robotzel78 Posted April 4, 2012 Author Share Posted April 4, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System 0.5W - 0.5D last results, two days ago. For today: Sevojno - Smederevo 2 (+0.75) 1.89 Radnicki Kragujevac - CZ Beograd 1 (+1) 2.15 Good luck ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 6, 2012 Author Share Posted April 6, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System 1W - 0.5D - 0.5L two day ago. For today: Forest Green - Ebbsfleet 2 (+0.75) 2.00 Newport - Telford 2 (+0.75) 2.01 Swansea - Newcastle 2 (+0.25) 1.83 Lok. Plovdiv - Vidima-Rakovski 2 (+1.75) 1.86 Odense - Horsens 2 (+0.25) 1.93 Bastia - Guingamp 2 (+1.25) 1.80 Good luck ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 7, 2012 Author Share Posted April 7, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System 4W - 2L yesterday, and the rating system is going faster this month. For today: Birmingham - Crystal Palace 2 (+1) 2.04 Rapid Wien - W. Neustadt 2 (+1.5) 1.81 Kapfenberg - Admira 1 (+0.25) 1.81 Litex Lovech - Minyor Pernik 2 (+1.5) 1.90 Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Vratsa 2 (+2.25) 1.98 Le Poire - Creteil 2 (+0.5) 1.85 Wolfsburg - Dortmund 1 (+1) 2.00 Bokelj Kotor - Buducnost Podgorica 1 (+1.25) 1.98 Grbalj Radanovici - Petrovac OFK 2 (+0.5) 1.91 Dinamo Bucharest - Petrolul 2 (+1.25) 1.97 Maribor - Nafta 2 (+1.75) 2.12 Fenix - Racing Montevideo 2 (+0.25) 1.98 Good luck ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 8, 2012 Author Share Posted April 8, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System 5.5W - 1.5D - 5L yesterday, with a minor loss. For today: Lok. Sofia - Levski 1 (+2) 1.94 Arsenal - Manchester City 2 (+0.25) 1.86 PSG - Marseille 2 (+0.75) 1.84 Schalke - Hannover 2 (+0.75) 2.08 A. Lima - Sport Huancayo 2 (+1) 1.83 Steaua Bucharest - Sportul Stud. 2 (+1.5) 1.88 Good luck ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 9, 2012 Author Share Posted April 9, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System Poor day, i "touch" just one of six picks: 1W - 0.5D - 4.5L. For today: Odense - Sonderjyske 2 (+0.5) 1.93 Good luck ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 11, 2012 Author Share Posted April 11, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System 1W yesterday. For today: QPR - Swansea 2 (+0.25) 2.12 Buducnost Podgorica - Sutjeska Niksic 2 (+2) 2.03 Rudar Plevlja - Berane FK 2 (+1.75) 2.08 Mogren - Decic Tuzi 2 (+1.25) 1.98 Good luck ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 13, 2012 Author Share Posted April 13, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System Very bad day: 0.5D - 3.5L For today: D. Cali - Quindio 2 (+1) 1.98 Le Mans - Amiens 2 (+0.75) 1.91 Petrolul - CFR Cluj 1 (+0.75) 1.87 Good luck ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 14, 2012 Author Share Posted April 14, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System With a little bit luck, we can have 3 of 3 winning yesterday. But Le Mans didn't want. So, the results for yesterday: 2W - 0.5D - 0.5L For today: Pogon Szczecin - Olimpia Grudzi***261;dz 2 (+1) 1.78 Metalac GM - Radnicki Kragujevac 1 (+0.5) 1.94 Koper - Celje 2 (+1.25) 1.92 Domzale - Triglav 2 (+1.5) 1.95 Good luck ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 15, 2012 Author Share Posted April 15, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System 3W - 1L yesterday, another good and green day. For today: Once Caldas - Envigado 2 (+0.75) 1.86 St. Etienne - Brest 2 (+0.75) 1.90 Vaslui - Dacia Mioveni 2 (+1.75) 2.16 Rapid Bucharest - Voinţa Sibiu 2 (+1.5) 1.81 Betis - Osasuna 2 (+0.5) 2.08 Vallecano - Atl. Madrid 1 (+0.5) 1.85 River Plate - Cerro 2 (+0.25) 1.80 GL ! Happy Easter ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System Not a very good results yesterday: 1.5W - 1D - 4.5L For today: Rennes - Nice 2 (+0.75) 1.95 Concordia - Dinamo Bucharest 1 (+0.5) 1.86 GL ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 18, 2012 Author Share Posted April 18, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System 2L two days ago. For today: Cherno More - Kaliakra Kavarna 2 (+1.5) 2.10 Piast - Olimpia Elbl***261;g 2 (+1.25) 2.12 GL ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 19, 2012 Author Share Posted April 19, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System We are approaching by final season in many leagues, and this can affect my system now. I just hope that the "black" period finished soon. Yesterday: 0.5W - 0.5D - 1L. For today: Svetkavista Targovishte - Lok. Plovdiv 1 (+1.75) 1.93 Montana - Litex Lovech 1 (+1.5) 2.05 GL ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 20, 2012 Author Share Posted April 20, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System Finally, a green day: 2W. For today: Monaco - Le Havre 2 (+0.75) 1.87 Olimpija Lublan - Nafta 2 (+1.5) 2.00 GL ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 21, 2012 Author Share Posted April 21, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System Another green day: 1W - 0.5D - 0.5L For today: Sassuolo - Gubbio 2 (+1) 1.98 Dacia Mioveni - Rapid Bucharest 1 (+1.25) 1.85 GL ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 22, 2012 Author Share Posted April 22, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System 1.5W - 0.5D yesterday, another day with profit. For today: Beroe - Svetkavista Targovishte 2 (+2) 1.88 Chernomorets - Botev Vratsa 2 (+1.75) 2.00 Brondby - Midtjylland 2 (+0.25) 1.85 Nieciecza - Górnik Polkowice 2 (+1) 1.85 CFR Cluj - Concordia 2 (+1.5) 1.81 Dinamo Bucharest - Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt 2 (+1.25) 1.83 Maribor - Triglav 2 (+2.25) 1.80 GL ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 23, 2012 Author Share Posted April 23, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System 2.5W - 2D - 2.5L yesterday. For today: Kaliakra Kavarna - Levski 1 (+2) 2.17 Odense - Aarhus 2 (+0.25) 1.95 Bastia - Chateauroux 2 (+1.25) 1.83 GL ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 25, 2012 Author Share Posted April 25, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System The results from two days ago: 1.5W - 0.5D - 1L. For today: OFK Beograd - CZ Beograd 1 (+1) 2.01 Dallas - Salt Lake 2 (+0.25) 1.83 GL ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 27, 2012 Author Share Posted April 27, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System Another green day for my rating, two days ago: 1.5W - 0.5D. For today: Nantes - Amiens 2 (+1) 1.96 GL ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 28, 2012 Author Share Posted April 28, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System 1L yesterday. For today: BATE - Soligorsk 2 (+0.5) 1.98 Chico - Quindio 2 (+0.75) 1.86 Reggina - Albinoleffe 2 (+1.25) 1.94 Grbalj Radanovici - Buducnost Podgorica 1 (+1.25) 1.79 Viking - Haugesund 2 (+0.5) 1.88 Vaslui - Astra Ploiesti 2 (+1) 1.88 Salt Lake - Toronto 2 (+1.25) 1.91 DC United - Houston 2 (+0.25) 1.92 Chicago - Seattle Sounders 2 (+0.25) 1.79 Danubio - Liverpool M. 2 (+0.25) 2.05 GL ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 29, 2012 Author Share Posted April 29, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System Yesterday i lost two games in the last minutes of the games. The stats are: 3.5W - 2.5D - 4L. For today: Neman - Dinamo Minsk 1 (+0.5) 1.83 D. Tolima - Cucuta 2 (+1.5) 1.84 Brann - VÃ¥lerenga 2 (+0.5) 1.80 Bella Vista - Rampla Juniors 2 (+0.25) 1.88 GL ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 30, 2012 Author Share Posted April 30, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System 2W - 2L yesterday. For today: Litex Lovech - Lok. Sofia 2 (+2) 2.00 Petrolul - Dacia Mioveni 2 (+1.25) 2.09 GL ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted April 30, 2012 Author Share Posted April 30, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System Because tommorow i have i busy day, i post now my picks for 1st May: Pescara - Vicenza 2 (+1.25) 1.83 Pandurii - Sportul Stud. 2 (+1.25) 1.87 CFR Cluj - FC Brasov 2 (+1) 1.97 GL ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted May 2, 2012 Author Share Posted May 2, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System From now on, evidence of my rating system is calculated for a fixed stake of 1 unit / game. Thus, everything was recalculated for the fixed stake. Stats of April 2012 Picks: 95 Stake: 95 Profit: 0.21 Win: 42.5 Void: 14.5 Lost: 38.0 Yield: 0.22% Hitrate: 52.80% Average odds: 1.92 April may be called transition months. I say this because in this month are "out" of the system calculations quite a few national leagues have come in the last five stages of the season, and have "entered" in calculations another leagues, the northern and from South America. Near the end of the season showed inconsistent results in many of the matches with sometimes surprising results. I would not want to get into polemics countertops, but signals that appear in many championships final season surprise results. Although the month started great, with a profit of 7u, followed by a period of inconsistent results, in which we recorded losses and to end the trend remained. What is gratifying is that April was not bad. Well, no profit is huge and the 0.21u over emphasized. What should be noted however is that, now in the 7th month of the system, every month has profit! Overall stats (from November 2011) Picks: 671 Stake: 671u Profit: 43.04u Win: 314 Void: 106 Lost: 251 Yield: 6.41% Hitrate: 55.58% Average odds: 1.94 April did not affect the overall performance rating system, but it has not improved. Yield site lies within reasonable limits, over 6% after 671 picks, which I say that is OK. Average odds remains above 1.90, and the hitrate is over 55%. May we hope to restore a more consistent again, and although this month we will have tournaments that come out, and new ones will come. Testerday results: 1W - 1D - 1L. For today: Aarhus - Lyngby 2 (+1) 1.88 GL ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted May 3, 2012 Author Share Posted May 3, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System 1D yesterday. For today: Gomel - Babruisk Belshyna 2 (+0.75) 2.00 Brondby - Silkeborg 2 (+0.25) 1.95 Odense - Aalborg 2 (+0.25) 1.94 Midtjylland - Koge HB 2 (+1.5) 1.93 Steaua Bucharest - Petrolul 2 (+1.25) 1.93 GL ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted May 4, 2012 Author Share Posted May 4, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System 2.5W - 1D - 1.5L, + 0.83u is the yesterday results. For today: Shamrock - UC Dublin 1 (-1.5) 1.79 GL! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted May 5, 2012 Author Share Posted May 5, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System 1L yesterday, -1u. For tommorrow: C-Osaka - Kobe 2 (+0.75) 1.86 Kashima - Tosu 2 (+1) 1.79 GL! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted May 6, 2012 Author Share Posted May 6, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System Another two picks for today: U. Catolica - Cobresal 1 (-1.5) 1.86 Junior - Cucuta 2 (+1.5) 2.00 GL! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted May 7, 2012 Author Share Posted May 7, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System 3W - 1L yesterday, with +1.51u. For today: Belshina - Slavia Mozyr 2 (+0.5) 2.05 Brest - FC Gomel 1 (+0.5) 1.75 GL ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted May 9, 2012 Author Share Posted May 9, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System 2L and -2u two days ago. For today: Gandzasar Kapan - Shirak Gyumri 2 (+0.75) 1.98 GL! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robotzel78 Posted May 10, 2012 Author Share Posted May 10, 2012 Re: robotzel78 Elo Rating's System 1W yesterday, and +0.98u profit. For today: Hougang - Young Lions 2 (+0.75) 1.75 GL! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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