NFL Week 6

[Samba_SamPa]

Sunday 16 October 2011	Home	Away	BPP
	Atlanta Falcons v Carolina Panthers (18:00 BST)	1.54	2.87	99.72 %
	Cincinnati Bengals v Indianapolis Colts (18:00 BST)	1.36	3.9	98.97 %
	Detroit Lions v San Francisco 49ers (18:00 BST)	1.49	2.98	100.67 %
	Green Bay Packers v St. Louis Rams (18:00 BST)	1.12	9	100.00 %
	New York Giants v Buffalo Bills (18:00 BST)	1.57	2.71	100.59 %
	Pittsburgh Steelers v Jacksonville Jaguars (18:00 BST)	1.2	5.8	100.57 %
	Washington Redskins v Philadelphia Eagles (18:00 BST)	2.11	1.86	101.16 %
	Baltimore Ravens v Houston Texans (21:05 BST)	1.3	4.13	101.14 %
	Oakland Raiders v Cleveland Browns (21:05 BST)	1.37	3.6	100.77 %
	New England Patriots v Dallas Cowboys (21:15 BST)	1.36	3.6	101.11 %
	Tampa Bay Buccaneers v New Orleans Saints (21:15 BST)	3.1	1.46	100.75 %
	Monday 17 October 2011	Home	Away	BPP
	Chicago Bears v Minnesota Vikings (01:20 BST)	1.72	2.35	100.45 %
	Tuesday 18 October 2011	Home	Away	BPP
	New York Jets v Miami Dolphins (01:30 BST)	1.33	3.69	102.10 %

----------

[Samba_SamPa]

Re: NFL Week 6 There's 2 I particularly like this week Patriots (-7) to beat Cowboys @ 21/20 Bluesq To beat the Patriots you're going to have to do what the Bills done and force turnovers, but the Cowboys just don't look like the sort of team that are going to 'out-turnover' the Pats. Brady's thrown 6 Ints this year, 2 more than the whole of last year and 4 of those were in the game in Buffalo. Cowboys have thrown 7. Patriots have made 7 Ints to Cowboys' 4. Patriots and Cowboys have both forced 4 fumbles, recovering 2. On offense, Patriots have fumbled ONCE, and recovered it. Cowboys have fumbled 12 times, losing 3. In total, Pats are +4 on TOs and Cowboys are -3. The only team, Bills, to beat Pats are +11 - that gives an indication of what is needed. Despite the deficiencies of the Pats secondary, their O-Line has afforded Brady some excellent protection, and in what is likely, as in most Pats game, to be a shootout, I simply can't see Romo and the Cowboys being efficient enough to keep up with Brady. Pats by 10-14 for me. At odds-against the -7 looks a gift. Bears (-3) to beat Vikings @ 21/20 Various I'm fairly sure the Bears, for all that's wrong with them (poor Jay behind that O-Line!), are more than a FG better than a Vikes team that are 1-4, and throw leads away like they're allergic to them. The Vikes on offense basically have AP, whilst as well as Forte the Bears also have passing options in Forte himself, Knox, Hester, Sanzenbacher, Hurd etc. Whilst the Bears don't have as good a Rush D as Minni have, I don't think AP can outscore the Bears offense by himself. Last Monday the Bears were only beaten by huge plays from Best and Megatron - in the same way the Lions shouldn't get carried away by that match, then the Bears shouldn't be too despondent; they played more than adequately overall. At Soldier Field, providing they cut down on silly penalties (3rd most in total pens) I think Bears actually take this by double figures, so, again, odds-against, at the quoted line (-3 in this instance)... yes please.