JOCKEYS AND TRAINERS

[ganjaman]

this thread is for jockeys and trainers only :ok

[ganjaman]

Re: JOCKEYS AND TRAINERS some cheltenham jockey stats RUBY WALSH With the backing of Paul Nicholls and some of the leading Irish trainers, including Willie Mullins, it’s no surprise to see him as the top jockey at the meeting since 2006. Ruby Walsh has ridden 19 winners from 100 rides (19%) over the last five Cheltenham Festivals including an amazing 7 winners in 2009. Backing all his runners over this period would have lost you just 85p at £1 level stakes. His record for the last 5 years has been…. 2006 - 3 / 19 (wins / runners) 2007 - 3 / 19 2008 - 3 / 21 2009 - 7 / 20 2010 - 3 / 21 Hurdles 11 winners from 51 rides Chases 8 winners from 44 rides NH Flat 0 winners from 5 rides A very strong stat is that 18 of his 19 winners were aged 4-7yo. It’s not worth backing Walsh on an outsider, should he be given the ride, as 18 of his 19 winners were at odds of 15/2 or less with just one horse winning from 44 rides that started at 8/1 or higher. Those 18 winners were all from the front 4 in the betting. Just stick with the fancied horses that have good recent form as 18 of his 19 winners had finished in the top 3 on their previous start (16 won) and 18 of his 19 winners had won at least one of their last two starts. Paul Nicholls and Willie Mullins have provided Ruby Walsh with 88 of his 100 rides and he has won on 18 of them. If you had backed all of Ruby Walsh’s rides that had won within their last 2 starts, were aged 4-7 and at 15/2 or shorter in the betting you would have had 17 winners from 45 rides (37.8%) and made a LSP of +£30.39 over the last 5 Festivals. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- PADDY BRENNAN Paddy Brennan has ridden 6 winners from 72 rides (8.3%) at the rate of at least 1 a year over the past 5 Cheltenham Festivals. Backing all his runners over this period would have won you a healthy £26 at £1 level stakes. His record for the last 5 years has been…. 2006 - 1 / 14 (wins / runners) 2007 - 1 / 14 2008 - 1 / 13 2009 - 1 / 17 2010 - 2 / 14 Hurdles 3 winners from 37 rides Chases 3 winners from 35 rides NH Flat 0 winners from 0 rides There’s not too much to go on with regard to Brennan’s winners as he’s had quite a few different types of horse win for him. Probably the most striking is that 5 of the 6 were on horses aged 7-9yo (from 37 rides) with just 1 winner from his other 35 rides on runners outside this age bracket (0 from 8 on those aged 10 years+). ----------------------------------------------------------------------- RICHARD JOHNSON With the Phillip Hobbs stable under performing at recent Festivals it’s not surprising to see Richard Johnson struggle here with just 4 winners from 66 rides (6.1%) since 2006. Backing all his runners over this period would have lost you £14.50 at £1 level stakes. His record for the last 5 years has been…. 2006 - 1 / 16 (wins / runners) 2007 - 1 / 14 2008 - 0 / 12 2009 - 0 / 12 2010- 2 / 12 Hurdles 3 winners from 31 rides Chases 1 winners from 32 rides NH Flat 0 winners from 3 rides All 4 of his winners came in races up to 2m5f in distance with all 18 of his rides beyond this trip getting beat (just 3 placed). His 10 rides starting at 28/1 or bigger have all been beaten but he has had two such horses placed for him. All 4 of his winners finished in the top 3 on their previous start (21 losers finished 4th or worse). He rode all of his 4 winners in their previous race (from 45 such rides) with the 21 horses he replaced a different jockey all getting beat. All 4 of his winners were trained by Phillip Hobbs with his 20 outside rides all losing. All 15 horses he rode that were dropping down in trip compared to their previous run were beaten, although 8 did make the frame. He’s ridden 13 horses carrying 10-11 or less and has lost on them all. It’s the same story for the 15 rides with 11-10 or more. The 13 horses aged 9 and over he’s been aboard have all been beaten (just 2 placed). ----------------------------------------------------------------------- A P McCOY The great Tony McCoy hasn’t been smiling too much at recent Cheltenham Festivals although he has managed to ride at least 1 winner a year since 2006 and 8 winners in total from his 94 rides at the meeting. Backing all his runners over this period would have lost you £45.37 at £1 level stakes. His record for the last 5 years has been…. 2006 - 3 / 20 (wins / runners) 2007 - 1 / 18 2008 - 1 / 19 2009 - 1 / 18 2010 - 2 / 19 Hurdles 4 winners from 47 rides Chases 4 winners from 42 rides NH Flat 0 winners from 5 rides All 5 of his rides at 3m2f or further have been beaten. He hasn’t had a winner on the Wednesday of the meeting for at least 7 years (29 rides). He’s had 17 handicap hurdle losers from 17 rides since 2006. All 26 of the 4 & 5yo’s he’s ridden in this time period have been beaten as have all 7 horses aged 10 or older. He’s ridden 70 horses that have started in the first 4 of the betting and he’s won on just 6 of them (all favourites). All 8 of his winners finished in the first 2 on their previous start (7 won). ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ROBERT THORNTON Another jockey who has suffered thanks to the poor form of his principal trainer. His last 33 rides at the Festival have all lost! Despite that, since 2006 Robert Thornton has ridden 9 winners from 73 rides (12.3%) and backing all his runners over this period would have actually won you £5 at £1 level stakes. His record for the last 5 years has been…. 2005 2 / 14 (wins / runners) 2007 4 / 13 2008 3 / 16 2009 0 / 13 2010 0 / 17 Hurdles 5 winners from 43 rides Chases 4 winners from 28 rides NH Flat 0 winners from 2 rides Not a lot to go on but all 33 of his rides that were 16/1 or bigger have been beaten with just 2 making the frame. 8 of his 9 winners made the top 3 on their last run (exception fell) and 8 had won at least 1 of their last 2 starts. All 22 horses he has ridden aged 8yo or over have been beaten. Alan King has provided him with 7 of his wins from 58 rides.