Jump to content

For those who favour above/below or correct score betting...


Recommended Posts

I have been looking at this site for a while and debating whether to post. I was looking on the football data site and downloaded the comprehensive excel file with all the stats for different leagues in, then took a set of English premiership/championship (I can't remember, football isn't really my thing, I just like to bet on it) team's HOME game scores only and analysed them on SPSS. I copied the results into the original excel spreadsheet, it's under the new tab called HOME GAMES with a table for each team's goal frequency when playing at home, along with the mean score for the season, the range of these scores and the median and mode of them for each team. Thought I'd share, the link below. http://www.megaupload.com/?d=U0Y49EM6 It's messy but serves it's purpose, and we can see that Birmingham looks good for >.5 for example as they have not had one match in the season where they have scored less than 1, same for Man U. A general example of how the tables look, or at least what we're interested in is (for arguments sake) ARSENAL 1 1 10.00 2 6 60.00 3 3 30.00 5 1 10.00 The first column is the number of goals in a match, the second is the number of that goal scored over the season, the third number is the percentage of that number of goals over the season, in this case, for example, we can see the 1.5 and over would probably be a good market if they are the favourites to win. I am interested in betting with the >0.5 market, seems safe with good return if done in-play with pre-analysis of scores.... that's about it, let me know if you like it! Also if anyone knows where I can get a raw excel file of ALL the leagues, eg the ones you can't pronounce the name of that aren't on football data I would be interested. Hope you like!:D

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: For those who favour above/below or correct score betting... Oh, this also means Wigan would be best for the Unders, theoretically, as when playing at home statistically they score one goal less than half the time. Of course you have to look at the other side though! If you look at what I did and do it yourself on SPSS after filtering it on excel, you can compare the away teams quite quickly and easily too. Infact, at some point I will be doing that.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This thread has more posts. To see them, you'll need to sign up or sign in.

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...