Flat Racing - August 9th, Tuesday

[georgeCOSTANZA]

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	Ayr 15:00
Selection	Marjury Daw (Each-way)
Strength	2/10
Date	09/08/2011
Bookmaker/Price	Boylesports @ 7.50
Reasoning	Running against better company lately and ran very well in the last two outings. It was a Class 4 Handicap 3rd of 8 by ¾ lengths in her penultimate run at Nottingham (1m) to Night Lily and Cono Zur. Improved again last time out in a Class 3 Handicap at Thirsk for a 6th of 17 by 2 ¾ lengths. The 5th horse by a neck was the 5-2 favorite Powerful Presence who had raced a 2112111 all year before that race and followed up with a 2nd of 20 by a ½ length in a 7f Class 4 Handicap at York then a 5th of 17 by 2 ½ lengths in a Class 3 Handicap at 1m Thirsk. The 4th horse Fazza was only a head behind the 5th horse and he had won 3 of his last 5 going into that race. The selection is proven at the track. She won here last July by a 4 ½ lengths in a 1m2f race. Finished 2nd by a neck in her other run behind Northside Prince to get his hat trick then followed up with a 2nd in a Class 2 Handicap by a short head.

[chris34]

Re: Flat Racing - August 9th, Tuesday 3.00 Ayr Really interesting handicap over a mile likely to be run on softish ground. There isnt an over burden of pace although there is plenty that like to be up with the pace but the only confirmed front runner is Casino Night who has been a bit hit and miss this season but did get her head back in front at Hamilton on penultimate start over 1m1f on soft ground, certainly wouldnt want ground drying out anymore over this trip and also the loss of 7lb apprentice means she is racing off a 3lb higher mark than when she was well held last time out and does tend to reserve her best for Hamilton but does have course form. Music Festival was a well held 2nd over this course over 7f although a step back in the right direction still needs to find more especially with most form coming on fast ground. Im Super Too got his head infront in a weak maiden last year then didnt build on that back in handicaps and has taken time to come to hand again this year, running potentially above his mark in a claimer before landing a handicap off a 4lb lower mark, has shown some form on softer ground aswell as faster ground but whether this race will be run to suit a hold up sort is debatable and he isnt one likely to follow up in my opinion. Swiftly Done is another that is hit and miss at times but showed a reasonable turn of foot at HQ when not getting the clearest run from the back and clearly had plenty still left at the line and a 4lb higher mark is not harsh aslong as there is a enough of a gallop he looks the better treated of the hold up horses and the Carroll yard have had a quiet spell until recently with many running back into form and Hanagan looks a strong booking aswell expect a big run! The other that interests me the most is Marjury Daw who I would like to see go from the front or certainly up with the pace, as she has been given some strange rides at times this year none more so than last time out when staying on having got behind off a 1lb lower mark today and takes a rare drop back into a class 5 event for the first time since a close 2nd back in June on soft ground and her most recent form has all come on softer ground so that shouldnt be a concern and she was a reliable sort last year and is still 5lb below last winning mark and her turn will come soon. 1pt win Marjury Daw 6/1 bet365 2pt win Swiftly Done 4/1 bet365