mellowyellow Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Hi all.I have decided to start a thread on first half overs after a season testing. I'm not handy with computers,all my bets placed are archived in a map. I place the bets at Asian bookmakers SBO or 12bet.You'll get lines of over 1 and over 0,75 there so you'll get many draws here but better a slow profit than throwing money away is my view. Starting bank is 1000 units and i stake 2% simple as that! Germany Regionalliga Nord Magdeburg--TSV Havelse OVER 1@1,83 ---------------------------------------------- Germany 3.Liga SV Darmstadt 98---Werder Bremen Amateure OVER 1@1,98 ----------------------------------------------------------------- Poland Ekstraklasa Cracovia Krakow--GKS Belchatow OVER 0,75@1,83 -------------------------------------------------------- Spain La Liga Levante Union Deportiva--Sporting Gijon OVER 1@2,28 ------------------------------------------------------------- Portugal Liga de Honra Trofense--Estoril Praia OVER 0,75@1,83 -------------------------------------------------------------- Cyprus Marfin Laiki League Enosis Neon Paralimni--APOEL OVER 0,75@1,81 ------------------------------------------------------ Norway Tippeligaen Sogndal--Molde OVER 1@1,83 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
staffy Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS :welcome and good luck. Can you check out this thread please with regards to rules. http://forum.punterslounge.com/f21/rules-posting-betting-systems-35636/ If appropriate the thread can be moved to glory hunters where the rules aree not as strict. Please remember to keep running totals of thread going to keep interest in the thread. Enjoy.:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mellowyellow Posted November 27, 2011 Author Share Posted November 27, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS I used to place bets on Full time overs untill i realised as i wrote in UsManyDead's thread that in many of my full-time over selections there was at least 1 goal before halftime and since then i've been concentrating more on first half overs.Some might say it's quite dangerous but to me it's simple if there are no goals in a match at halftime you very rarely see that suddenly 3 goals are scored after the break. Thanks staffy,i read the rules and will post a running overview of the system. What's indeed very important This is still a paper trail systemI've been running this system since Febraury of this year and i wouldn't advise any punterslounge members to bet serious money on my picks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mellowyellow Posted November 27, 2011 Author Share Posted November 27, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS 3 more for this evening. Hungary OTB Bank Liga NB Diosgyori VTK--Ferencvarosi First Half Over 1@1,89 -------------------------------------------------- Greece Super League Skoda Xanthi--Atromitos Athens First Half Over 0,75@1,88 -------------------------------------------------------------- Brazil Serie A Santos--Bahia First Half Over 1@1,84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mellowyellow Posted November 28, 2011 Author Share Posted November 28, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS Magdeburg--TSV Havelse Half Time 0-1 Draw Darmstadt 98--W Bremen Amateure Half Time 1-0 Draw Cracovia Krakow--GKS Belchatow Half Time 1-0 Win Half:ok Levante--Sporting Gijon Half Time 1-0 Draw Trofense--Estroril Praia Half Time 0-1 Win Half:ok Enosis Neon Paralimni--APOEL Nicosia Half Time 0-0 Lost:wall Sogndal--Molde Half Time 1-1 Won:clap Diosgyori VTK--Ferencvarosi TC--Half Time 2-1 Won:clap Skoda Xanthi--Atromitos Athens Half Time 2-0 Won:clap Santos--Bahia Half Time 1-1 Won:clap Starting bank--1000 Total Staked--200 Number of bets--10 Winning bets--6* * 2 bets won half as there was only 1 goal before half time. bets drawn--3 lost bets--1 Current bank--1065.40 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mellowyellow Posted November 28, 2011 Author Share Posted November 28, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS Only 3 games today. Poland Ekstraklasa Lechia Gdansk--Ruch Chrorzow First Half Over 0,75@1,87 --------------------------------------------------------------- Czech republic Gambrinus League Slavia Praha--Banik Ostrava First Half Over 1@1,95 --------------------------------------------------------------- Spain La Liga Malaga--Villareal First Half Over 1@2,11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS Good start mate :clap. I'm glad you decided to open your own thread. I think it would be useful if you would include the yield. Good luck. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mellowyellow Posted November 28, 2011 Author Share Posted November 28, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS Thanks for your nice comment UMD.A question to you,are push bets calculated in the yield or not on this forum? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS Thanks for your nice comment UMD.A question to you' date='are push bets calculated in the yield or not on this forum?[/quote'] TBO, I don't know, but I think they should, since you're still risking money on them. So, IMO, I think you should include them. Best of luck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mellowyellow Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS Monday's results Lechia Gdansk--Ruch Chrorzow HT 1-0 win half:ok Slavia Praha--Banik Ostrava HT 0-0 lost:cry Malaga--Villareal HT 2-1 won:clap Starting bank--1000 Total staked--260 Number of bets--13 wining bets--8* * 3bets won half(over 0,75) losing bets--2 push/drawn bets--3 yield +4,13% strike-rate--61.5% New bank--1076.30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mellowyellow Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS Tuesday 29-11 Morocco GNFE1 KAC Kenitra--Wydad Casablanca First Half Over 0,75@2,05 ----------------------------------------------------------------- Austria Erste Liga SV Grodig--SKN Sankt Polten First Half Over 1,25@2,12 ----------------------------------------------------------------- England Championship Watford--Bristol City First Half Over 1@2,03 -------------------------------------------------------------- Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS I used to place bets on Full time overs untill i realised as i wrote in UsManyDead's thread that in many of my full-time over selections there was at least 1 goal before halftime and since then i've been concentrating more on first half overs.Some might say it's quite dangerous but to me it's simple if there are no goals in a match at halftime you very rarely see that suddenly 3 goals are scored after the break. I don't believe this is true...it may be less frequent, but it is not rare at all. In fact, I think that depending on the league there are more goal chances in second halfs than first halfs as players get tired, fresh legs get brought in and game situations make teams desperate to equalize or get back in the game. Anyway, this could easily be checked by looking at HT scores, which are readily available. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mellowyellow Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS Fair enough but i was talking about Bundesliga/Serie A/La Liga and not about the Norwegian or Scottish 2nd division.On the other hand there is no timewaisting in first halves and you don't see many red cards either. I wouldn't like to chase 3 second half goals even if Barca was involved. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS Just checked 2011-12 so far: Bundesliga 1: first-half goals 159, second-half goals 206 Italy Serie A: first-half goals 121, second-half goals 158 Scotland 2nd: first-half goals 103, second-half goals 138 Statistics: They're not just for breakfast anymore. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mellowyellow Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS Yeah well it's stating the obvious really.In most leagues there are more second than first half goals.I'm not that big a plonker to know that. My point is that if the HT score is 0-0.How many of these games end up with 3 goals or more? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS Yeah well it's stating the obvious really.In most leagues there are more second than first half goals.I'm not that big a plonker to know that. My point is that if the HT score is 0-0.How many of these games end up with 3 goals or more? I wish I had a good site for looking stuff like this up. Anyway, slogging through scores, we find this for Bundesliga this season...this is the O/U for games that were 0-0 HT: Week 1 1-3 Week 2 1-3 Week 3 0-1 Week 4 0-4 Week 5 1-2 Week 6 1-1 Week 7 0-3 Week 8 0-2 Week 9 0-2 Week 10 0-5 Week 11 none Week 12 1-0 Week 13 0-2 Week 14 0-3 total is 5 overs, 31 unders I checked one more thing...how many times there is exactly 1 goal scored in the first half. So far in Bundesliga 1, there have been 125 matches. In 36 games (29%), there have been 0 goals scored at HT In 38 games (30%), there has been exactly 1 goal scored at HT That means multiple goals have been scored in the first half in 51 games. --So if the HT total is set at O1, you win 51, lose 36 --If the HT total is set at O1/1.5, you win 51, lose 36 full stake, and lose half-stake for 38 (basically, 51-74 in "unit" terms) I wrote all this out because in Bund.1 at least, you never see 0.75 lines for HT...it's a high-scoring league and the HT line is O1 or more typically O1/1.5...you'd lose over time in Bundesliga anyway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mellowyellow Posted November 30, 2011 Author Share Posted November 30, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS Tuesday's results KAC Kenitra--Wydad Casablanca HT 1-0:ok SV Grodig--SKN St Polten HT 1-0 lost half stake:cry Watford--Bristol City HT 2-1 won:clap After 3 days starting bank--1000 total staked--320 number of bets--16 winning bets--10* * 4 out of 10 won half(over 0,75) losing bets--3* * 1 bet half stake returned(over 1,25) push bets--3 yield--3,42% new bank--1097.10 If a moderator or another punterslounge member reads this thread i'd like to know how the yield works with push/drawn bets.For now i included these bets in the yield but i saw on another forum these were not included in the yield. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mellowyellow Posted November 30, 2011 Author Share Posted November 30, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS Wednesday 30-11 Regionalliga Nord FC St Pauli amateure--Hallescher FC First Half Over 1@2,02 South Africa ABSA Premiership Orlando Pirates--Ajax Cape Town First Half Over 0,75@1,94 Morocco GNFE 1 Olympique Safi--Ittihad Khemisset First Half Over 0,75@2,31 England Premier Reserves League Wolves Reserves--Liverpool Reserves First Half Over 1@1,72 Paraquay Clausura Rubio Nu--General Caballero First Half Over 1@1,94 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mellowyellow Posted December 1, 2011 Author Share Posted December 1, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS Wednesday's results St Pauli am--Hallescher HT 1-2 won:clap Orlando Pirates--Ajax Cape Town HT 1-0 won half:ok Olympique Safi--Ittihad Khemisset HT 0-0 lost:cry Wolves Reserves--Liverpool Reserves HT 0-1 draw Rubio Nu--General Caballero Asuncion*** Abandoned with a first half score of 0-2:wall after 4 days starting bank--1000 total staked--420 number of bets--21 winning bets--12* *5 out of 12 won half(over 0,75) losing bets--4 push bets--5* *this includes the abandoned match Rubio Nu--General Caballero yield--2,63% new bank--1106.90 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mellowyellow Posted December 1, 2011 Author Share Posted December 1, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS Thursday 1-12 Iran Azadegan League Naft Masjed Soleyman--Niroye Zamini First Half Over 0,75 The first half odds for the Qatar Stars League match between Umm Salal--Al-Khuraitiat are not yet available unfortunately. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mellowyellow Posted December 1, 2011 Author Share Posted December 1, 2011 Re: Mellow's First Half OVERS The odds for the match Naft--Niroye Zamini@1,84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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