BBOTD MONDAY 4TH OF OCTOBER

[Aidymac]

Red Avalanche - Warwick 2:20 If this horse reproduced its effort when placed in Listed Company last year it would have a major chance here. It ran off a mark of 82 last time out and is now running off of 78, a very leniant mark. Interestingly blinkers are put on for the first time tomorrow. Also Paul Cole has come into good form the past 2 weeks which is another plus. This race tomorrow is a Class 4 and it is better than a Class 4 horse for sure, it conteste Grade 2's and Listed races and ran repectably in both. Is one of the youngest horses in the race and has the scope for improvement. Shane Kelly rides for the first time tomorrow. Its only win came on good to soft ground so the forecast soft ground tomorrow should suit more than faster ground. I think its very overpriced @ 20/1. 1 Point win @ 20/1 (Bet365) BOG

[chris34]

Re: BBOTD MONDAY 4TH OF OCTOBER 2.30 Windsor Prince Apollo must hold a solid chance on what is going to be very testign ground, he hadnt beaten hardly anything in 5 starts in handicaps in this country and has since dropped down the weights considerably and had to be dropped to seller company to win quite convincingly in the end! That may just have boosted his confidence and is much better than a 70 rated horse on french form and will relish testing conditions unlike many of these! 0.5pt e/w Prince Apollo