radicaly
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Posts posted by radicaly
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For today, I see a real value on Dimitrov vs. Lopez.
Dimitrov is struggling a little bit in the US so far but let's remember that but lost to Medvedev and Haase who are both much better player than Lopez and both in pretty good form.
Last year, Dimitrov went to Semi final here in Cincinnati so has a lot of points to defend.Then went to Round 16 at US open losing to Murray..
Lopez, on the other hand is not a hard court player. So far, he lost to Chung in 3 sets at Rogers and won his first round here in 2 sets against... Chung.
So far 2017 is only two good performances during the grass season.Last year, he lost to Dimitrov in 3 sets on the second round. I think that it should be the same result.
I will take Dimitrov -2,5 @1.96 at pinnacle.
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Hi,
I havent shared a bet for several weeks now.
I see a real value on Mannarino vs. Chung.
Mannarino is very inconsistent but he has shown very good tennis lately. He should have beat Berdych last week. So far in Montreal, he played 2 important players (Medvedev and Raonic) and beat them both80% winning on first sever vs. Raonic who was a little bit injured, it's true and 81% against Medvedev. With such stats, it's hard to break him.
On the other hand, Chung defeated Lopez in 3 sets and a invisible Goffin. Adrian should do the work today.
I take him @2 to Win (7 units) + -1,5 sets @ 3,5 (3 units).
Good luck,
By the way, I put medium stake on Monfils. I watched his game yesterday and it should be ok against RBA. H2H on hard is 3-0 monfils in 2 sets everytime...
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10 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
No words for the Nishikori-Monfils match - and I didn't even have a bet on it!
I did. Live on Monfils @25 when it was 5/4 for Nishikori serving for the game. Oh man, I was scared when Monfils saved 4 Match points..
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Any of you here has watched the game of Thiem.. He is unbelievable...!
He had 4 match points and some easy ones and was leading 5-2 in the third set.. Had many break point opportunities.. This guy...
I love tennis but it's so frustatring sometimes. -
29 minutes ago, bence7 said:
Haase to beat Goffin 2.10
Haase +1.5 set 1.42
Haase knows well the Gstaad court, played two finals recently. Had good games againt Olivo and Monteiro, while Goffin in bad shape. Yesterday i saw against Albot, don't trust in him.
Yes, I completely agree. I also put a small stake on him.
I took also Haase as Outright Winner for 1 unit @16.. Let's see.Don't really see any real favourite here and 16 is a value to me.
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One for me today:
Jing-Jing Lu (-2,5 games) to beat Hibino @2.030 at Pinnacle for 7 units.
Jing-Jing Lu is playing very well since the beg of this tournament. She destroyed her 2 opponents during the Qualification and beating Diyas and Jankovic in the last 2 rounds.She's on fire while Hibino is lucky to be here thanks to the retirement of Pliskova yesterday. I don't see any reason why the serie should stop today.
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Very happy with my bets yesterday (+12.5 units). Too bad Djokovic retired but berdych might have win in 3 sets so I could have lost my bet.
Anyway, all went as I imagined. Cilic is still here and should win against Querrey tomorrow and face Federer (who looks unbeatable) on Sunday.
For the woman, it's just impossible to bet for me.
However, I will put a small stake (2 units) on Konta -3 points @2.5 pinnacle. I really think that Konta should win that one.
Good luck all, -
Williams was just too strong and consistent for Ostapenko. I lost 7 units.
For today, my bet will go on Querrey and Berdych. I expect some 'surprises' in these 2 games.
Djoko and Murray have been lucky in the draw so far. Now they face real contenders.
Querrey has been really strong since the beg. of Wimbledon. He might be a little tired after 2 long games of 5 sets but I see him taking a set out of Murray. 5,8 for the victory is a little high and we never know what can happen. I will put 1unit on that.
Querrey +2,5 sets @1.85 (5 units) + Querrey to Win @5.8 (1 unit).Berdych is very inconsistent this season but has shown some great tennis since the beg of Wimbledon. By the way, he was in SF last year here.
I will put 5 units on over 40,5 @ 2.25 + 1 unit for the win @4.51Total is 12 units!
By the way, I like Cilic to Win Wimbledon at 7.4. I really think that he will face Federer in final and his odds will then be around 3. I will put 1 unit on that even though I really think this one is for Federer.Good luck all,
- CzechPunter and black_baar
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I really see a value on Ostapenko today.
I will take Ostapenko @2.25 (5 units) + Ostapenko -1,5 sets @3,92 (2 units). Total is 7 units on this game.
First of all, that's the first H2H between the 2 ladies.
V. Williams has been playing great games but none of the girls have the quality of Ostapenko actually.
To arrive in QF, she played Mertens, Wang, Osaka and Konjuh (ranked 22nd)... The game vs. Konjuh can't really been taken into consideration after 2 long games from Konjuh against Begu and Cibulkova. (2:13 minutes and 2:36 minutes..)
On the other hand, Ostapenko played pretty easy games as well but Giorgi and Svitolina in the last 2 rounds were good tests and she was strong enough to win them in 2 sets.
As in Roland Garros, she knows how to improve her level when the big games arrive.
IMO, Williams will try to play a lot of winners quickly and if Ostapenko can return them and stay calm, it should finished in 2 sets. If this is a three setter, Ostapenko should go through considering the age difference.Good luck all,
- four-leaf and CzechPunter
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Very good day with +11units.
Czech I agree with your selection.
I also back Sakkari at +5.5 (7units)I have not seen the game between Brengle and Kvitova so can't say if Brengle played well or is just Kvitova who is missing some feeling/experience after such a long period away from Tennis...
Good luck all,
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No surprise for Maria.. too bad !
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2 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
That's probably the point in this particular instance. Vandeweghe can be hot and blow her opponent away, but she's streaky, so she could also easily under-perform. You're getting 4.50 on Maria, which is roughly 22%, so I mean, how often do you expect Vandeweghe to win out of ten instances? I keep getting Maria wrong, so I'm having a hard time guessing, but she's probably going to win this at least twice out of ten instances (which is what the odds suggest). If @radicaly thinks that she's winning this at least three times out ten instances, the odds are worth taking for him.
Exactly. Of course Vandeweghe is favorite but she's so inconsistent that I see a value @4.5 if Maria is on a good day.
I dont take the handicap because either she gets destroyed or the other way around. Anyway, let's cross fingers.
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0 out of 3. Disastrous day.
Surprised by Pouille and Medvedev actually.
Very surprised by Kvitova as well. I have Garcia as To Win Wimbledon with 1 unit @64. Odds hasnt changed for her and playing againt Brengle instead of Kvitota next round is much better.
Actually, I really don't see any favorite to win this year so I put a small coin on the french girl. Murray said that one day, she will be #1.For today, I like the below:
Gulbis +6 vs. Del Potro @2,05 (7 units)
Mannarino @2.09 against Sugita. (7 units)
He lost in final last week but he's clearly more talented that the Japanese.
Maria @4.5 against Vandeweghe. 3 units.
VAndeweghe is overpriced here. 4.5 for Maria is a clear value to me. Small stakes. -
for today, I don't have time to explain -sorry - but I took :
Brady vs. Cibulkova @3,7 3units
Cibulkova is a good player, don't get me wrong but so unpredictable. She almost got out last round against Petikovic.
On the other hand, Brady made a convincing win on first round and I liked the way she played at RG.
Keys -3 vs. Giorgi @1.909 8units
Giorgi should have lost against Cornet 10 times. Corner is so weak mentally that she lost the game and finished crying in front of the French TV.
Keys is a strong player who should cover the handicap.
Medvedev -6 @2.01 7units.
I really like Medvedev. I saw his game against Djoko at Eastbourne and with more experience, he could have won it.
First round against Stan was a really good game. This guy will be Top10 very soon.
He should be able to cover the handicap .
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5 hours ago, Bronxie said:
Top tipping! Along with Hercog & Garin and more still in-play.
Thanks Czech.
What a day Czech! Well done! I followed you on Rogers and WickMayer.
I also had Makarova.
Very good day
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18 hours ago, four-leaf said:
Anastasia Potapova to beat Elizaveta Kulichkova at 2.62 with bet365
Why is current junior no.1 Anastasia Potapova priced 2.62 against Elizaveta Kulichova? I mean she's good and coming strong now. I'd beware of this girl because she's got some great skills. Elizaveta has no form at all last two seasons and she's still looking for her big breakthrough. I think Potapova wins this and she might also do some damage in the maindraw.
Anastasia Potapova as a junior 15 years old is the reigning Wimbledon junior championships champion and Nike Junior International Roehampton champion which is played just a week before Wimbledon junior championships in 2016 and Roehampton is where the Wimbledon qualifiers are played. She also reached the quarter final in Wimbledon junior championships at her first attempt in 2015 14 years old. Now she's 16 and as I said she's coming strong here. I strongly believe she will beat Elizaveta Kulichkova who only has played in the Wimbledon junior championships once in 2012 and she went out in the second round. Anastasia outclassed everyone in straight sets in last seasons Wimbledon junior championships including Kayla Day in the semis who she beat by 5-7 6-2 6-0. I think we might have an unpolished grass diamond in Anastasia.
Well done four-leaf...! I took Potapova at 3.. Just put 50 euros for 'fun' and it went quite easily.
- royale1971 and four-leaf
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10 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:
Konta withdrew.
ok then, she was more tired that Pliskova..
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What's going on with Konta Pliskova match? My bets have been refunded...
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23 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:
@radicaly It was the other Pliskova who lost against Bellis last week
F***.... I was surprised as well when I saw the score.
These two K as first letters make it easy to get mixed up.! :(Now let's cross fingers.!
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I will take Konta @2.22 against Pliskova.
Konta is on fire in Eastbourne and I don't expect her to stop today against Pliskova who is struggling on grass since 2 weeks.
Konta just beat Ostapenko and Kerber. That's a strong performance.On the other hand, Pliskova lost against Bellis (!!) last week 6/3 6/2 in Mallorca... And suffered in the last 2 rounds this week against Peng and yesterday against Kuznetsova where she could have lost it. She played a 2hours and 20 minutes game with 235 balls against Kuznetsova...! I expect her to be a little bit tired...
Konta lost last year in semi final against Pliskova so it's time for the revenge!
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11 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Not adding anything for tomorrow, especially after Estrella's show.
Indeed, what a joke.....!!
I like Donald Young -3,5 @1,92 for today.
Young is on a good form. He went to QF at Queens being defeated by Cilic.
Donaldson is clearly not a grass player. He only plays one or two games per year on this surface. Last year, he played only one and it was against.... Young at Newport and he lots 6/1 6/3. Last week, he lost 6/1 7/5 against Kamke at Queens...
I expect an easy win.- four-leaf, bobix and CzechPunter
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My 4 major bets since the beg of RG have all been ridiculous.. I lost some money and won't bet on any H2H until the end.
I just cross my fingers for my 2 remaining bets to Win RG:
Mladenovic @ 14
Thiem @16Good luck to all your remaining bets!
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5 minutes ago, Fader said:
I don't see anyone beating Halep right now.
I think that she can even beat Berdych!
August 14 - August 20
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted · Edited by radicaly
Hi All,
Finally the weekend and some great games coming!
First I agree with you, czech, regarding Haddad Maia.
My bet for today is Thiem vs. Ferrer.
Thiem is on a great form again! Finally! He had a very good US Tour so far. (I also take him as Outright winner by the way @15 - He's now at 7.6)
Only one H2H against Ferer and it was last year on Clay and Thiem won 6/3 6/2.
Ferrer is a little bit old now and on the decline. He can still win games against players ranked 50 and above but against a Top10, it's impossible for me.So far, he beat Johnson & Tipsarevic in 3 sets. These guys are clearly not big threats... And he beat PCB yesterday but he's not a strong hard court player.
Thiem -3 @2 on pinnacle. (8 units)
Good luck all,