Finnish SM-league & Mestis 07-31 October

[FinLandiaFish]

Sport	Ice Hockey
Event	Blues - Ässät
Selection	Over 5.5 goals
Strength	10/10
Date	07/10/2010
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 2.13
Reasoning	Both of the teams have started the season pretty well although both going up and down like a rollercoaster. The home team Blues has scored five goals or more in three games so far but they've also been held to zero goals in two games played (only seven matches played so far). Blues was wiped under the rug in their latest showing when HPK won impressively 6-2. Ässät has had a surprisingly good start so far. Especially the fact they managed to win the first two road games was unexpected, Ässät doesn't usually perform well on road... and well, the third road game showed a glimpse of that: 11-3 loss against HIFK. At home Ässät has done okey winning three our of two games played. This one should be an easy win for the home team. That said I'm aware of the fact that both of the teams have performed shaky to say atleast and Ässät has been able to rack up wins against bigger teams. Blues' poor odds make me back off the home win bet for sure, under 1.70? Not very tempting. On the other hand the over 5.5 goals odds seem to be very good at over evens. Both of the teams have had success on offense and I expect an open game, Blues should come in firing after last rounds bitter loss. Should be loads of goals tonight in Espoo.

[FinLandiaFish]

Re: Finnish SM-league 07-09 October

Sport	Ice Hockey
Event	TPS - Kalpa
Selection	Kalpa (inc. OT&Pen.)
Strength	10/10
Date	07/10/2010
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 2.09
Reasoning	Kalpa has had an okey start to the season recordin five wins and four loses (though three of the wins have come after regulation). Their offense has been to blame, only 16 goals scored in nine matches. I watched some of their games and they manage to keep the puck well, you should expect them to have most of the posession again tonight. On the offensive side the minus is that they circle around the *corners* and net way too much; they control the puck but often it doesn't result in anything. More pucks to the net and they should do much better. TPS has had a disaster of a start after their championship year (as expeted). They have huge injury problems and it has shown: eight loses in nine games, one win after regulation time. 15goals scored and 36 goals allowed. The defense sucks big time and the goalies haven't impressed. Although Kalpa haven't awed anyone they are still the better side of there two teams. TPS has been running really bad and it's hard to see it chance tonight against an organized team like Kalpa. Could be a tight game but the visiting team seems to be able to turn those in their favour. Kalpa moneyline with odds over evens is the play.