jolly red
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Posts posted by jolly red
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. Kempton 3.40 Athwaab could provide a bit of an upset if George Baker can get this mare settled and come with a late run. Usually races over 5f and 6f but has had one AW run over this trip last autumn when finishing 2nd. The time of that race was slightly faster than that of todays Fav, who had also run over the 7f at Wolves the day before, clocking a slightly slower time, carrying less weight and beaten just over 2 lengths. 0.5 Each Way at 17-2 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. Bully strikes again with a nice winner and runner up :clap P & L Account Outlay Return Profit R.O.I. April £8.00 £2.75 -£5.25 -66% May £13.75 £18.26 £4.51 33% Sub Total £21.75 £21.01 -£0.74 -3% Results 1st 2nd 3rd Unplaced Strike Rate April 1 2 0 4 14% May 4 1 2 11 22% Sub Total 5 3 2 15 20%
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. Newmarket 3.10 Poole Harbour made a good start to the season just getting touched off, albeit it in an easier contest than today's. His overall level of form is fairly consistent, there are good enough excuses for his poor efforts. His run over C/D last summer in a 3yo handicap gives him every chance today, he finished 3rd behind Hamza & Gabriels Lad, 3 lengths behind the winner but is now 7lb and 11lb better off at todays weights, with those two rivals. 0.5pt Each Way at 12-1 BetVictor
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. Hamilton 3.25 Hairy Rocket was a decent 2yo for Richard Hannon last year, winning twice and placed in a Group 3. Her only bad run was when she went over to France. Now with Willie Haggas, she disappointed on first start for new trainer but is worth another try, fitted with a hood for todays race. 1pt win at 13-2 Paddy Power
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. Goodwood 5.15. Kieren Fallon is an eye catching booking for Platinum Proof. Trainer has had better fortune with his runners over the last couple of years and this season has also made a good start, 1 win from 5 runners, with only one of those 5 finishing out of the frame. This 3yo colt had 3 runs in maidens at the back end of last year, didn't show a great deal in first couple of runs but much improved on final start, running 4th on the AW. Making his handicap debut off a mark of 63. 0.5pt Each Way at 10-1 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. Thirsk Hunt Cup 4.35. Two For Two was very impressive on just 2nd outing for O'Meara, fairly cheap purchase from the French sales, gone up 9lb for that win but won with such ease, that rise shouldn't stop him, if in the same vein of form. 1pt win at 4-1 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. Newmarket 3.50 - 2,000 Guineas. Both Dawn Approach and Toronado seem to be the only likely winners of the first Classic of the 2012 turf season but I'm not convinced. Yes I would say Dawn Approach has proved himself a top class colt but will he be the same on this much faster ground, as for Toronado, again looked a good class colt in the Craven Stakes but for me hasn't beaten that much in his 4 wins, apart from his initial maiden win, he's only faced 5 rivals at most in his 3 subsequent runs, also his sire High Chaparral has just one Group 1 winner on his record, the Aidan O'Brien trained So You Think. Toronado may well turn out to be up to this task but as yet I still regard him as unproven and at the price wouldn't be one for me. A decent outsider is Moohajim who does have top class 2yo form and on lines through Cristoforo Columbo doesn't have a great deal to find with that colt and Dawn Approach, if at his best. Looked a little disappointing on his seasonal debut but this faster ground and stronger pace should play to his strengths and this Cape Cross colt looks decent each way value at 25-1 with Ladbrokes and worthy of a 0.5pt EW.
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. Update of latest results, almost back to level stakes overall, after Bullys 14-1 winner :clap
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. [TABLE=width: 416]
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 4.30 Musselburgh. Two runners here both sired by High Chaparral, a sire with an excellent track record and suited to this trip and ground conditions. The first is Madrasa and the 2nd is Badged. The former has proved himself over this trip with an easy win at Redcar last season, the latter is an unexposed Ex Irish performer, who was well beaten in 4 runs but at the same time was tackling some tough opponents. Badged would be the first choice if it were not for the trainer, yet to saddle a winner on the flat. So will take and each way punt on both the runners. Madrasa 0.5pt Each Way at 10-1 bog and Badged 0.5pt Each Way at 16-1 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 3.10 Lingfield. Very open looking handicap, King Olav was an easy winner last time out, taking full advantage of his falling handicap mark, Shirataki and Gabrials Hope are both closely matched on previous form but Kittens could land this if she's fit to go on seasonal debut. She made good progress last year and finished her season beating the much improved Thecornishcockney, if she has improved over the winter could be one to follow this season in this type of race. 1pt win at 5-1 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 5.35 Redcar The Codger 1pt win at 3-1. Making his handicap debut today, had a couple of runs at Southwell but his sire Observatory has 1 winner from 71 attempts on the fibresand, so that tells you all you need to know. Should be better suited to the fast ground and extra 2 furlongs at Redcar.
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. NATIVE FALLS 2.20 Pontefract making his debut for Alan Swinbank , a yard that has a good record with 2yo's, this colt is half brother to Sunny Sing, dual 2yo winner, also 4th in the Gimcrack before sold to race in Hong Kong, winning two Group races. Picked this 2yo debutant from my Blog about 2yo's with USA sire's, this is the first race for the blog and although there are 3 that qualify today, this one looks the pick of that trio. 1pt win at 8-1
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. This might be less Taxing on the eyes at the moment [TABLE=width: 428]
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. [TABLE=width: 416]
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. Results so far, will up date these at the end of each week, with the current running totals.
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 7.55 Lingfield Chocolate Block is another filly by Singspiel who will be better suited to tonight's sounder surface for her handicap debut. This filly had 3 runs as a juvenile, all on soft ground over 6f and 7f, didn't show a great deal and as a result looks very well treated with her handicap mark. She could easily rack up a few wins from this lowly rating, now she is upped in trip and racing on more suitable ground. 1pt win at 11-4 Paddy power
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 6.25 Lingfield Sunbula can put her experience to good use in this maiden. Sir Michael Stoute's unraced filly is favourite to make a winning debut but the Charlie Hills filly ran very well on her debut at the backend of last season, in a Newmarket maiden, where she finished 5th behind two of her stable mates. That run came on soft ground, generally unsuitable for the offspring of her sire, SIngspiel. She will be far better suited to this sounder surface and I'd expect her to be winning on turf later in the season, once the ground starts riding a lot faster. 1pt win at 10-3 Betvictor
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. Only flat action today is in Ireland at Gowran Park. In the mile handicap at 3.30, trainer Patrick Flynn has both the top weights in the handicap, with Big Bad Billy Bob coming in for good support into Favouritism, the trainer also runs Mamma Rosa, having her first start of the season and last seen over hurdles. Mamma Rosa looks the stables 2nd string but could easily turn over her stablemate if ready to go on her seasonal debut. Her form on the flat is a lot stronger overall, than that of the Fav. Currently 12-1 with VC and I'll chance a 0.5pt Each Way with this filly.
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. ******* AKA Jolly Red . Only one for me today at Ripon in the seller at 3.30 Idyllic Star . Neil Callan booked to ride this filly, trainer claimed her out of Stan Moore's yard last season. This filly made the frame in 4 of her 9 starts last year. Callan's record for the yard is 5 wins from 23 rides on turf and on the more fancied of the stables runners is 3 wins from 7, with two others finishing runner up. Yard must be expecting a bold showing from this filly today, having her first start for her new connections. Currently best priced at 9-2
Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog.
in At The Races - Racing Forum
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. Yarmouth 4.20 Laudation could be one for the places behind the likely very short priced Fav. Showed good promise in 3 maidens, then sent off Fav for his handicap debut but ran well below par, finishing last. Been off the track for 53 days and it may have been that he needed a break, after those 3 runs in maidens, which could have been the cause of that poor effort. Having his first run on turf today and with good claimer on board, which means he will be getting 9lbs from the Fav, which could easily see him run into a place and maybe even upset the hotpot. 0.5pt Each Way at 12-1 bog