Yet Another Value Hunt -2011/2012 Season

[garyfinny]

OK, inspired by the gambling addiction thread I'm going to post my own picks. Gambling-wise, my records are a bit of a mess. I had one seperate bank account and card for gambling purpose and all the transactions have gone up on there. I've been a good player on the 'free bets and promos' market; I reckon I've been easily £200+ a month on there, so I have no idea how well actual betting is going. My own suspicions are that I am close to break even on this. I suffered from the odd lapse in discipline, for instance, betting in play, betting on other people's bets rather than my own, chasing losses. Some terrible beatings which has eaten into the profits. By doing it this way, I can only bet on what I write. Mainly I will cover the English leagues but perhaps other leagues too if I can read enough information. This will prevent many of the indisciplined, betting 'blind' bets and also prevent chasing losses (since no bets are traded out). System relies on value, based on my own ratings. As well, I believe that if all the singles are value, the subsequent accumulator will be value as well. To this end, I will be taking advantage of any accumulator offers: for example, Betfair usually ran a four-fold (get 50-100% money back if 1 leg loses); VC do the same for a 5-fold, but often there are not enough good results for this. Bank starts at 100pts, each bet is 1% of bank stretching to 2% after some early season form is established, except for the accumulator bets which will be to the maximum allowed for refund. First picks I already put here: http://forum.punterslounge.com/f6/england-carling-cup-aug-9-11-a-119871/ LAY Wycombe 2.68 (liability 1pt) = 0.57pts BACK Preston 1.75 = 0.71pts LAY Hereford = -1pts LAY Accrington = 0.45pts Total = +0.73pts Bank = 100.73pts

[garyfinny]

Re: Yet Another Value Hunt -2011/2012 Season Only one game tommorow, Bristol Rovers v Torquay 1pt (2.06). Had considered a lay of Hartlepool against Walsall but I just decided not to go for it. Many of the other games are not easy to call at the start of the season. The first promo acca of the season is here: Gamebookers are offering a 20 GBP refund if your acca has Man Utd in and loses. I've gone for Man U, LAY Torquay, LAY Doncaster which pays out at 2.1. Accounting for the accas is not as easy to integrate into the main bank so I will account for them seperately.