Teams: End your streak.............please

[leony]

In a few weeks my first system is put on hold waiting for the new season to start in Scandinavia. So I've come up with another simple system. I've been running it for a couple of months now and it is doing OK (yield is positive). I've based on this system on the gamblers fallacy - so it should be fun. In this case it is a team's draw streak that I'm counting on will end. I go to the betexplorer website and click on their draw streak page. If a team has played 3 draws in a row I'm betting on that it will end. I will lay the draw in the next match the team plays. League games only. Not every team on a streak will be a qualifier for the system. I've noticed that lay odds are quite high in some leagues (Belarus, Hungary 2nd Division among others) and in some cases I'm not able to play games that has a 6 hour time difference. I will do a version with flat stakes and a version with a lay ladder (chasing losses). I know all about the dangers of doing that. If a match ends in a draw. The next match on the lay ladder will be the next match the team plays. Not the next match of the day (although that might be very effective). Both staking plans will lay the draw to win 1 unit (when Betfair has gotten their 5% share). This is not a paper trail although I'm only doing the chase part with real money. I'll start with a 200 unit bank for each staking plan. All lays will be placed at the Betfair betting exchange. Any questions just ask.

[leony]

Re: Teams: End your streak.............please I've made the following bets for tomorrow. There are some more teams on the streak list. I'll have a look at them tomorrow and see if I like what I'm seeing. I'll post again if I place any more bets for tomorrow.

	Bet	Country	Team	Next match	Date	Lay odd	Stake	Liability	Bet won	Profit (-5%)	Bank
	4	Gerrmany	Oberhausen	Bielefeld - Oberhausen	05.11.2011	3,80	1,05	2,94
	3	Turkey	Antalyaspor	Manisaspor - Antalyaspor	05.11.2011	3,60	1,05	2,73
	2	England	Rotherham	Rotherham - Aldershot	05.11.2011	3,60	1,05	2,73
	1	France	Tours	Angers - Tours	05.11.2011	3,50	1,05	2,63

Chase

Country

Team

Next match

Date

Lay odd

Stake

Liability

Bet won

Profit (-5%)

Bank

4a

Gerrmany

Oberhausen

Bielefeld - Oberhausen

05.11.2011

3,80

1,05

2,94

3a

Turkey

Antalyaspor

Manisaspor - Antalyaspor

05.11.2011

3,60

1,05

2,73

2a

England

Rotherham

Rotherham - Aldershot

05.11.2011

3,60

1,05

2,73

1a

France

Tours

Angers - Tours

05.11.2011

3,50

1,05

2,63

:hope