that isn't Taylor so I'll gladly take this price here. 4pts A.Lewis (-2.5 legs) to beat K.Painter 11/10 Bet365 4pts A.Lewis Over 4.5 180's 5/4 Skybet Adrian Lewis is still looking for his first win in this year's Premier League but I don't think he'll have too much longer to wait because I just don't see the edge which Painter can use to his advantage to get into this match. Painter won't outscore Lewis for long enough in this match and Lewis doesn't miss too many doubles so I don't see Painter getting let in which he has been in two of his three wins in the Premier League so far. Painter's confidence and belief is there to be respected in this tournament and I do respect it but I sensed last week Lewis was coming back into a bit of form, he was just a bit unlucky that he ran into Wade in not missing doubles mode. Lewis hit a lot of 180's in the match though and he was 5/6 on his doubles and ended with a 98.5 average which is better than anything Painter has produced in the whole tournament so far. Painter hasn't been heavily beaten in the Premier League yet but if Lewis is at his best he could be here. I like the Lewis 180's line too because in the six weeks which have gone so far in the tournament he has covered it on four occasions. The two times he didn't was in the opening week when he hit 4 180's then walked into an 8 leg blitz from Taylor where he barely got a look in and then in week four against Anderson where Lewis just didn't turn up. In losing efforts in the last two weeks Lewis has hit 7 180's on both occasions. I don't see Painter keeping up with that scoring power and with a good rhythm on his throw I think we'll see Lewis' first win of the campaign which will be by an 8-5 scoreline or easier and will have at least 5 180's in it. 5pts R.Barneveld to beat G.Anderson 13/10 Blue Square Raymond Barneveld comes into this match off the back of a good win over Kevin Painter last week. It's fair to say Barney hasn't had the results his darts have deserved in this tournament so far but he's in the logjam on six points and in with a chance of pushing on and claiming a semi final spot, especially if he can continue playing for the next 8 weeks how he has for the first 6 weeks. What impressed me last week was Barney's doubles under pressure and if he hits pressure doubles here then I would expect him to win because the chances are Anderson won't. The 8-6 scoreline that Anderson lost to Whitlock by last week heavily flattered the Scot because if Whitlock had hit his doubles the Aussie could have won the match 8-2. Barneveld is scoring well enough to keep up with Anderson should the Scot score well, something he hasn't really done in this tournament yet, and he's hitting doubles to a good percentage too. A couple of weeks ago he was 4/4 against Taylor on doubles which bodes well for us followers. We also have to factor in the 10,000 strong crowd who absolutely adore Barneveld. We've seen Gary Anderson lose focus and confidence when the crowd has been against him in the past and he will have 10,000 Irishmen cheering on the Dutchman in this match. I expect that to have a significant effect on the Scot and if Barneveld, who throws first, can get in front and get the crowd on his side he could just run away with this match. With that in mind I'll take Barney, who has been much the better player week in week out of these two, to win this one. 3pts J.Wade Most 180's vs P.Taylor 11/4 Coral A pure value pick this one but I think it's got a chance. In only two weeks out of the six so far has Phil Taylor hit more than 4 180's. That was on the opening week against Adrian Lewis where he played 8 of the best legs of darts I've ever seen and then against Barneveld where he wasn't much worse. He's had 4 180's on two occasions but last week he only hit 1 180 in a pretty routine win over Andy Hamilton. James Wade comes into this match off the back of three successive wins in the tournament and one of the platforms for those wins have been his 180 scoring which has been much better than we would normally expect from the left hander. We know all about Wade's finishing but not so much his 180 scoring. However he's beaten Taylor's 180 haul in each of the last two weeks with 5 180's against Barneveld and 4 180's last week against Adrian Lewis. With Taylor still going down for treble 19's I think if Wade can hit 4 or 5 180's in this match he will have every chance of hitting the most 180's and at 11/4 I'm happy to pay to see just how close Wade can make the 180's bet in the final match of the night.