Working System?Coincidence?Suggestions?

[deux]

For years I am trying to get something out of statistics for games across Europe and was successful with some of them for a short period of time. This time I wanted to use a different one by using the things that I was not considering before. Briefly this is how it goes ; I thought that the major leagues that have high scoring percentages should be taken into account such as Belgium 1, Dutch 1-2 etc... The selection of games is done by checking the home and away team stats of home scoring, home conceding averages as well as clean sheet and failed to score percentages. For instance; Roda vs De Graafschap...I am taking average goals that Roda scored at home + Average De Graafschap conceed away...This gives a possible scoring margin for Roda..Doing the same thing for De Graafschap as well...Then Clean sheet of De Graafschap away + Failed to score percentage of Roda at home gives possibility of home team "not to score"...and for sure inverse will give possibility percentage of home team Roda to score...Finally doing the same thing for the away team will yield 4 values of Home team and away team possible goals amount + their possibilities...As in probability manner I multiply the percentages with goals will give 2 final values of predicted total goals in the match. The whole table is like this; [TABLE=width: 1193]

[TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Scored[/TD] [TD]Conceed[/TD] [TD]Clean[/TD] [TD]Failed[/TD] [TD]Scored[/TD] [TD]Conceed[/TD] [TD]Clean[/TD] [TD]Failed[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Average[/TD] [TD]Average[/TD] [TD]% H[/TD] [TD]%A[/TD] [TD]Home[/TD] [TD]Away[/TD] [TD]Total[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Roda JC [/TD] [TD]De Graafschap [/TD] [TD]2,36[/TD] [TD]1,36[/TD] [TD]0,27[/TD] [TD]0,18[/TD] [TD]0,8[/TD] [TD]2,4[/TD] [TD]0[/TD] [TD]0,4[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]2,38[/TD] [TD]1,08[/TD] [TD]0,91[/TD] [TD]0,665[/TD] [TD]2,1658[/TD] [TD]0,7182[/TD] [TD]2,884[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] I am using the games that gives a total value larger than 2,5... As a test I used this for the last week games and I got a nice profit out of it...Games were as follows; [TABLE=width: 471] [TR] [TD]Real Madrid [/TD] [TD]Racing Santander [/TD] [TD]3,35[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]FC Volendam [/TD] [TD]Willem II [/TD] [TD]3,32[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Helmond Sport [/TD] [TD]SC Telstar Velsen [/TD] [TD]3,25[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Almere City [/TD] [TD]Fortuna Sittard [/TD] [TD]3,20[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Utrecht [/TD] [TD]AZ Alkmaar [/TD] [TD]3,14[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Heerenveen [/TD] [TD]NAC Breda [/TD] [TD]3,14[/TD] [TD]NOT[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Schalke 04 [/TD] [TD]VfL Wolfsburg [/TD] [TD]3,14[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]raec mons [/TD] [TD]genk [/TD] [TD]3,11[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]FC Zwolle [/TD] [TD]MVV Maastricht [/TD] [TD]3,05[/TD] [TD]NOT[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]SC Cambuur Leeuwarden [/TD] [TD]Sparta Rotterdam [/TD] [TD]2,99[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Heracles Almelo [/TD] [TD]Roda JC [/TD] [TD]2,94[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Mechelen [/TD] [TD]germinal beerschot [/TD] [TD]2,91[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]AGOVV Apeldoorn [/TD] [TD]Go Ahead Eagles Deventer [/TD] [TD]2,78[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]De Graafschap [/TD] [TD]VVV Venlo [/TD] [TD]2,76[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]vfl bochum [/TD] [TD]union berlin [/TD] [TD]2,72[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Fenerbahce [/TD] [TD]Sivasspor [/TD] [TD]2,71[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]FC Oss [/TD] [TD]FC Eindhoven [/TD] [TD]2,68[/TD] [TD]NOT[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Groningen [/TD] [TD]PSV Eindhoven [/TD] [TD]2,64[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]hamburger sv [/TD] [TD]werder bremen [/TD] [TD]2,61[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]rsc anderlecht [/TD] [TD]westerlo [/TD] [TD]2,58[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]fc nürnberg [/TD] [TD]fc köln [/TD] [TD]2,53[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] This look quite satisfactory but of course I am not sure whether it is an outstanding coincidence or not...will surely check the coming week and decide whether to go further or say that I was "Lucky" the previous weekend...any suggestions will be appreciated...Hope we can get something out of this...

[deux]

Re: Working System?Coincidence?Suggestions? That seems no suggestions up to now...So for Friday following games are popped up from the system as over 2,5 [TABLE=width: 471]

[TR] [TD]Dynamo Dresden [/TD] [TD]MSV Duisburg [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]3,08[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]AGOVV Apeldoorn [/TD] [TD]BV Veendam [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]3,13[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]FC Emmen [/TD] [TD]SC Cambuur Leeuwarden [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]2,57[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]FC Dordrecht [/TD] [TD]Almere City [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]3,17[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Go Ahead Eagles Deventer [/TD] [TD]FC Oss [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]3,08[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Hope it will be a nice start...