Jump Racing~Sun 21st August

[Tedthewolf]

3.00 NEWTON ABBOT~Really decent race this. The fav Mamlook must have a chance on his 4th at Aintree in April on only his 4th try over the bigger obsticles and his mark of 135 is very fair.Jumping could have been better that day but i'm sure the pipe yard will have sorted that out over the summer. Classic Swain ran a very sour race lto which was out of character and i'll dismiss that he was 2nd in this last year and should go well with a lb less to carry and a 3lb claimer on top and is my pick off the three Nicholls runners. Bottom weight Lord Ryeford had a year out but seems to be on his way back after easy win lto . The 11yo ran 4th in this in 09 off 132 with 10lb less to carry and must be considered here. CONCLUSION~ I think Malmook will be hard to beat and Ryeford is set for a big run off bottom weight but at the prices it's an e/w bet @ 20/1 SJ on CLASSIC SWAIN for me as well as combi FC & TC on all three

[mileni4uk]

Re: Jump Racing~Sun 21st August Newton Abbot 3.00 Life Of A Luso 0.75pt EW - 20/1 Boyle Nothing new to say about him. Backed him fair few times this summer and I think he still has a win or two in him. This is a difficult race however. Not sure AP gave him the best ride over hurdles lto. I expect Tom O'Brien to take cover today and 123 should still be a winnable mark, because he is very genuine and keeps finding under pressure.

[Falbrav]

Re: Jump Racing~Sun 21st August JUST THE JOB 4.35 Newton Abbot. 0.5 points each way. Had a break after some decent efforts without a win, and although fitness has to be taken on trust & the handicappers given him a 5lb rise from last time's 2nd, he still appears to have a good chance in context with this race. The trip and ground's fine and should be able to get the race run to suit. If he's fit, then he goes close. 5/1 Bet365 BOG

[georgeCOSTANZA]

Re: Jump Racing~Sun 21st August

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	Newton Abbot
Selection	That'll Do (Each-way)
Strength	1/10
Date	21/08/2011
Bookmaker/Price	Stan James @ 15.00
Reasoning	Trainer Paul Nicholls is in very good form. 4 wins from his last 8 runs. His last three runners at the trac finished 2nd, 1st, and 6th. He does well here all the time having a strike rate of 33% the last 5 seasons from many runners, 44 wins from 135 runs with the chasers winning 20 of 60 or 33% of the time. He has three entries for this race. He's had the 2nd placed horse in the last two years so he knows what to do for this race. The selection has plenty of room to improve and the switch to fences had gone well with a 1st, 2nd, and 2nd. The win came on a 2m4f trip while the other two was for 2m5f and 2m1f. Daryl Jacob is booked and his form for Nicholls the last 30 days have 4 wins from the last 6 runs (112311).

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	Newton Abbot
Selection	Hoo La Baloo (Each-way)
Strength	1/10
Date	21/08/2011
Bookmaker/Price	Totesport @ 15.00
Reasoning	Trainer Paul Nicholls is in very good form. 4 wins from his last 8 runs. His last three runners at the trac finished 2nd, 1st, and 6th. He does well here all the time having a strike rate of 33% the last 5 seasons from many runners, 44 wins from 135 runs with the chasers winning 20 of 60 or 33% of the time. He has three entries for this race. He's had the 2nd placed horse in the last two years so he knows what to do for this race. The selection is one of two runners from owner The Stewart Family. They have a 11 wins from 22 runs here the last 5 seasons. The selection finished 2nd in this two years ago.

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	Newton Abbot
Selection	Classic Swain (Each-way)
Strength	1/10
Date	21/08/2011
Bookmaker/Price	Ladbrokes @ 21.00
Reasoning	Trainer Paul Nicholls is in very good form. 4 wins from his last 8 runs. His last three runners at the trac finished 2nd, 1st, and 6th. He does well here all the time having a strike rate of 33% the last 5 seasons from many runners, 44 wins from 135 runs with the chasers winning 20 of 60 or 33% of the time. He has three entries for this race. He's had the 2nd placed horse in the last two years so he knows what to do for this race. The selection is one of two runners from owner The Stewart Family. They have a 11 wins from 22 runs here the last 5 seasons. The selection finished 2nd in this last year.

[georgeCOSTANZA]

Re: Jump Racing~Sun 21st August

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	Newton Abbot
Selection	That'll Do (Each-way)
Strength	1/10
Date	21/08/2011
Bookmaker/Price	Stan James @ 15.00
Reasoning	Trainer Paul Nicholls is in very good form. 4 wins from his last 8 runs. His last three runners at the trac finished 2nd, 1st, and 6th. He does well here all the time having a strike rate of 33% the last 5 seasons from many runners, 44 wins from 135 runs with the chasers winning 20 of 60 or 33% of the time. He has three entries for this race. He's had the 2nd placed horse in the last two years so he knows what to do for this race. The selection has plenty of room to improve and the switch to fences had gone well with a 1st, 2nd, and 2nd. The win came on a 2m4f trip while the other two was for 2m5f and 2m1f. Daryl Jacob is booked and his form for Nicholls the last 30 days have 4 wins from the last 6 runs (112311).

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	Newton Abbot
Selection	Hoo La Baloo (Each-way)
Strength	1/10
Date	21/08/2011
Bookmaker/Price	Totesport @ 15.00
Reasoning	Trainer Paul Nicholls is in very good form. 4 wins from his last 8 runs. His last three runners at the trac finished 2nd, 1st, and 6th. He does well here all the time having a strike rate of 33% the last 5 seasons from many runners, 44 wins from 135 runs with the chasers winning 20 of 60 or 33% of the time. He has three entries for this race. He's had the 2nd placed horse in the last two years so he knows what to do for this race. The selection is one of two runners from owner The Stewart Family. They have a 11 wins from 22 runs here the last 5 seasons. The selection finished 2nd in this two years ago.

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	Newton Abbot
Selection	Classic Swain (Each-way)
Strength	1/10
Date	21/08/2011
Bookmaker/Price	Ladbrokes @ 21.00
Reasoning	Trainer Paul Nicholls is in very good form. 4 wins from his last 8 runs. His last three runners at the trac finished 2nd, 1st, and 6th. He does well here all the time having a strike rate of 33% the last 5 seasons from many runners, 44 wins from 135 runs with the chasers winning 20 of 60 or 33% of the time. He has three entries for this race. He's had the 2nd placed horse in the last two years so he knows what to do for this race. The selection is one of two runners from owner The Stewart Family. They have a 11 wins from 22 runs here the last 5 seasons. The selection finished 2nd in this last year.

Runs in the 3:00pm race

[georgeCOSTANZA]

Re: Jump Racing~Sun 21st August

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	Ballinrobe 3:20
Selection	Magical Memoir
Strength	2/10
Date	21/08/2011
Bookmaker/Price	Skybet @ 5.00
Reasoning	Finished 2nd in the last two starts. The latest being at the course and distance. She attempted to make all the running bu failed by 3 lenghts. Ahead of her was a tough nut to crack from the Noel Meade and Paul Carberry team. It was Muirhead who had been to a couple of Cheltenham Festivals and a Grade 1 winner over hurdles. She has jockey M J Bolger in the saddle and the two has a very good record together. They have finished 1st, 2nd, 2nd, and 2nd from four runs together including the last two runs of the selection. Drop back in trip is not a problem. All of her three wins over hurdles had been from the 2m trip and that includes a C&D win from May by 4 lengths.
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