How many games should be taken into account OPEN FOR DISCUSSION

[Gooner80]

[davidc]

Re: How many games should be taken into account OPEN FOR DISCUSSION

This thread is about the number of games taken into account when making a prediction between two teams, after searching through PL couldn't find anything like it so forgive me if previously discussed My aim here is to open up a discussion and trade a few ideas. IMO you can’t take the form tables too seriously but on the other hand you can’t go back 5 seasons either, at the moment I am going back 38 games with the only reason being it is a whole season and should give me a fair indication of how well a team is performing. I also make the assumption that a team will perform significantly different at home compared to away but if I take less games into account this could skew results So the million Dollar question is how many games is optimal, Im at the point of adding a weighting, adding more importance to the more recent games then the past Thanks for your replies in advance:cheers

Hi Gooner80. Not sure if you have seen it or not but the thread Why Bets Lose has a discussion along the lines you are after. GL