NCAA Football - week 6

[WeakestLink]

MTSU -15.5 with bet365 , 2.50 , 10units ( Middle Tennessee state : Western Kentucky ) yards per game 465:298 ; yards per game allowed 395:473 ; points per game 30:14 ; points per game allowed 31:36. Passing leaders ( MTS : WK ) : TDs 10:3, intercepted passes 4:8. Rushing leaders ( MTS : WK ): TDs 4:2. Receiving leaders ( MTS : WK ) : TDs 7:2. I got a bit greedy in past few weeks , and that goes for American Football , since I pushed the spread to the limit. I'm being realistic about this one , so I'm pretty confident this will be a winning bet. MTS played a lot tougher opponents than WK did , and they still got better performances. They have much better attacking unit , and they should win this one by at least 2 TDs + 1FG , probably even more. WK has a lot of turnovers so that could give MTS at least another 6 points ( WK losses at least a FG , MTS wins at least a FG ). So better offense , better defense , fewer turnovers , home crowd.

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAA Football - week 6 Middle Tennessee -10.5 @ 2.01 pinnacle Middle Tennessee have averaged 305 passing yards and 160 rushing yards per game and that has been up against some of the better teams like Purdue and Georgia Tech compared to what they wil face here. They have averaged 30 points per game and while they have conceded more than that, you need to consider the quality that they have played against. On the other hand, Western Kentucky have struggled to score as they have averaged 14 points per game while they have allowed 30 points per game. A passing game that averages 161 and 136 rushing yards per game, will find it hard to get much even though this MT defence is not that good, this defence is not much better. MT can score while WK find it hard to do so, and though both defences are ordinary, MT should outscore them California +23.5 @ 2.02 pinnacle Oregon have a very good offence that passes for 234 yards but especially on the ground, with RB James that leads a rush offence that averages 300 yards per game, they are very good but they face also a very good rush defence that has allowed just 78 yards per game so far, and though the calibre of RBs are not as good as James is, they still have a good unit to negate his threat. On defence, Oregon allows 208 passing yards and 181 rushing yards, so teams can score on them, as they do allow some yardage. They allowed LSU to score 40 on them and Arizona State had 31 points last week. California passes for 295 yards per game, so expect QB Maynard to do well as Arizona managed to pass for 398 yards on them. Maynard also likes to manage the clock as his team tends to go on long drives, which will not only limit how much time Oregon has to drive the ball themselves, but gives his own defence time to rest and wait for James and co. With 8 of the last 11 meetings decided by 10 points or less, like California to keep this reasonably close, as Oregon should win, but doubt that they can beat the spread. Record 32-28 (+4.05)