Flat Racing 16th Jan

[chris34]

3.25 Wolverhampton Warneford hasnt been seen for nearly 3 months since being claimed out of the Meehan yard when winning with great ease over this trip on turf in first time visor. New yard know the time of day with this sort of runner so would expect the market to tell the story but does come here on the back of a 3 month lay off. With Hindsight won a weak course maiden over 9f (2nd has since won another very weak maiden) when last seen, makes debut for new stable who have been rather quiet recently and had chances off similar marks in handicaps on turf prior to the switch to polytrack. Eyedoro made a promising debut but has failed to build on that effort since and looks one to tread carefully with at the moment although showed a lot more than recently when only just beaten at Southwell 4 days ago that was a maiden and will find this tougher back in handicaps and had a hard race that day and still needs to prove he handles polytrack having failed to beat a rival on it previously. For me War Of The Roses looks a tad over priced in a race lacking much depth. Always been a better horse on the AW and has a decent strike rate with 10 wins from 38 starts on the surface. His run style always makes him look hard to win with but he does have a decent attitude and is never going to win with much in hand. Handicapper reacted perhaps a little harsh on the face of his latest win back in April when beating Money Money Money by just a neck but she has since gone on and had a great season last winning off a 12lb higher mark so it could be said he beat an improving sort and a 7lb higher mark may prove fair in time, he has form off much higher marks in the past having won off a mark of 81 in the past runs off 68 today. Badly hampered on recent reappearance in a messy race before it got serious but should atleast strip fitter and aslong as getting a clean break from stall 1 could make his presence felt in this field at a big price. 1pt e/w War Of The Roses 16/1 hills

[Jackisnice]

Re: Flat Racing 16th Jan 3.25 Wolverhampton This grade five represents a drop in class for RUSSIAN GEORGE and he is also aided by first-time cheekpieces. His last three runs on the flat have been in high-quality races than this and after being dropped by 4lbs (I think generously) he is elegible for a 0-75 handicap. He met trouble last time out which cost vital momentum and although ultimately well-beaten I think a reproduction of that run should at least get him into the frame here considering that the race has worked out well with horses running in higher grades. RUSSIAN GEORGE'S trainer, Steve Gollings, does not have many flat runners, but from his last twelve, five have won. His jumps team are also in good order. Robert Winston is heading to Wolverhampton for just one ride here as well and is 2-12 when riding for the trainer. There should be enough pace to suit him with a few horses having led before and he has a fair draw to be able to jump out and get a good position. George Baker has a very strong record (10-36, 28%) with new horses running first time for him and the way Warneford won last time out coupled with the jockey booking make him impossible to ignore, and I would have been keen to have a stake covering saver on him but at 3-1 I think he is too short. JAWAAB has been running in some better races than today's and I am convinced he will bounce back some time soon and consequently I cannot let him run without a small bet back up in trip. 3.5pts each-way on RUSSIAN GEORGE at 20-1 taking BOGs, 1pt win on JAWAAB at 33-1 with Paddy Power taking BOGs.