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Masturbinho

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  1. Like
    Masturbinho reacted to west64 in Third Qualifying Round - First Legs   
    Steaua Bucharest - Partizan Belgrade wow, I cant believe the odds I am seeing here. Partizan as high as 3.5 @ bet365. If we take into account the results these teams produced during the past few european campaigns, the odds do seem "fair". But in light of recent results I cant see how Steaua can be considered a favorite in any way. Last few matches have shown that Steaua has certain issues on the field, I believe the source of the problem is mainly organisational in nature, certain money currents are moving away from the club, consequently we have seen a couple of departures - mainly the most prominent players have found different employers. Their duel vs. Slovakian Trenchin showed us that Steaua is indeed quite a limited team defensively. The first match (away @ Trenchin) produced a score which couldnt have been more misleading, 0-2 for Steaua. The quick goals came from a couple of counterattacks, but Trenchin were dictating the tempo throughout the game. Second leg, same issues for Steaua. Slow defenders, full backs are doing everything except running their side. The midfield lacks creativity and speed. The result? 3 goals in the net of Steaua and could have been much more. The last league match was a day-off for the team, with mainly fringe players securing a draw for a mediocre start of the season. On the other side we have Partizan Belgrade, who have been impressive in their start of the season, securing b2b victories with zero goals conceded. The team this year seems much better than the previous season. The new signings include Slovenian internation Balazic (CB) and Bulgarian international Bojinov, who is class on its own, but has been quite unlucky with injuries in the past. So far he seems to be the dominant striker Partizan was looking for, while Balazic seems to be quite confident in the back. The true power of this team is the wingers and full backs, the speed, creativity and confidence are well shown. Vulicevic (a modern wing-back causes too much trouble and with the limited defense Steaua is coming forth I can see many chances for Partizan) Youngsters (mainly Šaponjic and Živkovic) have proven their worth in the atack. The new coach seems to play offensive football, which resulted in 13 goals so far (zero conceded) in 4 matches (including 2 legs with Dila Gori). Of course all of these games were against weak opposition, but the quality of football is there. The players seem confident and as they claim they believe in victory tommorow. Tommorows match smells like an away victory to me and at these odds its hard to resist. Since this is the first leg I will not go in heavily on the match, but I will punt 3 units on Partizan @ 3.50 and another unit on a handicap win @ 7.50. For those less confident a couple of bets include: Steaua clean sheet - NO @ 1.53 Partizan DNB 2.37 Other bets I will formulate in-play since there can be juicy odds for certain markets. GL! quick edit: Steaua hosts Partizan in front of empty stands at the National Arena in Bucharest, part of their sentence for racist raging of the fans. Another factor which adds to my confidence that Partizan will come out with a result here.
  2. Like
    Masturbinho reacted to Bukic in Norway Tippeligaen 20~21 June 2015   
    Hey man here is preview from Mightye on bettingadvice forum, he is one of the best tipsters for Norway football. Sunday 21.06.2015 Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg: This game will be played on artificial pitch. Rosenborg are using natural grass at their home stadium. Sarpsborg 08 (4-5-3) played draw (1-1) away against newly promoted Mjøndalen last round. 1-2-2 in their latest league games. They are 2-2-2 at home, with goal score 9-7. I will add injury info closer to game start. -------------------------------------------------------------------- Top side Rosenborg (9-2-1) won 2-1 away against Vålerenga last round, and they are 3-1-1 in their latest league games. Rosenborg are 5-0-1 on the road, with goal score 19-8. Tore Reginiussen (Def 1/0) is long term injured. Muhammed Demirci (Mid/Att - Besiktas) is on trial, not available for this game. Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg ended 1-1 in 2014. Meeting between a mid-table side, and the title favorites. Sarpsborg 08 havent impressed lately, and they have lost their 2 latest home games. Rosenborg have been very solid in the first part of the season, and they have a 9 point gap to main title opponents Molde after 12 games played. Only 3 points gap to 2nd placed Stabæk though. I still believe there is value in backing Rosenborgs Pål Andre Helland (Att 7/8) to score. He has scored in 5 straight league games now, and hes also likely to get to good goal scoring chances from free-kick/penalty situations. 10bet have skipped odds on him, Betsafe offer 2.08, Unibet offer 2.38, while Bet365 offer 2.87 for the in-form attacker to score. Pick: Pål Andre Helland (Rosenborg) to score, 7/10 stakes, odds 2.87@Bet365. Pick: Pål Andre Helland (Rosenborg) to score 2 goals or more, 3/10 stakes, odds 13@Bet365. Good luck!
  3. Like
    Masturbinho reacted to Lisandri in Norway Tippeligaen 20~21 June 2015   
    Another pick in OBOS -Ligaen 18:00 Bryne -Levanger This game will be played at Bryne Stadion. Both squads use natural grass at home. Bryne is in 10th place with 16 points. At home they are 2/1/3 goals 7:11. Bryne is tipical midtable squaq,also in last season placed in 9th place with 13 wins in total games. Anyway in this season performer well ,make a great victory away in Baerum 1~4 ,won also at home over Sandnes Ulf 2~1 and drew last round 1~1 awsy againts Kristiansund. Eliminated in Cup 1~4 from Brann, For todays game the only missing is midfielder Robert Undheim 7/0. No mutual matches. Levanger is in 11th place with 12 points. Away are 1/1/4 goals 10:17. Difficult situation for guests,after five games played lost four only a win 4~1 over Brann. In Nm cup destroyed 0~7 from Rosenborg. Last round lost 0~1 against Hønefoss. Defender L. Flakk 9/1 is suspended after third yellow card last game. With a vicory here Bryne will climb at first 5 places and motivation is higher in squad,and the poor form of Levanger i see a solid victory from hosts. Bryne -1 Ah 2.11 @Marathonbet. 8/10 Good Luck.
  4. Like
    Masturbinho reacted to Lisandri in Norway Tippeligaen 20~21 June 2015   
    Tomorrow 20th of June 2015 15:30 Sandefjord - Lillestrom This game will be played at Komplett Arena,and both squads use natural grass at home. Sandefjord is in last place with only 6 points. At home they are 2/0/4 goals 6:10. They disappointed a lot this season with only 2 wins and 10 defeats in 12 rounds of Tippeligaen.last round lost 0~1 against Odd. Missing for tomorrow's game are danish goalkeeper J. Jensen 5/0 due to Euro 2016 Qualifications for Denmark under21 ,midfielder E. Lamøy 5/0 and defender A. Gabrielsen 11/2. Last mutual ended 0~0 in Nm Cup 2011. Lillestrøm is in 7th place with 19 points. Away are 5/2/3 goals 16:13. Head coach R. Kristinsson is climbing step by step in classification, three wins in a row over Molde,Sarpsborg 08 and Bodø / Glimt, but lost 2~0 againts Strømsgodset and surprising in that defeat in Nm Cup from Strømmen 2~1. Maybe they are focused only in Tippeligaen because they won 2~1 againts a tough game over Viking. Still out defender L. Rexhepi 0/0 ,out also is striker M. Ofkir 2/0 . I dont think we have another defeat for host ,this game is very important againts an difficult opponent ,also in midweek they have to play in Cup againts Honefoss in midweek. On other side very dangerous striker M. Fofana 11/3 and F. Friday 83 will lead the squad to the another important victory but i think both squads will share only one point.. Draw 3.78 @ Marathonbet 8/10 Good luck
  5. Like
    Masturbinho got a reaction from jepserdinho in Norway Tippeligaen 20~21 June 2015   
    Meatman, do you think BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.72 is a good alternative?
  6. Like
    Masturbinho reacted to clubgowi in J-League 2015   
    Sagan Tosu- FC Tokyo I guess the international break has come at the right time for Sagan who have conceded a whopping 14 goals in their last three league games, shipping three to Frontale was bad, six to leaders Urawa worse, but five to Velgalta , who had scored just three in their previous four starts was a bit of a low point and you can view the break as a chance to put things right, or as a very long 13 days to reflect and feel sorry for themselves ! They are starting matches quite well and incredibly, are unbeaten before the break all season ( 4-11-0) but losing their way afterwards and they have conceded 24 of 28 goals ( 86%) in the second half, next highest through that period is the 18 conceded by the bottom two clubs, Albirex Niigata and Shimizu S-Pulse and highlights just how poorly they are ending matches. FCT are a better team and are very tough to beat when leading (6-0-0 this season), so difficult to see them dropping this to a team leaking after the break, if they can edge ahead. But those Sagan stats offer hope should they fall behind and FCT have taken points from two of the four games in which they have trailed at the half. The visitors have won on their last two visits here and we backed them to win the last of those back in August and those notes are reproduced at the foot of this email. They are unbeaten in four and will be looking to break into the top three in the overall championship this season, they are a team we discuss a lot and there are a mountain of notes on them in the database and I have also reproduced a preview from earlier this season, their trip to Montedio Yamagata, which is particularly pertinent as I am going to finish these notes with the newly promoted club's trip to Hiroshima. Anyway, they all provide background information and after their last match, a 2-1 win at Matsumoto Yamaga, where they raced into a two goal lead and then had to fight hard to hold on, they will have enjoyed the hard earned break. Coach Massimo Ficcadenti (see below) is very meticulous and will have used the two weeks wisely, his team came back after the World Cup break last summer on fire and were unbeaten in eight in all competions with an incredible 21-1 goal difference. They can edge this.............. FC Tokyo -0.25 ball 2.19 asian line/Sportsmarket.
  7. Like
    Masturbinho reacted to meatman in Norway Tippeligaen 20~21 June 2015   
    Sandefjord - Lillestrom I’m going to be aggressive here with two bets, although neither of them are worth big stakes IMO. Sandefjord have lost their last 9 games but I think it’s still difficult to judge exactly how bad they are. During this 9 game streak, they’ve had a brutal run of games and faced all the top teams, at times they’ve been unlucky. The fundamental issue is Lars Bohenian’s insistence on playing the 3-5-2 formation. He might change that now, but if they don’t then I can’t see how they survive. Sandefjord simply play way too open and are mega vulnerable at the back, especially on counter attacks. That won’t serve them well today because the main strength of the LSK team going forward is with pace on the break. The visitors have been in some good form recently too, winning 4 of their last 5 and the one defeat in that run was a harsh one at Godset. Sooner or later Sandefjord will end this nightmare run, but until they do then it may be wise to go against them. I don’t think they are currently able to match ‘top half sides’ and that’s exactly what LSK are. It should be an open game of football and I like a piece of over 2.5 as well. So I’m going to place two bets because I see this ending something like 1-2 or 1-3 based on recent weeks. Recommended bets: Lillestrom -0.25 @ 1.85 4/10 and over 2.75 goals @ 1.69 4/10 Molde - Valerenga This should be a wide open contest, well worth watching and contain a feast of goals. Molde home matches are always high tempo affairs where they try and dominate opponents quickly, but they can also leave holes at the back. ‘Enga meanwhile are also renowned for high scoring games and have had a lot of overs this year, especially away. They’ve been involved in some ridiculous games like 5-4, 4-3 and 3-2 already this season and despite them facing a team like Molde here, will surely come with attacking intent. The Oslo side will be without striker Deshorn Brown who is on international duty, but his fitness has been up and down in recent weeks and might not be missed all that much. I think it’s extremely likely that this game will contain at least 3 goals, the only question is exactly how many more? The over line is a massive 3.25/3.5 so I had to think twice before placing this bet, but in the end I’ve decided to strike. The scoreline here could end something ridiculous and overall I think it’s worth a few units. Recommended bet: Over 3.25 goals @ 1.77 4/10
  8. Like
    Masturbinho reacted to clubgowi in Copa America 2015   
    Copa America: Chile- Bolivia We have spoken already this week about how close almost every match at the Copa America has been , eight matches have been decided by a single goal, three have been draws and there has been a single two goal win and even that should have been a closer result. It is hard to see that suddenly changing in this game with so much at stake and with the better and home team mindful of much bigger games ahead, a long tournament and able to get what they desire from the game without "wasting" too much energy. A win would see Chile top the group, but a point would be enough , unless Mexico record at least a two goal win. Bolivia have the same criteria more or less, they will win the group with all three points, but probably know that is beyond them, a point would ensure second and mean avoiding Argentina in the last eight , also, with four points in the bag, a one goal defeat would mean they would look solid for one of the two third places and that is their fail safe and means if they do fall behind, they will be keen not to concede a second and there would be no reason for Chile to push for it either. Bolivia +1.25 ball 2.20 asian line/Sportmarket. Incredibly, this match is played after the Mex-Ec ( see below) so the situation could change if one of the teams in the earlier game won big, but I am happy with the handicap start regardless.
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