Another crazy draws for profit thread?

[Drawsandmore]

I have posted a couple of threads on here previously with limited success…They actually both lost, so perhaps “limited success” is a bit of a stretch! However, this time I fully expect this thread to show a profit in the short term at least, and I'm more than a little hopeful that it will be profitable in the long term too. In the short term, I will be taking advantage of as many “free bets” as I can get. I know they all have various conditions attached, but if I’m selective, disciplined and careful, I reckon I should easily be able to get 60 bets for the price of 50! Frankly with those odds in my favour, trying to find draws by sticking pins in the fixture list should be profitable! And, if I’m not in profit at that point, I’ll at least have proven that the system is rubbish without incurring any serious losses. However, before I post the selections on here and “unleash” it on the unsuspecting bookmakers, (because I am only going to get one chance of live-testing a system with the safety net of the free bets), I'd appreciate it if any of you would give me your opinion on the figures in post 2. I am fully aware that the sample size is smaller than ideal, but 240ish bets per season is all the system comes up with. My own thinking is along these lines: It’s a bit volatile, but in 4 out of 5 years it has found around 5% more (or better) draws than betting blind would. And the performance does seem to be moving in the right direction. The longest losing/winning run is suggesting to me that 4 point level stakes betting from an initial 100 point bank is aggressive but not suicidal. However, if I can double the bank to 200 points I would probably increase my stake to 6 points per bet…Effectively reducing the stake to 3% of the bank, but increasing the actual stake and the losing run I can handle to 33 bets. By betting at the best price available across all bookmakers during actual live paper trials last season, I actually increased the average winning S/P to 3.52…Enough not to lose money even if my strike rate falls back to 2006/07 levels. However, I don’t like the way I’m going to look like a right tit if I’ve missed something really obvious in the table below, or the performance level crashes and burns on here next season! So all you mathematicians, statisticians and punters, save me from myself and tell me why I shouldn’t go ahead with this! Ps If you don't, I’ll then proceed to bore you to tears with some of the details of the system, ‘cos we’ve still got 6 weeks to kill before the season starts.

[Drawsandmore]

Re: Another crazy draws for profit thread? Struggling to format the table...Back in a bit! By the way, the first four columns are the actual results in all English divisions, from the Prem. through to the Conference, the remaining columns are how the system performed.