MLB: August 1st Picks

[AGurv]

MLB Overall 2011 106-83 +15.20 units (56.08%) Can't believe its August already...July I ended up being a huge month, but i'm on a pretty decent slump right now. Brewers -124 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

[Heaven&Hell]

Re: MLB: August 1st Picks Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals Braves to win @ 1,65 Jair Jurrjens is on the mound for the Braves, and has been solid all season. Jurrjens is 12-3 on the year with a 2.38 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and opponents batting average of just .234. Jurrjens faced the Nationals back on the 17th of July, where he gave up 6 earned runs over 5 innings of work. I think we can look past that start, as Jurrjens had a lot of time off because of the All Star Break (previous start was July 6th). He has won 3 of his 5 career starts against the Nationals, and is coming off a 7 inning out where he allowed just 1 earned run. On the mound for the Nationals is Livan Hernandez, who has been having some struggles as of late. Hernandez is 0-2 over his last 5 starts, and hasn’t lasted more than 6 innings in his past 4 starts. On the season Hernandez is 5-10 with a 4.19 ERA and 1.141 WHIP, with batters hitting a high .289 against him. Note that he is just 7-18 career against the Braves with a 4.80 ERA. The Braves are 17-7 in their last 24 games as a favorite, 7-3 in their last 10 as a road favorite, and 10-3 in their last 13 games following a loss. The Braves are also 11-5 in their last 16 road games vs a right handed starter, and 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Also note that the Braves are 4-1 in Jurrjens’ last 5 road starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts with 4 days of rest, and 9-2 in his last 11 starts during game 1 of a series. Atlanta is 21-7 in his last 28 starts overall, and 7-2 in his last 9 road starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Nationals are just 3-7 in their last 10 home games, 1-4 in their last 5 as an underdog, and 2-6 in their last 8 games overall. The Nationals are just 3-13 in Hernadez’ last 16 starts, and 2-5 in his last 7 home starts. Also note that Washington is just 1-10 in his last 11 starts as an underdog, and 0-7 vs NL East opponents. The Nats are 3-8 in Hernandez’ last 11 home starts vs the Braves, while the Braves are 5-2 in his Jurrjens’ last 7 starts vs Washington. The Braves have been hitting .276 over their last 10 games, compared to the Nationals at .245. Atlanta is in the hunt for the playoffs here, and I think they continue to have success behind Jair Jurrjens. I’ll lay a bit of chalk here on the road team, as the Braves cruise to a victory.