Jump racing ~ Thursday 29th November

[Stevet1859]

1:55 Southwell: Commemorate 1pt win 2/1 Ladbrokes A risk even at these odds as Commemorate has not jumped a hurdle in public, however John Ferguson has made a cracking start this season with the horses he owns and trains. Commemorate ran to a decent level in France, has Saddler's Wells in his pedigree and is related to several useful jumpers. If Commemorate is of a similar standard to those who have run so far for the yard then he could go close here.

[Bathtime For Rupert]

Re: Jump racing ~ Thursday 29th November 3.00 Southwell - 3pts win Ruby Valentine @ 15/2 (Hills) This looks a really weak contest, and represents a drop in class for Jim Wilson's charge. Even though this mare was sent off favourite for her seasonal return, it was no surprise to see her need it as her record fresh is poor to say the least. She will have come on plenty for that, and the step back up in trip will help her around here. Prior to that run, her previous two efforts were sound. She dead-heated with a subsequent winner and then was 4th in a better race than this. It was a 0-115 handicap whereas today she competes in a 0-95. The winner has won again since, the 2nd is a nice type who has hacked up off 108, and the 3rd has been competing in hotter races. It was no disgrace to be 4th. Conditions are ideal today, and she looks a huge price in what is a very poor contest. The favourite is very short, even though the market support is interesting. I will still swerve given the absence, and the rest are pretty low-class animals anyway. My selection seems relatively likely to run to close enough her mark, and should go very well here. 15/2 looks way too big.