Flat racing ~ Saturday 17th September

[Stevet1859]

2:30 Newbury: Redact 1pt win 9/1 Betfred If you put a line through Redact's last run then he possess a profile that was very much on the up. He got off the mark at the first time of asking at Lingfield and then landed a Novice event at Salisbury only having to be pushed out to win by five lengths. Redact then finished well at Newbury in the Super Sprint, and based on that, his run behind Gerfalcon at Ripon in the Two year Old Trophy was a disappointment. Presumably, Richard Hannon must feel that running was all wrong as Redact now steps up to a Group 2. Redact is reunited with Richard Hughes here and with Richard Hannon having a really impressive strike rate of 23% and a huge level stakes profit over last two weeks, there is good reason to hope that Redact will bounce back here. 3:20 Ayr: Our Jonathan 1pt win 22/1 Coral, Kaldoun Kindgom 1pt win 20/1 Bet365 & Croisultan 1pt win 16/1 Betfred Our Jonathan may still have all on to turn the tables with Pepper Lane, however he ran very well behind that rival at Ripon and the likely strong pace should suit again here. The ability to handle seven furlongs could also be a factor for encouagement as in recent renewals horses with form over the extra distance have performed well. Kevin Ryan knows what it takes to win and this race and has gone close too, so Our Jonathan looks to have a fair bit going for him. A four year old he could still be improving. Kaldoun Kingdom ran in this race last year when he was beaten four and a half lengths by Redford. That day Kaldoun Kingdom was on the wrong side (he may be again) however he is seven pounds lower in the handicap and although he has not run since June he can go well fresh. Last time out in June he looked to retain all his ability when running on over five furlongs when meeting some trouble in running. Off the same mark of 98 here, a decent run looks on the cards. The best prices about Croisultan have gone, however this horse proven on a softer surface still looks worth a small interest. He has been mainly running in pattern company of late which can often be hard to assess back in handicap company. Looking through his form, his last win was in a Listed race at Fairyhouse where Portland winner Santo Padre was behind, hard to know quite what to make of that, but a positive rather than a negative. Fit and in form he is another that could go close. 3:30 Newmarket: Big Occasion 1pt win 14/1 & Palazzo Bianco 1pt win 9/2 both William Hill In the past if a horse joined Martin Pipe, he was often able to improve it, and while it won't be easy to improve a former Aiden O'Brien inmate, David Pipe has inherited his father's touch and Big Occasion looks likely to go well. He is five pounds higher here than his last win, howver he is lightly raced and has plenty of scope. He has been gelded too which should help him settle. Palazzo Bianco is very lightly raced and as the only three year old in the field gets a handy 13lbs from his elders. With plenty of scope he looks likely to relish this longer trip. He is up six pounds since his last win and the form was not enhanced by the second Huff And Puff, however with John Gosden in fine form he is worth an interest in the race too. 3:40 Newbury: Astrophysical Jet 1pt win 20/1 Boylesports It may be worth taking a chance with Astrophysical Jet with her trainer in good form. She will need to leave this season's running well behind. That is a big ask, however, her two Group 3 wins last year marked her down as a sprinter going places. She is a five furlong specialist and although she has not run on this surface, by Dubawi, she should handle this softer going. Graham Gibbons is in the saddle again and although off seventy seven days, maybe Astrophysical Jet has been aimed at the chance to repeat last years win. Prices available at time of original posts......

[anokazr]

Re: Flat racing ~ Saturday 17th September how many runners does fahey need in the gold cup:\