Flat Racing 19th Jan

[chris34]

4.30 Wolverhampton Dancing Welcome was an easy winner last time out over CD, but that came on the back of a break and now has a penalty to carryafter that success and she now needs a career best and 1lb worse off under a penalty aswell and yet to win back to back which is all enough negatives for me to look elsewhere at 2/1. Several of these reoppose Dancing Welcome on 6lb better terms and although she beat Chester Deelyte by 3lengths she could still turn it around with a capable apprentice taking off a handy 5lb, she has been in good form this winter winning over CD and over 5f around here and she may still have more to come. Gold Tobougg got off the mark in a very weak maiden and that form isnt worth much and didnt overly suggest she was close to adding to that last time out over 7f. Suddenly Susan is worth considering having won well at Southwell in december but was knowhere near as good last time out off a 6lb higher mark and is now a further 1lb higher off new mark, although might be the only prominent runner several like to be up there so perhaps not the softest lead likely and not so good away from Southwell. 2pt win Chester Deelyte 4/1 vc 6.30 Wolverhampton A massively wide open competitive handicap well worth having a look at! Maven has been in good form recently since tackling the AW and longer trips and although latest win didnt come in the strongest race it has worked out well and a 2lb rise is fair, but not guaranteed to get a soft lead today which is the main concern. Knowe Head is another that has been running well this winter but without winning, last win came in Sept off a mark of 56 now finds himself 14lb higher without winning since having gone close a couple of times in lesser races, cheekpieces also not worn today which he has run in last twice! Chosen Forever is a bit of a stalwart around here with 16 runs with 5 wins, ran right upto his best last time out over CD when kicking too early for home, but is only 2lb higher since last win and hes not badly drawn for a prominent runner and could make his mark. Postscript is well worth a small saver bet having only gone up 3lb for his first win around here over slightly shorter and now takes a big step up in class 6 to 4 but unexposed and open to a lot more improvement yet if this is too competitive! The one that interests me the most is The Mongoose for the Evans yard who continue in good form. Wrote this last time out; The other that interests me at a price is The Mongoose who showed plenty of promise in 2 maidens as a 2yr old, has since proved costly to follow in 3 starts last season but I was at Windsor when he made his seasonal reappearance and he looked a big imposing sort that clearly had some growing still to do. Has since left Stoute and been gelded and joined a stable renowned for picking up these sorts and getting wins into them and also in great form at the moment if he is ready to go after a 3 month absence he could turn out to be well treated off a mark of 70 especially on 2nd run as a 2yr old that looks a strong maiden. He ran a most promising race and aslong as he doesnt bounce he could finish closer this time off the same mark and Morris takes the ride. 2pt win The Mongoose 6/1 vc 1pt win Postscript 11/2 lads 1pt win Chosen Forever 10/1 vc

[Stevet1859]

Re: Flat Racing 19th Jan 6:00 Wolverhampton: Ebraam 1pt win 11/4 Betvictor If Ebraam can come back here of a long layoff anywhere near his best all weather form then he should win this. At nine there has to be a bit of a question mark, however Ron Harris is in decent form and Ebraam can go well off a break.