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Simple Staking Strategy


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I had an idea to make 1% interest per day on a bankroll, the idea is translating the martingale system to racing in a really simple form, with a large buffer for safety, I want to test this on past data, but I don't know how i can access this data so I am going to try it on daily data for now and see if it bites me on the bum or if it works. If anyone can point me to historical data I can runt his against I would appreciate it. i want to invest £3,000 initially, and increase the bankroll by 1% per day consistently. I actually have the £3,000 sat for real and am tempted This is an experiment based loosely on reading that ~30% of favorites win their races. How it works is that you bet on the favorite of the first race of the day to win 1% of your balance (taking any commission into account). If that looses you add the lost amount to the 1% you were trying to get and calculate how much to bet on the next favorite, this pattern continues until a winner comes in, and then stops until the next day. If no winner comes in recovery continues the next day with the added 1% for that day too. If there is a joint favorite, go for the horse with the most naps, or if this is also equal choose the horse with the highest rpr, if still equal choose the horse with the lowest number. Its pretty simple and yes theres a risk that lots of short odds favorites will fail to come in in a long line and wipe out the bank, but has that happened before? I have no historical data to check, thats why I want to test it.

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Re: Simple Staking Strategy 6-3-2010 Today we want to raise £30 -------------------------------------------------------------- The first race was the 14:10 at Huntington, The favorite was Robin De Creuse at 7/2 (3.5) The BetDaq Commision is 5% of the winnings so we need to win £31.50 A round £9 bet would win this, so we stake £9 The Horse Comes Third, we are down £9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Now We need to win £39 The next race was 14:20 Sedgfield The Joint Favorites were EIGHTEEN CARAT and Malin Bay at 2/1 (2.0) Eighteen Carat is the choice due to 4 naps vs Malin bays 1 nap. The BetDaq Commision is 5% of the winnings so we need to win £40.95 A £40.95 bet would win this, so we stake £40.95 The Horse Wins and we get £39 after commission. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Todays ending balance = £3,030 Tommorow will will try and increase by a further 1% (£30.30)

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