BBOTD Tuesday 31st

[cpo]

1.40 Taunton Hobbs Dream 1pt Win @ 16/1 Bet365 That's Some Milan is a short priced favourite for this race and I just have my doubts with him. He ran a cracker first time up after a long absence and I feel he could be suspect to the bounce theory. The step up in trip should suit him and the stable are in great form at the moment but I wouldn't want to take too short a price with him. Sendinpost is another horse that comes from in form stable but his career has been fairly moderate up until this point and I wouldn't want to be with him here. The other horse at the top of the market makes plenty more appeal to me going for a stable who's runners are running well. That one is Acosta who has been running well recently without winning and may just be a shade high in the weights. In his younger days he won off a higher mark this this but he does look temperamental and can be opposed for win purposes. The horse I do like is Hobbs Dream who runs for Neil Mulholland. He was in great form this time last year winning twice very easily on heavy ground. It is after the handicapper put him up 24lbs after his Hereford win that his form has tailed off. He won at Hereford off a mark of 82 with the jockey claiming 7lbs but he did in the style of a progressive horse. Next time up however he was well beaten and every run since he has never been able to recapture that form. He has dropped from that mark of 106 to 83 which is what he races off in this race. They have a booked a young 8lb claimer for the ride but this is a conditional jockeys handicap. He doesn't have much experience but the handy 8lbs that he takes off the horses back puts him down to 75 which is what he last won at when romping to victory at Hereford this time last year. The ground conditions are a slight worry as all of his wins have come on heavy ground but his pedigree suggests that he should be just as good on this better ground. Neil Mulholland has said himself that the stable have been struggling but they look to maybe have turned a corner. His last few flat runners have ran well and they had one today that was backed off the board and just touched off. Mad Max didn't run too badly on his reappearance but Midnight Chase who is the stable star ran a great race at the weekend to win the Argento. Market confidence behind his flat runner today and the fact he ran so well to pull clear of the field with the eventual winner tells me that the horses are in good nick. Hobbs Dream has been running while they have been out of form and we have all seen what can happen when a stable hits form by looking at how Venetia Williams horses have been doing. I am just hoping for a better run from Hobbs Dream that he has shown on recent outings. His 2 wins this time last year were very impressive and if he can recapture that form I put him in with a shout here.

[Boulder5111]

Re: BBOTD Tuesday 31st T4.10 Fahrisee 0.5pt E/W 16/1 Ladbrokes I don't really fancy the 2 at the head of the market so I'm looking for an e/w alternative and Fahrisee fits the bill. Of the 2 favourites, Star Galaxy won well last time out but it'd be some feat to win off its revised handicap mark which is its highest ever basically meaning that you have to be a believer that the horse is improving at the ripe old age of 12 ! Renard looks too high in the weights now so the 2 that I fancied are Fahrisee and Lord Singer. I've sided with Fahrisee who doesn't have many miles on the clock for a 9-y-o and interestingly is the only runner in the field to have won off a handicap mark higher than that which it races off in this race. That is a major plus in that it only has 11 races to its name. It's won 3 of those and it's probably still got more to come. That career high win was off a 4lb higher mark and didn't have todays claiming jockey on board so the excellent Adam Wedge takes off a further 5lb making it look very well treated. The horse didn't like the bottomless ground last time out so I'm happy to ignore that run (many horses failed to complete in that race due to the ground) and the horse seems to run its best races at this time of year so I'm hoping it bounces back to form at a decent e/w price in this 10 runner race.