A-Team
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Re: ATP Acapulco/Memphis/Zagreb & WTA Acapulco/Memphis/Dubai 25th Feb - 2nd Mar
BECKER @ 3.5 VC. Just the one dog for me in Memphis today but this price looks massive! Still not sure about Haas' shoulder' date= he beat Hartfeld in the first round to avenge the defeat a couple of weeks ago but that's not really impressive given Hartfelds hard court ability. He's going to have to serve pretty well here as this match should stay close given Beckers serve. Becker got a very good win in the first round against Vliegen who has found a bit of form and has a decent record here. Becker had been on a pretty bad run, but he showed last year in Toyko that indoors he can find form and when serving well can get some really good wins (like Moya and Berdych in Toyko). I just see this one being close, so willing to take my chances here with the big price I think should be more like 2.75.superb pick. have to admit I suspected Haas was over the injury problems and would probably take the title here. -
Re: Tennis 7th-12th Jan: Auckland/Hobart/Sydney some great picks the last couple of days StrangeTrip. Well played.
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Re: Tennis 7th-12th Jan: Auckland/Hobart/Sydney
It was on new year's eve, igor either had a party to get to or was still drunk from christmas. bad match-up for gasquet this one as the head to head shows. andreev is value here at around 3.3 and/or to win at least a set at a tad under even money. good luck if you do play but I think in general accumulators are not the way to go and especially in the week before a slam with questionable motivation among the top players.Because Gasquet is playing againsta poor Andreev who just couldn't seem to find any rhytm in his last match. Ferrer and Chela are playing against lowly ranked big outsiders and and just bumping up the price of the bet and Querry is steadily improving and can take out a non-motivated Mayer. -
Re: Draw! healthy looking bank. keep it up. disappointing lack of coloured table formatting by your usual standards though.
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Re: ATP Masters Cup Shanghai 2007 welcome back mate. Agree Roddick is overpriced but I'm staying away from betting on this tournament because I've seen very little of it.
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Re: Euro 2008 Qualifiers Sat 17th Nov
You're incorrect here. Czech Republic are top of the group based on their head to head record with Germany: Czech Rep 1-2 Germany Germany 0-3 Czech Rep From the official UEFA website:I haven't been keeping with this competition at all and well I have some free bets stashed away for a nice situation.... Germany at $2.75 to win there group seems a little high... with two matches left for both themselves and the Czechs Germany currently top the group by a 6 goal difference and with both games at home I cannot see how the fans could forgive anything less than 6 points against two teams with no future in the competition. They must pick up for the fans over these matches or surely heads will roll. The only thing going against this bet is that they are secured a position into the next round no matter what the results. Any insight from someone who has done more than think about this for 15 minutes is appreciated...:ok
I think the bet will probably be a winner as I can see the Czechs slipping up either at home to Slovakia or away to Cyprus while Germany should get 6 points easily but your reasoning is flawed so you might want to reconsider.Equality of points after the group matches If two or more teams are equal on points on completion of the group matches, the following criteria are applied to determine the rankings. a) Higher number of points obtained in the group matches played among the teams in question. b) Superior goal difference from the group matches played among the teams in question. -
Re: ATP Masters Cup Shanghai 2007 good call on Ferrer Mr. Duck. The red group looks like a betting non-event with Federer holding a combined 32-1 record over his 3 opponents who are all out of form and/or injured.
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Re: Snooker: Northern Ireland Trophy
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Re: Snooker: Northern Ireland Trophy
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Re: Tennis 22nd - 28th
asshole led 5-1 in the final set before losing 6 games in a row. unbelievable.Robby Ginepri v Jarkko Nieminen Nieminen in the past has generally been a pretty reliable player in that would play to his ranking. ie he'd dispose of guys you'd expect him to beat but rarely threaten those ranked above him. The past couple of months have seen a serious dip in form however. He had a good win over Robredo in early August but hasn't had a win over a top 50 opponent since. This run included losses to guys you'd expect him to beat such as Isner, Pashanski, Santoro and Koubek. Ginepri on the other hand has been showing glimpses of good form recently beating Melzer last week before giving Federer a run for his money in 2 tight sets. His confidence should be up from that performance and this allied with his good record over left handers (8-2 indoors discounting 2 defeats to Nadal) and Jarkko's poor form makes the American an attractive underdog here. Robby Ginepri - 10/10 - 2.16 - betfair -
Re: Tennis 22nd - 28th Robby Ginepri v Jarkko Nieminen Nieminen in the past has generally been a pretty reliable player in that would play to his ranking. ie he'd dispose of guys you'd expect him to beat but rarely threaten those ranked above him. The past couple of months have seen a serious dip in form however. He had a good win over Robredo in early August but hasn't had a win over a top 50 opponent since. This run included losses to guys you'd expect him to beat such as Isner, Pashanski, Santoro and Koubek. Ginepri on the other hand has been showing glimpses of good form recently beating Melzer last week before giving Federer a run for his money in 2 tight sets. His confidence should be up from that performance and this allied with his good record over left handers (8-2 indoors discounting 2 defeats to Nadal) and Jarkko's poor form makes the American an attractive underdog here. Robby Ginepri - 10/10 - 2.16 - betfair
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Re: Tennis 22nd - 28th Olivier Rochus v Michael Llodra Rochus leads the head to head 5-1 including 3 wins on carpet, the surface here in Lyon, and generally goes well against left-handers. (5-1 this year) he also matches up well against serve/volleyers mainly because he can take the ball early (he's 5 foot 5, he has no choice) and can hit passing shots off both wings. He's had wins over the likes of Mahut, Guccione and Navarro-Pastor this year all of whom play a smilar style of game to llodra. Llodra retired injured in the first set of a challenger tournament last week so his physical condition is more than questionable here. Rochus - 10/10- 1.7 Interwetten (the best price with a 1-ball book which is a better bet than the 1.75 on betfair given the chance that Llodra may retire)
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Re: Tennis 22nd - 28th good shout Donald.
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Re: Tennis 22nd - 28th I'm not really a fan of outrights but those odds on Skybet for Gasquet are an absolute joke. He's the defending champion, probably the most talented player in the draw, top seed Roddick has been injured lately, Haas has been struggling with a shoulder problem, Ljubicic missed a few weeks training with kidney stones and has been utterly shit since. He's got a favourable draw and has to be the bet at that price. He had a setback in Madrid last week but before that was in superb form winning the title in Mumbai and finishing runner-up in Tokyo. I'd say he'll certainly trade for less than that on betfair once the market settles down. RICHARD GASQUET - Lyon Outright 5pts ew. -7/1 at Skybet
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Re: Tennis - Stockholm, Kreml, Vienna and Bangkok Nice hits on Tipsy and Stan the Man, Donald.
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Re: Tennis - Stockholm, Kreml, Vienna and Bangkok
well I was right about the close match with tiebreaks part (that was a 1.01 shot) but Karlovic edged it 7-6, 6-7, 6-4.Massu to beat Karlovic - 4.3 at Pinnacle Massu is in really shitty form hence the price on offer here but both players will find it very tough to break here so 2 or 3 tiebreaks is a real possibility. They played once before on clay this year and Massu edged it in 3 tiebreak sets. In much faster conditions here a similar type of match is highly probable. There's always an element of a coin-toss involved with tiebreaks so this is a bit of value I reckon. Karlovic could also be pretty fatigued after playing some long matches (by his standards) in Tokyo last week. His stamina is known to be suspect. 4/10 -
Re: Tennis - Stockholm, Kreml, Vienna and Bangkok Massu to beat Karlovic - 4.3 at Pinnacle Massu is in really shitty form hence the price on offer here but both players will find it very tough to break here so 2 or 3 tiebreaks is a real possibility. They played once before on clay this year and Massu edged it in 3 tiebreak sets. In much faster conditions here a similar type of match is highly probable. There's always an element of a coin-toss involved with tiebreaks so this is a bit of value I reckon. Karlovic could also be pretty fatigued after playing some long matches (by his standards) in Tokyo last week. His stamina is known to be suspect. 4/10
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Re: Tennis - Stockholm, Kreml, Vienna and Bangkok
Winner. Koubek made hard work of it but got the job done in 3 sets. Well played Donald who was on him as well.agree with the koubek pick. he trounced moya when they player earlier this year and he should be really fired up after getting disqualified last week while leading in the final set against Grosjean. He also has the home advantage here. I got 3.25 on Stan James earlier before the price was cut. 5/10
Thanks Chigo and congrats on your Vanek and Montanes bets. Great results in this thread so far. Pats on the back all round.oh.. I read that he had some problems and retired in another forum .. :unsure Well done thanks for the infos A-Team. For me it´s a nobet but good luck to all koubek-punters :ok :ok -
Re: Tennis - Stockholm, Kreml, Vienna and Bangkok
1 of Moya's wins over Koubek was on clay and not on hard. Also Koubek did not retire against Grosjean. He was disqualified by the umpire for saying "f*ck you" to the tournament supervisor after a disputed line-call while he was leading 4-2 in the third set. My Koubek pick was a value one. He's only around 2.5 now. I wouldn't have taken him at that price.Moya - Koubek Don´t see Koubek infront here. Moya will enter the Final of 2007. He´s 15th in ranking and have chances to enter the final. He met Koubek 5 times and won 3 times. All three wins over Koubek were on hard(!). Moyas balance last year on hard was 12-10. He met the austrian at last on hard in Chennai this year and beat him 6-3 and 6-1. Moya will be high motivated and he´s not worse on hard court. Koubek with a 19-24 balance this year. he retired versus Grosjean last week in Metz. no bet for me. -
Re: Tennis - Stockholm, Kreml, Vienna and Bangkok agree with the koubek pick. he trounced moya when they player earlier this year and he should be really fired up after getting disqualified last week while leading in the final set against Grosjean. He also has the home advantage here. I got 3.25 on Stan James earlier before the price was cut. 5/10 I'd take Wawrinka at the price you got too but the best available to me is 1.67 as far as I can see. Am going for an outright this week as well: James Blake to Win Stockholm Champion here the last 2 years only losing 2 sets along the way Blake seems to love this event. The fast surface suits his game and most of the players he'd want to avoid are in the other half of what looks a lopsided draw. (Haas, Karlovic, J.Johansson, Ferrer) The other 2 seeds in Blake's half are Verdasco and Nieminen both of whom are left-handed. Blake is on an incredible 25 match winning streak against lefties dating back 5 years so his draw couldn't be any better should he overcome the tricky Bjorkman in the first round. He should be highly motivated as he's in a battle to reach the lucrative end of year championships in Shanghai for which only the top 8 players qualify. Blake is currently in 9th place. 10/10 - 4.1 betfair (liquidity isn't great atm. He's 3.75 at Stan James though)
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Re: 1% 'Steady Drip' have to admit I was half-expecting to see Lyon-Rangers 0-3 whne I clicked here pessimistic bastard that I am. nice to see you're still going.
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Re: Referals? Thanks. I know who he is anyway.
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Re: Referals? I've got one. Not sure how that happened. Who is it?
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Re: Tennis: China Open and The BCR Open kojic 2003, re. Monfils v Hanescu.....are you schizophrenic or something? You appear to have tipped both players in the same match on sports punter. Well the big price won so it's a profit anyway but it looks mighty strange.
ATP Acapulco/Memphis/Zagreb & WTA Acapulco/Memphis/Dubai 25th Feb - 2nd Mar
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Re: ATP Acapulco/Memphis/Zagreb & WTA Acapulco/Memphis/Dubai 25th Feb - 2nd Mar Yeah, I watched. Hilarious stuff. Especially those backhand returns when Stakhovsky was kicking the 2nd serves in at 22mph.