Flat Racing 22nd Feb

[chris34]

1.50 Southwell Usually avoid claimers and sellers especially this time of year but La Estrelle looks napped for me. He got a good record at this level and racked up a 5 timer in 08/09 and could easily do it again, having made a pleasing comeback after nearly 2 years off the track winning a seller comfortably. Then won last time out in a claimer all round here steps up in trip which looks positive as he looked to be going further clear the further he went, has won over this trip before and should be hard to beat at these weights. 1pt win La Estrella 2.20 Southwell Another race that the favourite looks a good thing, San Antonio has been in good form recently since fitted with blinkers and tried on this surface, winning in very convincing style in january and was a good second behinf the potentially useful Broughtons Day and then again behind the consistent Bentley last time out, further 4lb higher but clearly in good heart at the moment and hard to be enthused about any of the rivals in this race today. Madame Boot could be capable of more but the surface is very much an unknown and she hasnt always convinced she stays this trip. 0.5pt win San Antonio 4.35 Southwell Gonna be a bit of an unexciting day shit or bust basically. Stanley Rigby looks a massive price at 13/8! First his rivals; Turjuman is a Windsor specialist but has won on polytrack, tries this surface for the first time so could easily bounce back as he often does and isnt one to rely on! Nahell doesnt look particularly well treated although meets Stanley on 5lb better terms for 2 lengths hard to see that reversed in all honesty still 5lb above last winning mark. Kipchak well out of form and little form on fibresand. Mexican jay caused a 33/1 upset round here in october but failed to beat a rival last 2 starts and attitude defenetily looks a head strong one. Port Hill is proving consistent on polytrack but still been well beaten last twice and fibresand for first time today. Ay Tay Tate has showed hope on this surface last twice in weak maidens but needs to step up back in handicaps and 2lb out of handicap probably another day and 11/2 looks very short. Stanley Rigby has won his last 4 starts all on this surface and 3 over CD, although hung left noticeably last time out he still asserted and ran on strongly to be quite a convincing winner and a further 5lb higher could still be well treated for such an improver relatively lightly raced and certainly unexposed on surface! 0.5pt win Stanley Rigby 13/8 vc

[Falbrav]

Re: Flat Racing 22nd Feb TALKIN ITALIAN 3.25 Southwell. 0.5 points each way. Needs plenty to beat the favourite, bit I just feel that he's capable of better than showing and could get the race run to suit. Around the 20s mark on the exchanges and I think that's value to finish 1st or 2nd in this. If the favourite isn't on his game, then we can strike.