Flat racing Monday 25th October

[Stevet1859]

3:20 Southwell: Rascal In the Mix 1pt win 16/1 Victor Chandler & Royal Holiday 1pt win 7/1 Boylesports Southwell with its unique surface can sometimes produce some strange results and horses either act very well on it or not at all. Rascal In the Mix has only run once at Southwell but stayed on quite pleasingly on debut over shorter than today. Has an American pedigree and reunited with Amy Ryan could pop up at a decent price. Royal Holiday has rock solid Southwell form and while higher in the handicap, could well improve again for the surface and go close here.

[chris34]

Re: Flat racing Monday 25th October 3.20 Southwell Stef and Stelio looks a big price to cash in on a falling mark and return to handicaps. Lacked inspiration last couple of the starts in sellers but a repeat of his 2nd in a claimer 3 starts ago was a good run and would give him a chance, yard in good form and now 15lb lower than when running a second over 7f at this course last october and could be really well handicapped currently. 0.25pt e/w Stef and Stelio 16/1 sj 4.20 Southwell Looks wide open this contest and I am gonna side with 2 of them! Bivouac loves it around here having won 4 times from 9 runs and won well enough last time round here off a 7lb lower mark and then went on to run out a decent second at Wolverhampton off a 2lb lower mark which would suggest he is in brilliant heart at the moment. The other I like the look of is Lucky Punt who is another that has a fantastic record around here with 5 wins from 8 around here and ran out too good placed effort over CD in spring off a 6lb higher mark, since then has been away from southwell and connections were very quick to drop him into claimers but now finds himself returned to southwell on his last winning mark, and could easily go on agan this winter in my opinion. 0.75pt win Bivouac 9/2 vc 0.25pt win Lucky Punt 15/2 corals 4.50 Southwell Handicaps dont get much more desperate than this one. But it is interesting L Comer brings over one runner for this card (Although has another entered at Wolves on Thursday) and it being a desperate ow grade maiden runner with no form whatsoever and hasnt run for over a year but has the first time blinkers also fitted and useful apprentice taking the ride claiming a further 3lb off. 0.25pt e/w Miss Red Eye 25/1 vc 2.10 Kempton Shallow Bay is the horse in the field that is open to a lot more improvement than any of the others and was a good 3rd last time out on handicap debut in a much stronger race than this and should find this a much easier task off a 1lb higher mark and debut on AW for a yard in good form. 1pt win Shallow Bay 9/4 corals 4.10 Kempton Charlie Smirke did nothing but frutrate me last winter I was convinced he wasnt ungenuine like his form line suggested at one point and once he finally got his head infront he scored again, switched to turf and dont very little but signs of a return to form last time out at Wolverhampton when staying on late, Moore always a positive booking for his father. 0.5pt e/w Charlie Smirke 7/1 sj 5.10 Kempton Belle Boleyn entered my notebook at Brighton a couple months ago when clearly not handling the track but ran on strongly after being detached, flopped next time at yarmouth but bounced back when only going down by head at Lingfield over this trip, quickly up 4lb for that effort and finds herself on same mark as back at Brighton so might not be as harsh as it first looks, much better drawn today than was at lingfield and could easily make her presence felt. 0.5pt e/w Belle Boleyn 12/1 hills