A Goal Difference System

[Sir ratholer]

I don't think this has been done before, but it's something that I'm very interested in. I have a theory where goal difference considerations are somewhat under rated in pricing up a match - if you take a look at any league table you will see goal differences for a team which are way out of line with their league position/points per game etc...my rationale here is that these teams are currently on the positive/negative side of variance and this will be corrected in the future. So I'm going to be looking at backing teams with an unreasonably high goal difference for their position, and opposing teams with an unreasonably low goal difference for their position. Staking will be on this basis:- Maximum lay liability £100. Any successful back profit £100.

[Sir ratholer]

Re: A Goal Difference System Friday's bets:- Back Heerenveen v Utrecht @ 2.18 Lay Vannes at home to Sedan @ 3.0 Back Reims v Boulogne @ 2.04 Back 1860 Munich v Frankfurt @ 2.48 Back Braunschweig v Babelsburg @ 1.59 Back Den Bosch v Eindhoven @ 1.83 Lay Volendam v Go Ahead @ 4.3 Lay Gornik Zabrze v Lechia Gdansk @ 2.52 Lay Unirea Urziceni v Gloria Bistrita @ 3.4 Lay Barcelona II v Recreativo @ 3.0