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Draw, draw, draw


nkdz

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Idea is to pick draw in a match which looks like a low scoring one, with two teams of similar quality and similar form and when neither one of them would be too unhappy with a draw. Also, we have to include few other factors such as pitch condition, gamestyle of both teams and injuries/suspensions. If some match has all those "thing" than possibility of a draw is equal to win of home or away team. And in such situation you'll always have better odds for draw than for other two outcomes. Some basic rules of this strategy are that the odds must not be lower than 3.15. Why? Because if we estimate that the possibility of a draw is equal to other two outcomes odds can't be lower than 3.00. And since i believe that i need 5% difference at least in my favour when estimating probabilities to take a bet, 3.15 is the lowest possible price for taking. Initial bankroll is 100 units, and stake for each bet will be 5 units.

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