[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

UPDATE!

I'm shit at spreadsheets AND reading it turns out. I rushed through the checking of which horses PLACED when it was a WIN bet. The links I clicked through to SL were the racecards on a couple  haha

So... all updated. Thanks for not taking the piss or telling me I'm a complete fool

Thankfully I can pick horses better than I can do admin, eh?

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

Oh god... it gets worse...

I think I'll have a lie down and go back over them. I bet I've looked at declarations when I've searched for the results.

MINEFIELD!

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

Looks like the Fast Results on Sporting Life have scuppered me too hahaha

I've had winners I didn't even know I had!! So the first half of the week, when I was paper betting, I never even saw the winners I should have had... 

Anyway... I give up on OpenOffice and SportingLife.com too

Here's the final results:-

Date	Meeting/Time	Selection	Win Odds	Place Odds	RESULT	Bet Type	+/-
07/05/18	15:25 Bath	Catheadans Fury	5.50	2.50	WON	PLACE	1.50
07/05/18	17:10 Bath	Glamorous Rocket	5.00	2.27	LOST	WIN	-1.00
07/05/18	17:45 Bath	Impart	7.50	3.41	LOST	PLACE	-1.00
07/05/18	15:50 Warwick	Captain Jack	7.50	3.41	LOST	PLACE	-1.00
07/05/18	16:25 Warwick	Druids Folly	7.50	3.41	PLACED	PLACE	2.41
07/05/18	15:45 Windsor	Roar	5.50	2.50	LOST	PLACE	-1.00
07/05/18	16:20 Windsor	Medburn Dream	4.50	2.05	WON	WIN	3.50
07/05/18	18:00 Windsor	Kodiac Express	6.50	2.95	PLACED	PLACE	1.95
07/05/18	15:20 Naas	Amanaat	5.00	2.27	LOST	WIN	-1.00
07/05/18	16:30 Naas	Xenobia	4.50	2.05	PLACED	WIN	-1.00
	+3.36
08/05/18	14:30 Brighton	Soumei	3.75	1.53	WON	WIN	2.75
08/05/18	15:00 Brighton	Dolydaydream	6.00	2.74	LOST	PLACE	-1.00
08/05/18	15:55 Thirsk	Acclaim The Nation	8.00	2.75	WON	PLACE	1.75
08/05/18	16:55 Thirsk	Whitkirk	5.00	2.08	WON	WIN	4.00
08/05/18	17:05 Brighton	Ocean Temptress	7.00	3.05	LOST	PLACE	-1.00
08/05/18	17:25 Thirsk	Wonderfillo	4.50	1.90	LOST	WIN	-1.00
08/05/18	19:30 Ludlow	Atlantic Grey	6.50	2.94	LOST	PLACE	-1.00
08/05/18	20:00 Ludlow	Excellent Team	7.50	3.05	LOST	PLACE	-1.00
	+3.5
09/05/18	14:25 Chester	Award Winning	7.50	2.62	LOST	PLACE	-1.00
09/05/18	15:00 Chester	Looks A Million	8.00	2.72	PLACED	PLACE	1.72
09/05/18	15:35 Chester	Young Rascal	5.00	1.97	WON	WIN	4.00
09/05/18	15:55 Newton Abbot	Ballybolley	5.50	1.98	LOST	WIN	-1.00
09/05/18	16:05 Chester	Infrastructure	7.00	2.10	PLACED	WIN	-1.00
09/05/18	16:35 Chester	Last Page	5.50	2.30	LOST	WIN	-1.00
09/05/18	16:55 Newton Abbot	Lamb Or Cod	5.50	2.86	PLACED	PLACE	1.86
09/05/18	17:05 Chester	Sultan Baybars	6.50	2.44	LOST	WIN	-1.00
09/05/18	17:10 Fontwell	Howlongisafoot	7.00	2.52	PLACED	PLACE	1.52
09/05/18	17:25 Newton Abbot	Ice Tres	7.50	2.28	LOST	WIN	-1.00
09/05/18	17:55 Wolverhampton	Brigadoon	9.00	3.20	LOST	PLACE	-1.00
09/05/18	19:45 Fontwell	Stole The Show	3.75	1.64	WON	WIN	2.75
09/05/18	20:55 Wolverhampton	Funkadelic	6.50	1.63	LOST	WIN	-1.00
	+3.85
10/05/18	13:40 Worcester	Ballina Lady	4.33	2.14	LOST	WIN	-1.00
10/05/18	13:50 Chester	A Momentofmadness	4.50	2.16	WON	WIN	3.50
10/05/18	14:10 Worcester	Cropley	7.50	2.78	WON	PLACE	1.78
10/05/18	14:45 Worcester	Alf n Dor	5.50	2.32	PLACED	WIN	-1.00
10/05/18	15:00 Chester	Another Batt	7.00	2.54	WON	PLACE	1.54
10/05/18	15:55 Worcester	Mac Bella	9.00	6.40	LOST	PLACE	-1.00
10/05/18	16:15 Huntingdon	Early Retirement	9.00	3.10	PLACED	PLACE	2.10
10/05/18	16:15 Huntingdon	Blagapar	6.50	2.62	LOST	PLACE	-1.00
10/05/18	16:25 Worcester	Hurlstone Point	11.00	2.66	PLACED	PLACE	1.66
10/05/18	17:05 Chester	Dark Devil	7.50	2.96	PLACED	PLACE	1.96
10/05/18	17:15 Huntingdon	Nanny Pats	7.00	2.56	LOST	PLACE	-1.00
10/05/18	17:20 Wincanton	Stradivarius Davis	10.00	2.26	WON	WIN	9.00
10/05/18	17:30 Tipperary	Papal Motel	6.50	1.67	LOST	WIN	-1.00
	+15.54
11/05/18	13:50 Chester	Above The Rest	9.00	3.00	WON	PLACE	2.00
11/05/18	13:55 Curragh	Invincible Karma	6.00	2.20	PLACED	WIN	-1.00
11/05/18	14:15 Lingfield	Hameem	5.50	1.90	PLACED	WIN	-1.00
11/05/18	14:30 Curragh	Posh Holly	6.50	2.46	LOST	WIN	-1.00
11/05/18	14:40 Market Rasen	War At Sea	6.00	2.58	LOST	PLACE	-1.00
11/05/18	15:00 Chester	Restorer	6.50	2.37	WON	WIN	5.50
11/05/18	15:05 Curragh	Major Power	5.50	2.12	LOST	WIN	-1.00
11/05/18	15:15 Market Rasen	Our Kaempfer	5.50	1.90	LOST	WIN	-1.00
11/05/18	15:25 Lingfield	Evergate	6.00	2.50	WON	PLACE	1.50
11/05/18	15:45 Market Rasen	Alizee Javilex	8.00	2.50	LOST	PLACE	-1.00
11/05/18	15:55 Lingfield	Hateya	5.50	2.00	WON	WIN	4.50
11/05/18	16:30 Lingfield	Ledham	5.50	2.10	LOST	WIN	-1.00
	+5.5

GRAND TOTAL 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

27 minutes ago, Bubbles180 said:

75% PLACE 25% WIN

Just done some fag packet maths, and I see that there's limited risk using that method, but also limited gain. Not a bad thing to do when bank building, certainly...

75/25 Method:
TOTAL STAKED: 28PTS    
WON:    6.97PTS
VS
Level Stakes (1pt per selection)    
TOTAL STAKED: 56PTS    
WON:    32.75PTS

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

Was going to continue posting, but I'm taking on a few new contracts and can't really spare the time through the day. Already on my phone most of the day watching the races haha!

The system is relatively simple to use, so I'm sure people will be able to pick these out themselves. The only sites I'm using are Oddschecker, AtTheRaces, and PaddyPower to spot the selections... then backing them before 10am (where possible). Sometimes I get the selections done by 9:45am, and there might be one or two that are starting to come in - so I add them on.

Best of luck with the move. I hate moving house..

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

3 minutes ago, Bubbles180 said:

Hi @Redemption_ just seen your post mate looks interesting do a similar system which is going well so will be following this, backed the last 3, good win By Hateya, would you maybe suggest a 75% Place 25% win Stake (am starting with a Flat rate for now but may change)

I'm hitting all of them with a Level Stakes approach, and I might switch that up... the 75/25 sounds good. I'll throw that at a (working) spreadsheet and see if it looks good.

Next week I'm dumping a couple of hundred quid into this and having a proper run at it until I go on my jollies

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

Cracking day...

With one last race to run @ 16:30 I'm 6.5pts up. Makes a grand total of 32.75pts for the week (5 days). Bloody lovely!

So ends my little experiment here on PL. I'm going to continue with this system, as I can honestly say I've never had such a good result from my selections. 10pts per week yes. Sometimes 20pts if a long shot dropped in... but never 32pts. Even if the big one didn't drop (the 10/1 winner), it's still a healthy profit. So I'm over the moon right now.

I'll be using Excel from now on, though. OpenOffice made me think I was going round the twist. Entering "LOST" in the spreadsheet was coming up "RESULT"  Sorry if I confused anyone. Every day has been profitable, though

Thanks for following! I'll edit with the final tally after the last race

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

Hoping for a few nice winners going into the weekend!

 

 

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

11th May

Date	Meeting/Time	Selection	Win Odds	Place Odds	RESULT	Bet Type
11/05/18	13:50 Chester	Above The Rest	9.00	3.00	WON	PLACE
11/05/18	13:55 Curragh	Invincible Karma	6.00	2.20	LOST	WIN
11/05/18	14:15 Lingfield	Hameem	5.50	1.90	LOST	WIN
11/05/18	14:30 Curragh	Posh Holly	6.50	2.46	LOST	WIN
11/05/18	14:40 Market Rasen	War At Sea	6.00	2.58	LOST	PLACE
11/05/18	15:00 Chester	Restorer	6.50	2.37	WON	WIN
11/05/18	15:05 Curragh	Major Power	5.50	2.12	LOST	WIN
11/05/18	15:15 Market Rasen	Our Kaempfer	5.50	1.90	LOST	WIN
11/05/18	15:25 Lingfield	Evergate	6.00	2.50	WON	PLACE
11/05/18	15:45 Market Rasen	Alizee Javilex	8.00	2.50	LOST	PLACE
11/05/18	15:55 Lingfield	Hateya	5.50	2.00	WON	WIN
11/05/18	16:30 Lingfield	Ledham	5.50	2.10		WIN

Edit: Extra one added 15:00 ChesterGL to all!Some HUGE steamers in Ireland - more than 5pts shift in some cases

6.5PTS UP @ 15:59
 

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

2 hours ago, Kingdom for said:

Nice work Sir.  

I like particularly how well you are presenting your information.

 

Cheers mate. I've had a few hiccups (spreadsheet woes), but it's been helping me stay focused & keep to the system by documenting everything

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

Lovely touch with Stradivarius Davis @ 11:00  Results are updated here

Onwards & upwards for the Steamers & Gap System! 17.96pts today! 32.94pts overall - over 4 days...  15.54pts today! 30.75pts overall over 4 days!

UPDATE: Spreadsheet FINALLY fixed. OpenOffice Calc had an issue... When I edited a formula, it was deleting the next character in the formula. Also was replacing text in my CONCATENATE formulae??? Anyway... I've revised the spreadsheet, and although there's been a drop in the profits, it's not much. Also, I actually made more myself when I got the odds on. The lesson here? USE MS EXCEL FOR IMPORTANT SPREADSHEETS.

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

Another beauty landed! 5.98pts up after the 15:00 at Chester!

I could really do with some advice on staking. I know LSP is a great way to go, but can anyone advise if "Stop at target" would work better with this? The win odds and the place odds mean I'm getting about 4pts per day, so I was thinking; would a "Stop at 2pts profit" work well? If it means I have to be backing these on my phone, I don't actually mind now... it's clearly profitable

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

They do indeed! Hope you were on those two winners  

13:50 Chester	A Momentofmadness
14:10 Worcester	Cropley

Edit: 4.44pts up so far today!

Lovely jubbly!

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

10th May

Two picks in one race today. That's a first.

10/05/18	13:40 Worcester	Ballina Lady	4.33	2.14	LOST	WIN
10/05/18	13:50 Chester	A Momentofmadness	4.50	2.16	WON	WIN
10/05/18	14:10 Worcester	Cropley	7.50	2.78	WON	PLACE
10/05/18	14:45 Worcester	Alf n Dor	5.50	2.32	LOST	WIN
10/05/18	15:00 Chester	Another Batt	7.00	2.54	WON	PLACE
10/05/18	15:55 Worcester	Mac Bella	9.00	6.40	LOST	PLACE
10/05/18	16:15 Huntingdon	Early Retirement	9.00	3.10	PLACED	PLACE
10/05/18	16:15 Huntingdon	Blagapar	6.50	2.62	LOST	PLACE
10/05/18	16:25 Worcester	Hurlstone Point	11.00	2.66	PLACED	PLACE
10/05/18	17:05 Chester	Dark Devil	7.50	2.96	PLACED	PLACE
10/05/18	17:15 Huntingdon	Nanny Pats	7.00	2.56	LOST	PLACE
10/05/18	17:20 Wincanton	Stradivarius Davis	10.00	2.26	WON	WIN
10/05/18	17:30 Tipperary	Papal Motel	6.50	1.67	LOST	WIN

GL to all!

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

Outstanding day...

Really happy with the system. I think there will probably be a few tweaks along the way, but nothing major.

LSP over 3 days that I've been trialling this system: 10.71pts

Day 1: 4.41pts 3.36pts
Day 2: 5.11pts 3.50pts
Day 3: 5.46pts 3.85pts

After this week I'll probably hit the level stakes staking plan, because by then it will be enough to have proven itself. So if all goes well this weekend, Monday I'll begin with (modest) Level Stakes  

EDIT:
STILL HAVING ISSUES WITH THE BLOODY SPREADSHEET!
Sorry, I have edited the LSP now, and confirmed correct!!! 

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

@Sir Puntalot Awesome, mate! At the moment OC is not really very fruitful, and the initial "interesting" races are popping up on ATR instead.

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

Another profitable day with the staking plan. I could get used to this.

 

Yeah, I probably shouldn't  haha

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

9th May Selections @ 9:42am

Date	TIME/MEETING	Selection	Win Odds	Place Odds	RESULT	REC' BET
09/05/18	14:25 Chester	Award Winning	7.50	2.62	LOST	PLACE
09/05/18	15:00 Chester	Looks A Million	8.00	2.72	PLACED	PLACE
09/05/18	15:35 Chester	Young Rascal	5.00	1.97	WON	WIN
09/05/18	15:55 Newton Abbot	Ballybolley	5.50	1.98	LOST	WIN
09/05/18	16:05 Chester	Infrastructure	7.00	2.10	PLACED	WIN
09/05/18	16:35 Chester	Last Page	5.50	2.30	LOST	WIN
09/05/18	16:55 Newton Abbot	Lamb Or Cod	5.50	2.86	PLACED	PLACE
09/05/18	17:05 Chester	Sultan Baybars	6.50	2.44	LOST	WIN
09/05/18	17:10 Fontwell	Howlongisafoot	7.00	2.52	PLACED	PLACE
09/05/18	17:25 Newton Abbot	Ice Tres	7.50	2.28	LOST	WIN
09/05/18	17:55 Wolverhampton	Brigadoon	9.00	3.20	LOST	PLACE
09/05/18	19:45 Fontwell	Stole The Show	3.75	1.64	WON	WIN
09/05/18	20:55 Wolverhampton	Funkadelic	6.50	1.63	LOST	WIN

These are the selections that look great so far. I'm going to be up to my neck in it with work at 10am, so I'm glad these were already standing out before my cutoff. There might be more that fit the system by 10am, so I'll suffer the consequences of losing that lottery ticket  GL all!

Edit: I've updated the results, and also added some column headers. The far right column is the Recommended Bet according to the system. The odds are taken from PaddyPower and Betfair Exchange respectively. From now on I will just update the original post with the results to save space and time etc.

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

The big odds shifts are great indicators, and I can see races at a glance that will be of interest... but generally speaking I am browsing every race with 7+ runners, and looking for at least 2pts movement in the higher priced horses. The top 4 horses usually (excluding fav). Again, because it is early prices, these 2pt movements are of interest.

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

Grand day today.

Overall, at level stakes, I'd be 19.56PTS 6.86pts up. I'm impressed so far.

Edit: Had a spreadsheet error. Actually was +15.06PTS

I omitted a part of the staking plan, however. If the PLACE odds are >=2.50, I put a place bet on, otherwise, it's a WIN bet.

Date	Meeting/Time	Selection	Win Odds	Place Odds	RESULT	Bet Type
08/05/18	14:30 Brighton	Soumei	3.75	1.53	WON	WIN
08/05/18	15:00 Brighton	Dolydaydream	6.00	2.74	LOST	PLACE
08/05/18	15:55 Thirsk	Acclaim The Nation	8.00	2.75	WON	PLACE
08/05/18	16:55 Thirsk	Whitkirk	5.00	2.08	WON	WIN
08/05/18	17:05 Brighton	Ocean Temptress	7.00	3.05	LOST	PLACE
08/05/18	17:25 Thirsk	Wonderfillo	4.50	1.90	LOST	WIN
08/05/18	18:50 Exeter	Coningsby	8.50	4.20	NR	PLACE
08/05/18	19:30 Ludlow	Atlantic Grey	6.50	2.94	LOST	PLACE
08/05/18	20:00 Ludlow	Excellent Team	7.50	3.05	LOST	PLACE

 

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

Staking plan for a £5.00 daily target: 

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

So I have today decided on a staking plan. I'm actually in competition with my wife who has her own "system". The winner at the end of a 30 day period gets bragging rights...

The staking plan is as follows:

• Set a target daily amount, and increase by 20% daily
• Start with applicable stake to hit target. If bet 1 loses, increase stake to cover previous loss + hit target.
• If Betfair PLACE odds are =>2.50, bet is a PLACE bet, otherwise it's a SINGLE WIN bet.

I realise that this is a bit of a "loss chaser", but I'm confident in the system enough to move forward with it. As it's just for fun, my current daily target is £1.00

First bet romped home at 4.00 odds, so I'm in clover at the moment

Edit - Acclaim The Nation - 7/1 winner! Lovely jubbly.

 

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

8th May

14:30 Brighton - 5f Nov Stks 
Soumei 3.75 (WIN price on PaddyPower)/ 1.53 (PLACE price on Betfair Exch)14:30 Brighton - 5f Nov Stks 
Dolydaydream 6.0 / 2.74
15:55 Thirsk - 5f Hcap 
Acclaim The Nation 8.0 / 2.46
16:55 Thirsk - 1m Hcap 
Whitkirk 5.0 / 2.08
17:05 Brighton - 7f Hcap 
Ocean Temptress 7.0 / 3.05
17:25 Thirsk - 1m Hcap
Wonderfillo 4.5 / 1.90
18:50 Exeter - 2m7f Hcap Hrd 
Coningsby 8.5 / 4.2
19:30 Ludlow - 2m5f Hcap Hrd
Atlantic Grey 6.5 / 2.94
20:00 Ludlow - 2m Hcap Hrd
Excellent Team 7.5 / 3.05

Edited to include PLACE market prices on Betfair.

[Steamers & Gaps - 31.75PTS IN 5 DAYS]

That was a long-winded post I might be blowing it out of proportion, but I do now see these price gaps... And I'll get better at it. Had some good winners today that a staking plan might hammer a great profit out of. Here's hoping!!